Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL
That development appears to be helping Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush. In February, Bush was ahead of Kerry by two percentage points.
If Independent Ralph Nader is among the choices, Kerry gets 49 percent, Bush 44 percent and Nader 6 percent.
Bush's overall job approval rating fell from 49 percent to 46 percent since the last CNN/Time poll on April 8, while his disapproval rating rose from 47 percent to 49 percent -- the first time that more people disapproved of Bush's job performance than approved.
The poll was conducted by telephone Wednesday and Thursday.
The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
I've been wondering if Soros has been buying up oil futures.....
Cavuto said that OPec is going to increase supply?
The bet is on to the first 5 who will take it.
But you're right, it's stupid to vote on the basis of gasoline prices. I know full well that's not under Bush's control, nor should it be. I'm just saying I hear people complaining about it, and when people complain, you can be sure the Rats will be right there to exploit that misery to their advantage. They're like vultures in that sense.
saudis are useless
Yeah, his panel (a combo of libs and us)
all seemed to agree that OPEC is fixing
to open the spigets.
Not only THAT, but every darn one of 'em
praised the ecomomy and think Bush is in
for another 4 years.
MONDAY POLLS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY BACK TO BUSHIE !
WHY .
SAME SEX MARRIAGES IN MASS !
Well, if I ever decide that I think Kerry will win the election I'll be sure to let you know. LOL! And Texas Dawg too, he's got a standing bet offer as well.
Arrogant works.
I have NO love for the Saudis.
NONE.
More from Matthew Dowd
"In addition to approval numbers, pundits and Democrats will place an emphasis on re-elect numbers. Again it is important to have an understanding of historical precedent. Throughout 1995 President Clinton's re-elect hardly ever got above 40%. In a Battleground poll in April, 1995, Clinton's re-elect was 21%. The highest point Clinton's re-elect reached in 1995 was 43% in a poll due in December 1995 for Associated Press. In spite of the low re-elect number, President Clinton ending up winning re-election comfortably.
More recently, in 2002, every major statewide candidate with a re-elect of 45% or higher --- won! The average actual result on election day 2002 showed incumbents finishing 5 to 10 points above their re-elect numbers. It is no longer accurate to suggest that a candidate is vulnerable based solely on an incumbent having a re-elect number under 50%. "
read the whole thing http://www.gop.com/news/read.aspx?ID=3050
also to win Kerry needs Iraq to stay in the tank ... and the economy to go into the tank ... if both of those improve then he is done ...
FWIW, I will remind you in case you didn't notice that I spent all of last year and through about February of this year predicting a Bush landslide of 57%+. I'm as surprised as anyone that the polls are clearly pointing toward a Bush defeat at this juncture.
I have always had a weakness for historical patterns, BTW. It's very disconcerting to me when they clash like they're doing now.. =)
You have no confidence, so hold your tongue about all this so called momentum swinging Kerrys way. The only one worse than Kerry was Dean and the RATS almost got stuck with him. Kerry is the most pathetic candiate I have seen in a long time. Don't forget we are using electronic voting this election, the RATS can't rig those machines.
You have the brainpower of a moth.
------
It takes one to know one
I study people for a living, you are somewhat suspect.
Oh, I have 100% confidence that the momentum is currently swinging Kerry's way.
Except Bush SR who was behind to a massachusets liberal until the republican convention ... or did you not read that ...
to me approval numbers are more important then re-elect numbers.
I don't deserve a Ketchupman for my president. I plan to do all that I can to defeat Kerry the Ketchupman.
I urge all concerned Americans to do the same. Fight back! Get involved! Posting complaints on this board is not enough to ensure victory for our side
Bush Sr was running for an open seat. Open-seat elections follow a whole different patterning than do incumbent reelection campaigns.
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