IA caucus - Kerry 38% (winner), Edwards 32%, Dean 18% (97% reporting) (Gephardt drops out)

self

[calvin sun]

FYI it's being carried live on Cspan. They said coverage starts at 7 pm ET, with the actual caucus at 7:30 pm ET.

[BlessedAmerican]

Glad you started this...must go but will be back later tonight....Go Dean....

[dawn53]

Thanks for the link. My 76 year old father just called me and said, "Tell me how this caucus business works."
I'll be reporting back to him all the info I'm getting.

[Howlin]

LOL!

[af_vet_1981]

No. You must prove that you hate Bush.

Yep, you don't have to be a liberal traitor.

[farmer18th]

Is it just me or does that Gephardt girl look attracted to a real conservative man?

[Nataku X]

I posted this prediction before, and here it is again:

Despite weak polling recently, Dean will capture the nomination with the young Democrat vote & the rabid Democrat vote.

Gephardt will come in a close 2nd, capturing the "working guy" vote and make a surprisingly strong showing. Lots of people have lost their jobs and are extremely angry & desperate, and they will be turning to Gephardt.

Kerry and Edwards will be 3rd and 4th, respectively, splitting the older & slightly less rabid Democrat vote because the older & slightly more centrist folks know that Dean has no way of winning. Edwards' supporters may also make a last-minute move to Kerry due to recent publicity because they do not want Dean to be nominated. If this happens, Kerry could be 2nd and Edwards would have a poorer turnout than Lieberman.

Lieberman will be 5th or perhaps 6th (behind Kuninch), he'll take the intelligent Democrat vote, because they know that Lieberman is the only one who has a prayer against Bush (fortunately for us, this will be a very small minority)

Kuninch will have a strong showing here (and also in all the other states), possibly 5th or even 4th, because this guy's supporters are the most rabid of the rabid Democrat... and true "broken glass" Democrats

Dean, Kuninich, and Gephardt supporters are far more motivated and passionaite than the Lieberman/Lurch/Pretty Boy Edwards supporters.

[!1776!]

I've got a question about the caucus process.

I've read several articles on how a caucus works, but my question is, in a couple of the articles I read they indicated the members met in homes.

Is each meeting a particular precinct? If that was the case, in my area, they'd have to have pretty large meeting halls in order for people to attend a caucus.

The meeting location is based on what they expect to need for room. In some rural precincts it could be a house, but school auditoriums or halls are probably more common.

And the bit about if one candidate doesn't receive 15%, then they basically disqualify that candidate and revote, that seems so weird to me. With a large field of candidates isn't there a remote possibility (not in this race, but perhaps in another race) that each candidate would receive under 15%. For instance, what if all 9 ran in Iowa, and each had a constituency that was under 15%, then what would they do????

They go until they get a winner that meets the cut. It is an opportunity to make cases for the various candidates and try to sway people to the candidate of your choice.

WHile it may seem arcane it is a very informative process, though stamina can help more than position on issues.

In the end this is where county delegates are selected (to represent a specific candidate, and they goes on to select state delegates for the national convention.

It isn't a short process, and not as instant gratification as poll results, but it is open and pushes dialog.

[VRWC_minion]

You obviously have never heard Theresa Heinz-Kerry open her mouth

Leave it alone. Not gonna go there. No, no. I'll be good. Leave it alone. Step away from the key board.

[MeekOneGOP]

Dykes for Dean

[Dog]

Hi I'll be on and off this thread tonight. Looks like we caught an Al Qaeda bigshot in Pakistan....but I can't seem to nail down who he was....conflicting names in different articles.

[BCrago66]

There's a rather pathetic pudgy professor on C-Span right now...

[mwl1]

OK, I concur.

[MeekOneGOP]

Dykes for Dean

[Howlin]

But wait:

Here's what CFC__VRWC said just today!

To: Howlin

I can't understand this; how will his flakes now support Edwards, and not Dean?

Flakes - the most horrible word in the English language to the Breck Girl. His hair cringes just thinking about them.

173 posted on 01/19/2004 4:59:11 PM EST by CFC__VRWC

[CFC__VRWC]

I can't understand this; how will his flakes now support Edwards, and not Dean?

[OXENinFLA]

Lay your bets on the table.


WILL THERE BE CHAIRS THROWN?

[maggief]

Before: After:

[babaloo]

I am with you about being glad they are leaving tomorrow. It has been dawn to dusk Bush bashing for months. What is really funny is watching the local TV anchors trying to audition for network or cable jobs by being particularly perky and insightful during their reports. They all have on new spiffy outfits, hair-colors and do's

[Sofa King]

Who cares what the hell the French suggest?

[Indy Pendance]

Can I swoon yet???????

[Mo1]

MSNBC has a clock caucus countdown up

16:34 time left