Posted on 01/30/2004 4:27:51 PM PST by Momaw Nadon
January 30, 2004--Massachusetts Senator John Kerry has taken a one-point lead over President George W. Bush in the latest Rasmussen Reports tracking survey of 1,500 Likely Voters. On the Friday morning after New Hampshire, the Democrat's front runner attracts support from 45% of the nation's voters while the President earns 44% support. Kerry's lead among Democrats is also growing as the nominating process looks forward to February 3.
It has been a remarkable two weeks for the Senator. He trailed the President by 15-points immediately prior to the Iowa caucuses.
Rasmussen Reports will release more detailed comparisons of how the voting public compares Bush and Kerry later today.
There are several reasons for the Senator's surge. Initially, his gains reflected the fact that Kerry became the front runner on the night of the Iowa caucuses. Another is that the Democrats have enjoyed a surge of positive publicity resulting from coverage of Iowa and New Hampshire.
At the same time, things have not gone as well for the President. Just before Iowa, Bush introduced an immigration proposal that was not well received. His State-of-the-Union address was overshadowed by the Democratic nominating process, and confidence in the economy has been declining.
Some Republicans indicate that they believe the public will eventually reject Kerry because he is a Massachusetts liberal. However, at this point in the process, just 37% of Americans identify the Massachusetts Senator as a liberal. Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Americans view him as a moderate while 11% say he is a political conservative.
From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports will continue to monitor the race between Bush and Kerry on a daily basis. However, we will no longer measure ballot tests for other Democrats until and unless the results of future primaries suggest another contender could topple Kerry.
In the race for the Democratic nomination, Kerry now has twice the support of his nearest rivals.
In a match between President Bush and a generic Democrat, the Democrat now leads 49% to 42%.
In addition to our daily political tracking, Rasmussen Reports measures the economic confidence of American consumers and Investors on a daily basis.
The national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
If it's any consolation, half the country thinks the same thing about Bush boy too.
If Kerry grows a brain and starts dropping hints that he's against PBA, limitless "immigration", "gay" marriage, and won't call for any new gun control legislation, it's all over for Rove. Oh, and Bush, too.
What? He doesn't really/i> believe in that? So what? Remember Clinton's "Middle Class Tax Cut"? He campaigned on it, won on it, and before the ink was dry on his inauguration papers, he was delivering his "so sad, too bad" speech.
Half the country thinks Ketchup boy is a moderate or a conservative. Heaven help us all!
If it's any consolation, half the country thinks the same thing about Bush boy too.
If Kerry grows a brain and starts dropping hints that he's against PBA, limitless "immigration", "gay" marriage, and won't call for any new gun control legislation, it's all over for Rove. Oh, and Bush, too.
What? He doesn't really believe in that? So what? Remember Clinton's "Middle Class Tax Cut"? He campaigned on it, won on it, and before the ink was dry on his inauguration papers, he was delivering his "so sad, too bad" speech.
Now tell me how much GHW Bush was ahead of Clinton before his second term campaign.
Repeat: OBL is in custody already. I have it on good authority that bin Laden is being grillled for info right now. 'Nuff said.
All well and good, but remember that all those voters who are currently going for the guys he's running "neck-and-neck" against now will be voting for him in November.
Please don't say "you". I'm sure not one of them and I agree with you. Many here should be throwing a party if they think this poll is accurate.(I don't, btw)
Really? Of course, (no offense) I'm dubious except for the fact that we have recently heard the claim that we WILL capture him this year. Who knows? Maybe they do have him.
He's eminently qualified -- to become president -- for precisely the reasons you detailed above.
Remember the previous "JFK" who became president? He won the election on two issues: looks, an charm.
John "Kerry" Kohn may not have much particularly obvious in either department, but the incontrovertable fact is, he has a proven track record. He does know how to play women.
And women do vote. Maybe not all 51% of them that make up the population, but plenty of 'em do, especially when a bad boy candidate is wooing 'em.
Repeat: OBL is in custody already. I have it on good authority that bin Laden is being grillled for info right now. 'Nuff said.
If you are correct, then, when the news (of his ten months in captivity) comes out prior to the election -- and make no mistake, it will come out, if it's true -- it will be (rightly) perceived as the most cynical political move in history.
It will be the "October Surprise" that goes down in history, and it will cost Rove the election.
You can bank on it.
Too bad, for them. You know how they don't care about us anymore? Well, that sentiment breeds reciprocity.
The more I read of his stuff, the less I perceive any "heart" in it, and the more it seems like he's working off a script.
Make of that what you will.
One has to stand in awe of Kerry's military service 33 years ago. Of course, that's where it ends, including with Kerry — inasmuch as, upon his return from war in 1970, he promptly began trashing his fellow Vietnam vets by calling them genocidal murderers.
This is Part Two of an article from FrontPage Magazine (link to part one at end)
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