Electoral College Breakdown, Installment Five

Various

[Dan from Michigan]

Agreed, but John Kerry is just as bad on the trade issues. Edwards wasn't there for the NAFTA vote, and I'm not sure with the GATT vote.

So Kerry can be neutralized there - IF the GOP attacks him there.

[chiller]

very cool interactive electoral map

(testing if I linked this correctly, if not);

www.edwardsforprez.com/map.html

Check it out and save for future reference.

[chiller]

Love this electoral map. Hoping someone can copy it, since Edwards web site may disappear in the near future.

[PGalt]

Thanks for your work...very informative. Dan, good take I agree.

[newzjunkey]

Any data on California's pending Primary races? I've searched FR and haven't turned up anything.

Nice to see you're back for Decision 2004. :D

[Kuksool]

Installment Five is here.

[Kuksool]

I have a feeling that Kerry and Bush will camp out in Oakland County in the last few days of the Presidential Campaign.

[Dan from Michigan]

Oakland is a strange county, and demographics are going to cause problems there. I do think it's overrated as well since on social issues, what sells in a not of the more 'RINO' parts there will hurt him in Macomb and Monroe. He'll have to sell well without moving left.

SE Oakland - Solid democrat to the core. Southfield, Oak Park, and Royal Oak Township are mostly black, and Huntington Woods, Ferndale, and Pleasant Ridge are all mini Ann Arbors. The City of Royal Oak will elect Rinos.

Western and Northern Borders - Solid Republican. Lyon Township, Milford, Highland, Independence Township, Orion Township, etc. This is as Republican as SE Oakland is Democrat.

Central to Central East – Rochester and Troy are solid GOP areas. Pontiac is a dem stronghold and a GM town. Auburn Hills leans dem with Diamler-Chrysler, but isn’t solid dem. Tom McMillan won there several times, and just won a county commish seat from there. He’s ultra conservative and fights the RINOS as much as the dems. Waterford is a blue-collar marginal GOP area that the dems have been trying and failing to win for years. Birmingham is more liberal, but republican. West Bloomfield (heavily Jewish) will be interesting. It went GOP for congress (Knollenberg) several times, but Gore won by 14% there. How will the Middle East affect the vote there. The other Bloomfields are more GOP. Farmington Hills wants to be 'trendy' all the time.

[Kuksool]

Fernadale is in Oakland County?!

I'll bet the Ferndale City Council will soon be copying the antics of the San Francisco Mayor.

[glennaro]

I appreciated your hard work and excellent analysis in 2000 and look forward to following it again this year. Thank you.

[Clintonfatigued]

Very interesting posting. In Alaska, Hubert Humphrey came very close in 1968, not that it matters now. Michigan only supported Gerald Ford in 1976 because of it was his home state, and went to Gore mainly because of Detroit (95%). In Kentucky, Carter might have won in 1980 if it had not been for John Anderson.

[Dales]

I forgot that Neets had mailed me a copy of the ping list.

[scarface367]

That's it, your fired! :}

[SC Swamp Fox]

I forgot that Neets had mailed me a copy of the ping list.

Did she give you the secret password required to add people to it?

[SC Swamp Fox]

That is a very cool map.

[pgkdan]

Thanks for the map. Let me know if someone knows how to cpy it from the site. I know that I'll be clicking that thing a million times btwn now and November.

[pgkdan]

Boy does time fly! I can'y believe it's been four years since I was logging onto Free Republic every day just to read your latest polling analysis. Time flies when there's a good man in the White House.

[AuH2ORepublican]

For interactive electoral maps that won't disappear when Edwards drops out, go to http://www.grayraven.com/ec/

[AuH2ORepublican]

An even better electoral map:

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/evcalc.php?year=2004