Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL
That development appears to be helping Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush. In February, Bush was ahead of Kerry by two percentage points.
If Independent Ralph Nader is among the choices, Kerry gets 49 percent, Bush 44 percent and Nader 6 percent.
Bush's overall job approval rating fell from 49 percent to 46 percent since the last CNN/Time poll on April 8, while his disapproval rating rose from 47 percent to 49 percent -- the first time that more people disapproved of Bush's job performance than approved.
The poll was conducted by telephone Wednesday and Thursday.
The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Another example of the Dems & the media are trying to manipulate the American voters using misleading polling data.
President Bush has said that we haven't seen evidence. Considering how the media won't be satisfied until they see a videotape, that may be a wise move.
Considering however that Saddam at least knew that 9/11 was coming, and I doubt it was because he and OBL were gossiping, I think President Bush would be better served by given the circumstantial evidence that AQ has operated in Iraq for years.
rasmussen has kerry ahead by 2% and Bush approval at 52%
.
=
JUNK POLL !
you believe it.....
Junk poll or not, he has been showing a static race. There are brief blips up for each candidate, but week to week, nothing changes.
The Sheeple may be unhappy over gas prices. Wonder if Soros is buying up oil futures????
"W/O Nader
Kerry 51.9%
Bush 47.0%"
Please note that:
a) this poll is of ADULTS, not voters, which is normally highly biased favoring Democrat opinions and positions.
b) the article itself mentioned, without giving details, that the numbers among likely voters were quite different.
c) Even among this Dem biased adult group, Bush and Kerry are TIED within the margin of error.
Also, when I read about the electoral votes, Bush had 300-310 to Kerry's 228 or so.
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President George W. Bush - Job Approval Ratings
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Poll
|
Date
|
Approve
|
Disapprove
|
Spread
|
|
RCP Average
|
5/3 - 5/12
|
48.2%
|
47.0%
|
+1.2%
|
|
5/10 - 5/12
|
52%
|
48%
|
+ 4%
|
|
|
5/11
|
44%
|
49%
|
- 5%
|
|
|
5/7 -5/9
|
46%
|
51%
|
- 5%
|
|
|
5/3 -5/9
|
44%
|
48%
|
- 4%
|
|
|
5/3 - 5/6
|
54%
|
43%
|
+ 11%
|
|
|
5/4 -5/5
|
49%
|
43%
|
+ 6%
|
|
|
5/2 - 5/4
|
49%
|
48%
|
+1%
|
|
|
5/1 - 5/3
|
47%
|
46%
|
+1%
|
|
|
4/26 - 5/3
|
46%
|
47%
|
-1%
|
|
|
4/23 - 4/27
|
46%
|
47%
|
-1%
|
|
|
4/21-4/25
|
48%
|
43%
|
+ 5%
|
|
|
4/21-4/22
|
50%
|
44%
|
+ 6%
|
|
|
4/19-4/22
|
51%
|
47%
|
+ 4%
|
|
|
4/16 - 4/18
|
52%
|
45%
|
+ 7%
|
|
|
4/15 - 4/18
|
51%
|
47%
|
+ 4%
|
|
|
4/15 - 4/17
|
47%
|
52%
|
- 5%
|
|
|
4/8 - 4/15
|
48%
|
51%
|
- 3%
|
|
|
4/1 - 4/14
|
53%
|
44%
|
+ 9%
|
|
|
4/8-4/9
|
49%
|
45%
|
+ 4%
|
|
|
4/8
|
49%
|
47%
|
+ 2%
|
|
|
4/5 - 4/8
|
52%
|
45%
|
+ 7%
|
|
|
4/6 - 4/7
|
49%
|
44%
|
+ 5%
|
|
|
4/5 - 4/7
|
48%
|
50%
|
- 2%
|
|
|
4/1 - 4/4
|
43%
|
47%
|
- 4%
|
|
|
4/1 - 4/4
|
47%
|
53%
|
- 6%
|
|
|
**Harris and Zogby - Instead of Approve or Disapprove these polling firms group Excellent and Good responses versus Fair and Poor.
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Agree with you. 7 polls aren't wrong. While I don't agree with your conclusions many of the times (on here)....The facts do remain....GWB approval ratings are falling and that his mid 40's is not good (at all) for an incumbent.
You're right, KQQL. At the moment, the evidence suggests that Bush is losing to Kerry. I find it hard to believe Bush would win if the election were held tomorrow. The thing to keep in mind is that the election will not be held tomorrow. What's happening today isn't thrilling, but there's no reason why it should cause despair.
Do you only post negative polls?
I find it EXTREMELY hard to believe that 1/3 of the people who would vote for Nader would EVER vote for Bush.
Conclusion: Bogus poll.
I've pointed this out before but what the heck. Isn't it STUNNING that a week or so after all the Democrats were wringing their hands over the fact that Kerry couldn't win and they needed to dump him at the convention we have a major shift in the polls. I am dubious I guess.
Also keep in mind that Bush has pulled back spending on ads for the time being while Kerry initiated a massive $25 million ad buy which may be having an effect. That said I am getting more and more concerned with Bush's campaign team. I've always wondered if they were up to the job and now have not been reassurred lately. Bush needs to get his message out stronger starting with this War. Make it clear why it was necesary. With the recent al queda activity in Iraq with Berg and the attack on Jordan now is the time to make the connections. After being repeatedly lied to about no connections between Iraq and al queda people are starting to believe it. Face it the mainstream media is dead set against you Mr. President you are going to have to force the issues because you will not get a fair shake. Make the case, make it strongly (think JFK and cuban missle crisis) and supply the evidence now and end this potential disaster NOW.
Thanks
registered voters and likely voters are not the same data pool.
we shall see november.
Bush has problems, he needs to definitely take this seriously and fight back by going on the offensive.
I am merely pointing out that we are far from being at the point to become defeatists and throw in the towel, accepting that Kerry's win is "inevitable".
Bush has his work cut out for him, but IMO he still has a 70-80% chance of being re-elected. Granted, I would like to see that number be much higher.
Also, if I recall, didn't the polls keep saying that Carter and Reagan were tied, then Reagan won by a landslide?
Kerry 47% Bush 45%
Election 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 45%
Kerry 47%
Other 4%
Not Sure 4%
RasmussenReports.com
Friday May 14, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush earning 45%.
Both candidates have stayed within 3 percentage points of the 45% mark every single day for ten weeks.
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