Predictions?? Seven States; Seven Candidates, Little Super Tuesday, February 2, 2004

FreeRepublic ^ | 02-02-04 | Self

[Salvation]

Seven States:

Delaware
South Carolina
Oklahoma
Missouri
North Dakota
Airzona
New Mexico

Seven Candidates:

Clark
Dean
Edwards
Kerry
Kuccinich
Lieberman
Sharpton

[Salvation]

What are your predictions?

(Hope I have all the facts right here!)

[mseltzer]

Do you have a calendar?

[.cnI redruM]

Kerry - 5, Clark - 1, Deadwards -1, the rest nada.

LIEberman drops out. Dean predicts a massive resurgence. Sharpton tells lots of cool jokes. Dennis just enjoys being Dennis.

[PhiKapMom]

I have no idea here in Oklahoma who is going to win. The one thing I do know is that Pres Bush has received over $500,000 from Oklahomans and Kerry $6,000. Don't think Kerry has a chance to win Oklahoma in November. In fact, I would be willing to bet on that one.

38% of Democrats were still undecided on who to vote for in the primary.

[GeronL]

Kerry will most likely sweep.

Edwards MIGHT win the OPEN primary in SC...

I'd be surprised if anyone else won a state.

we can only pray Deanial wins something =o)

[beckysueb]

North Carolina and Missouri to Edwards, Maybe Arizona or New Mexico to Clark and the rest to Kerry. One wild hunch. North Dakota to Dean

[ForOurFuture]

Kerry wins all 7. Iowa and New Hampshire gave him all the momentum he needs to coast to the nomination. The masses love frontrunners.

[Cosmo]

kerry sweeps, sad to say.

[GeronL]

Oh, thats going on a limb =o)

Are you sure a write-in won't beat him in ANY state? lol.

[southernnorthcarolina]

My gut feeling is that the polls showing Clark leading in Oklahoma are bogus and/or out of date. I predict that Edwards will win SC by an unimpressive margin over Kerry, who will finish second as Sharpton fails to ignite the black vote; and that Kerry will win the other six on his way to the nomination.

I'd love to see a "train wreck" deadlocked convention, but it doesn't seem to be in the cards anymore, if it ever was.

[JohnnyZ]

I'm just gonna stick with the folks who make 15% to win delegates:

Missouri
Kerry 50
Edwards 20

Arizona
Kerry 35
Clark 25
Dean 15

South Carolina
Edwards 33
Kerry 25
Sharpton 15
Clark 15

Oklahoma
Clark 32
Kerry 27
Edwards 24

New Mexico
Kerry 38
Clark 24
Dean 19

Delaware
Kerry 35
Lieberman 17
Dean 15

NoDak
Kerry 40
Clark 25
Dean 16

[archy]

What are your predictions?

Absentee voting has already commenced here in Tennessee for the Feb 10th primary. And note that the 11 electoral votes from TN could be critical to either Edwards or Clark, as well as sounding a final death knell for either Kerry or Dean if they don't receive them. Remember that if Al Gore had carried his *home state* of TN in the 2000 election, he wouldn't have needed those votes in Florida, and the 11 from TN would have given him 271 electoral votes, one over the 270 he needed to win. But he couldn't carry his home state...or his home county, nor his home precinct.

And if the Gore machine jams a cog again, it could well be the end of Gore as a primary player at the state level, as well as ensuring his disappearance from the national scene- either as a candidate, or as a deal-maker and string-puller.

-archy-/-

[Arkinsaw]

The Democrats are grade-A bandwagon jumpers. Kerry sweeps.

[BCrago66]

You all are ignoring the electorial phenomenon of Joementum. Joe won't come in 1st in any state, but he will come in...

2nd in Delaware,

3rd in Arizona,

and he will beat Dean to come in 4th in Oklahoma.

[Salvation]

I think Michigan and Washington are among those later.

Wisconsin on the 17th -- don't know if that is accurate.

[Salvation]

**38% of Democrats were still undecided on who to vote for in the primary.**

People tend to forget about the undecideds. What really threw Iowa in my opinion.

[Salvation]

**I think that Bush wins all of them.**

I'm with you there, although I think NM went dimocrat for Gore.

Anyone have a red and blue map from 2000?

[Salvation]

**The masses love frontrunners.**

Follow the sheeple.

[Salvation]

**I'd love to see a "train wreck" deadlocked convention,**

Do we really want this? Then Hitlery could come in and say "I will be your 'most wonderful' candidate."