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Electoral College Breakdown, Installment Five
Various
Posted on 02/22/2004 6:58:20 AM PST by Dales
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1
posted on
02/22/2004 6:58:21 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales
Great Thread!
To: Dales
bump.
3
posted on
02/22/2004 7:03:43 AM PST
by
michaelt
To: Dales
Once again. Excellent.
To: Dales
Fantastic work Dales! Thanks for the post
5
posted on
02/22/2004 7:14:12 AM PST
by
mylife
To: Dales
Great post. The overall popular vote is an interesting indicator only; this is the real deal. Any way to get a ping list going?
To: Dales
Thank you for this excellent series of threads. I am bookmarking them for reference and look forward to your updates later in the year.
I think national polls are useless as it is the electoral college that elects presidents. We need to look at the race state-by-state to see how things really stand.
If I were running the Bush campaign, there is one area I would focus my resources on and that would be the upper Midwest which is chock-full of states that Bush lost very narrowly in 2000. I'm talking Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and lets throw in Pennsylvania as well. Those five states make up nearly 70 electoral votes that Bush was denied in 2000 and getting these states back in the GOP column would pretty much seal the deal for Bush and even put him in landslide territory.
Bush lost both Wisconsin and Iowa by just a few thousand votes - less than 5,000 in each state. He ought to get those states back easily. Minnesota, Michigan and Pennsylvania were also close and are definitely in play for 2004, with Michigan being the toughest nut to crack.
7
posted on
02/22/2004 7:21:15 AM PST
by
SamAdams76
(I do not like the new "Starbucks-style" coffee lids at Dunkin' Donuts)
To: Dales
Great work-- it's good to see Bush ahead with California already in the Rats column.
To: Dales
Regarding Michigan, I see Gephart as a VP choice to bring in the Union vote...
9
posted on
02/22/2004 7:22:33 AM PST
by
Drango
(Liberals give me a rash that even penicillin can't cure.)
To: Gordian Blade; Neets
Ping Neets, as she is running a ping list for these. I think I caught her napping with this one though! lol
10
posted on
02/22/2004 7:28:01 AM PST
by
Dales
To: SamAdams76
I have some things to say on that topic, but I am going to hold off on them until installment 11 (which will be my analysis of the overall campaign and my strategy recommendation).
11
posted on
02/22/2004 7:29:18 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Drango
GOP has a tough economic issue pertaining to outsourcing of jobs overseas. GWB admininstration coming our with a report stating that outsourcing is good for the economy is handing ammo to the Dems to shoot us with. Since corporations do things for tax purposes, I think any corporation that sends jobs overseas should start losing certain tax benefits. Many tax breaks were given to help companies stay in business, expand and ultimately provide employment for Americans. If they take the tax breaks and move the jobs overseas, we the taxpayers just financed our own social detriment. If the GOP does not propose this concept at the state or federal level, the Dems will and that will cost GWB midwest states. If GWB can compromise on spending and immigration, why not prolabor/projob intervention??? I guarantee compromise on free trade/globalism is going to bring in more voters than his stand on spending and immigration.
12
posted on
02/22/2004 7:32:12 AM PST
by
Fee
To: Dales; Neets
Ping Neets, as she is running a ping list Please add me.
13
posted on
02/22/2004 7:47:46 AM PST
by
SC Swamp Fox
(Aim small, miss small.)
To: Fee
Let Nader get into this argument, and he will be Da Man with many Democrats. No kidding. Nader is going to love this issue; he'll lap it up.
14
posted on
02/22/2004 7:47:59 AM PST
by
Galtoid
To: Dales
It's going to be a busy year.
Best wishes for the family!
15
posted on
02/22/2004 7:58:01 AM PST
by
GEC
To: Dales; Neets
Hey, Neets!
Whaddya think we're paying you for?!?
16
posted on
02/22/2004 8:32:27 AM PST
by
headsonpikes
(Spirit of '76 bttt!)
To: Dales
Idaho, I don't expect that to change any time
If we don't stop electing RINOs in Idaho, people are going to lose faith in the Republican party.
Hopefully it won't affect the presidential race.
To: Dales
Electoral College Breakdown This is very informative. I also hope to see a 2004 election map similar to the USA Today's County by County 2000 Voting Map.
This map reveals the wisdom of the Electoral College and how it serves the Republican form of government that Americans enjoy.
To: Dales
If you've started a ping list please add me.
Thanks
Dan
19
posted on
02/22/2004 8:59:48 AM PST
by
pgkdan
To: Dales
Agree with all of them except Michigan, where I'm predicting an upset(against John Kerry).
My first report on Michigan - 2000 numbers - county by county
2002 numbers compared with 2000
This map goes to the township level. The blue here is republican, and the red is democrat, and a lot of those real small red 'dots' are actually small town lines of actually republican areas.
John Kerry's problem here more than anything else is his pompousness and arrogrance. This is a populist state, and 'men of the people' win here. Throw in the fact that Kerry is pro-abort to the extreme, anti-2nd Amendment to the extreme, protested the war and hung with Fonda, raised taxes, backed NAFTA, GATT, and MFN for China, and he's at a distinct disadvantage.
Not only that, he PO'ed Detroit. He did not campaign in Detroit once during the primary season, and even snubbed the NAACP. Only Al Sharpton showed up at that debate. Edwards didn't contest the state(his blunder), but Kerry just campaigned in Warren and Flint. To add to that, the Michigan Democrats moved the caucus sites at the last minutes in several places, most notably Detroit and Southfield.
If Bush can hold his own again in the Yooperland(which is usually democrat) and NE Lower, and win the spots Posthumus won that Bush lost(Macomb, Monroe), reduce his losses downriver, and drive up turnout in West Michigan and Livingston County - he'll pull it off. If Detroit stays home, it become MUCH easier.
20
posted on
02/22/2004 9:17:29 AM PST
by
Dan from Michigan
("You know it don't come easy, the road of the gypsy" - Iron Eagle)
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