Oh, I have 100% confidence that the momentum is currently swinging Kerry's way.
However, we don't have a consensus in this Country for a protracted war. The lack of WMD delivered the first real body blow to the President, like it or not. The daily dying of our boys, especially in April, the way we're hamstrung because we are the agressors, we are the invaders, whether our cause be noble or not. All of this began to take its toll a long time ago.
Part of President Bush's problem is his distaste for dialogue. In many ways, it's sound and good and admirable, but as the President he doesn't have the luxury of indulging that distaste as much as he appears to. And he doesn't even need a silver tongue, what he needs to do is to press his case, unfortunately the case has begun to appear hollow to many voters who may not be petrified Conservatives, but who extended a great deal of faith to him and in him. It up to him now to show us that our faith was justified.
AntiGuv, I don't mean any disrespect to our President with this post, just telling it as I see it, and would welcome any argument countering mine.