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Astronomers scared of ever-brightening star
Sydney Morning Herald ^ | June 1, 2004

Posted on 06/08/2004 8:09:24 AM PDT by NYer

Julius Caesar might have said he was as constant as the northern star, but it wasn't much of a boast. Over the past two millennia, the star Polaris has brightened by 250 per cent, astronomers announced today.

And they can't explain why.

"It should not be getting that bright that fast," said Edward Guinan, an astronomer at Villanova University in Pennsylvania. "It's not behaving as expected. It's kind of scary."

Scientists knew that Polaris was inconstant but in a different way. About every four days, the star increases and decreases ever so slightly in brightness.

But the new work is the first to examine the star's overall brilliance during the past 2,000 years. Guinan and his colleagues scoured ancient literature, reading star catalogues back to the one compiled by Ptolemy in the second century.

By comparing those studies to modern observations, the astronomers measured the true brightness of Polaris. The team reported its findings in Denver at a meeting of the American Astronomical Society.


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: astronomy; junkscience; polaris; star; theskyisfalling
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1 posted on 06/08/2004 8:09:26 AM PDT by NYer
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To: NYer
We're doomed.
2 posted on 06/08/2004 8:10:36 AM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: NYer
It's obviously the ozone hole....

/sarcasm

3 posted on 06/08/2004 8:10:45 AM PDT by Cyber Liberty (© 2004, Ravin' Lunatic since 4/98)
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To: NYer

Are we DOOMED??


4 posted on 06/08/2004 8:11:58 AM PDT by nuconvert ("America will never be intimidated by thugs and assassins." ( Azadi baraye Iran)
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To: NYer

Stellar warming?


5 posted on 06/08/2004 8:12:43 AM PDT by cripplecreek (you tell em i'm commin.... and hells commin with me.)
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To: NYer

That bright light in the tunnel is just the other en... uh oh ... it's getting bigger and brighter!


6 posted on 06/08/2004 8:13:05 AM PDT by jigsaw (God Bless Our Troops.)
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To: NYer
June 5, 2004 - just weeks after March 17, as the closest recorded approach to Earth from an asteroid, previously set on December 2003, was reduced to 45,000 km or to one third; just weeks after April 16, as Bradfield T4, the largest comet ever recorded breaking into the the inner solar system, surprisingly appeared in SOHO to be plunging into the sun, just days after being discovered; after two major comets were visible with naked eye in the southern hemisphere ... it's now the turn of Venus to enter the scene. This time as expected and yet for all of the population of Earh, now more than 10 times larger than the last time, it is the first time they see it plunging into the sun.
This is year 2004 after Christ and the big numbers trick doesn't work anymore.
7 posted on 06/08/2004 8:13:56 AM PDT by Truth666
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To: nuconvert

8 posted on 06/08/2004 8:14:18 AM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: NYer

Women and minorities hit hardest...


9 posted on 06/08/2004 8:15:16 AM PDT by tje
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To: NYer

It's obviously SUV's....or it could be George Bush's fault.


10 posted on 06/08/2004 8:15:47 AM PDT by HEY4QDEMS (Dyslexic Agnostic: "Is there a dog?")
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To: NYer

A badly-written article and headline, the astronomer quoted didn't mean it was "scary" in terms of fearing for his safety regarding Polaris, it was just an expression for doing something unexpected and not well understood.


11 posted on 06/08/2004 8:15:52 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NYer
Over the past two millennia, the star Polaris has brightened by 250 per cent, astronomers announced today.

Hmmm, since when have our scientists developed time machines so that they could go back 2,000 years to measure the intensity of Polaris?

This story belongs in the "Junk Science Announcement of the Day" catagory. It is as stupid as scientists finding a rock in Antartica and announcing that it came from Mars without a single shred of evidence.

12 posted on 06/08/2004 8:16:23 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Even if the government took all your earnings, you wouldn't be, in its eyes, a slave.)
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To: NYer
"It's not behaving as expected. It's kind of scary."

Best explanation of how to upset a liberal that I've heard in a long time.
13 posted on 06/08/2004 8:16:38 AM PDT by AD from SpringBay (We have the government we allow and deserve.)
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To: NYer

Ptolemy's radiometric tools were aweseome. I'm sure that 250% figure is right on the money.


14 posted on 06/08/2004 8:17:29 AM PDT by Rippin
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To: NYer
But the new work is the first to examine the star's overall brilliance during the past 2,000 years. Guinan and his colleagues scoured ancient literature, reading star catalogues back to the one compiled by Ptolemy in the second century.

And found reliable 2,000-year-old measurements of star brightness in units that we can compare with? Yeah, right.

15 posted on 06/08/2004 8:18:36 AM PDT by Sloth (We cannot defeat foreign enemies of the Constitution if we yield to the domestic ones.)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

A time machine isn't necessary, there's this thing known as "writing" and, astonishingly, people 2,000 years ago could actually WRITE DOWN things they observed, and we can read them today. Neat, huh?

Obviously precise measurement wasn't possible back then, but with multiple records of brightness (especially compared to other stars) you can do a decent guesstimate of brightness changes.


16 posted on 06/08/2004 8:18:57 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NYer
Guinan?

neat.

17 posted on 06/08/2004 8:20:49 AM PDT by new cruelty
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To: NYer
See? SEE?!? It must be because of Gloval... I mean... Global Warming! We're doomed, DOOMED I TELL YOU!!!

(/Art Bell mode off)

18 posted on 06/08/2004 8:21:07 AM PDT by Jonah Hex (Go with God, President Reagan)
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To: NYer

It's Bush's fault. What did he know, and when did he know it.


19 posted on 06/08/2004 8:21:22 AM PDT by evets (God bless president George W. Bush)
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To: NYer; Blood of Tyrants; Strategerist
Scientists knew that Polaris was inconstant but in a different way.

Junk science, badly-written, and worse.

How, pray tell, does a star be inconsistent in a different way?

20 posted on 06/08/2004 8:21:39 AM PDT by The Other Harry
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