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Posted on 11/03/2003 9:17:27 AM PST by tubavil
Edited on 01/26/2004 3:58:09 PM PST by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
Monday, November 3, 2003
A new message was posted in the last few hours by the Jeddah-based al-Qaeda-linked Al-Islah (Reform) society calling on Muslims to flee New York, Washington and Los Angeles in advance of major al Qaeda attacks in those cities. This is revealed by DEBKAfile.
The message accuses the United States of predetermining its end (doom) by its policies. ?The Jews rule the Pentagon by remote control and (are the cause) of Muslims being killed in every corner of the world. The United States should therefore expect more blows.?
The message is signed on behalf of the al Bayan (The Threat) movement by ?your warrior brother, Abul Hassan al Khadrami?.
Our Muslim expert identifies the name of the signatory as belonging to a Yemeni from Hadhrameuth, the Bin Ladens? place of origin where Osama enjoys substantial tribal support.
DEBKAfile?s counter-terror sources stress that warnings appearing on these forums are taken both very seriously and with caution by the intelligence services keeping track of the terrorist network?s electronic traffic.
Last November, Jeddah-based fundamentalist forums addressed a message to an Al Qaeda member, saying whoever understands ? understands; whoever knows, knows, but we are marching towards an operation that will take us to Paradise. Three days later, the Mombasa Paradise hotel was blown up killing 12 Kenyans and 3 Israelis and a failed shoulder-launched Strela anti-air missile missed an Israeli airliner at Mombasa airport.
Let me put this into layman's terms.
For a nuke to detonate rather than "fizzle," you've got to have a precisely shaped fissionable outer shell or globe and a precisely shaped core. Most nuke designs, especially the *smaller* (read: suitcase sized) ones also require a nuclear "trigger" (which is made up of a substance that emits large quantities of neutrons at high speeds...a fact of science that simultaneously causes the trigger to decay rapidly with a very short "half life").
So for the radioactive components of a nuke, you've got to have precise shapes, and you've got to detonate the device *before* the radioactive elements decay past a certain point. The "trigger" decays the fastest, and it is reasonable to say that most atomic triggers are going to be worthless after 120 days. The core typically decays much slower, and after some number of years will have introduced numerous atomic impurities into itself, and its remaining fissionable material will gradually cease to be over the "critical mass" threshold. The globe/shell typically decays the slowest of all, but even it will have impurities being introduced into itself over the years, impurities that *will* increase the likelihood of getting a "fizzle" rather than a boom.
But wait, there's more!
These radioactive elements wreck havoc upon the electronic components used to detonate the nuclear bomb. Every day that the wiring and circuit components are exposed to this radiation reduces the likelihood of the electronics working as designed. Ditto for the effects of long-term radiation on the convention explosive that are used to initiate the nuclear chain reactions.
So for these basic reasons and many others, nuclear warheads/bombs require an enormous amount of constant maintenance.
Nukes are *NOT* like old WW2 bombs that shrimpers pull up from the sea in their nets every now and again. You don't just ignore a nuke for decades and then think that it will go BOOM!
After 4 months without maintenance, you've got about a 50-50 chance of a fizzle instead of a BOOM.
Each day after that dramatically reduces the chances of the device working as designed. Even rust or normal metallic corrosion will greatly reduce the chances of such an atomic device being anything more than a dirty bomb.
And just for the record: Uranium and Plutonium *are* metals. They are also very brittle, another factor to consider.
So anyone running around claiming that they've got old "suitcase" nukes from the Soviet Union (deceased since 1989) is either patently uneducated on atomic weapons *OR* simply bluffing.
Even if they knew the codes to activate the device, if it is more than 4 months out of maintenance it will probably just fizzle and scare the crap out of every news anchor in NYC.
And this isn't the sort of maintenance that can be performed inside someone's garage, either.
Here's another thought: the terrorists didn't brag about 9/11 *prior* to 9/11.
Those who know, don't talk. Those who talk, don't know.
Your mileage may vary.
Rule number one: "You don't talk about Fight Club."
No need to worry...KEWL!!
"But wait, there's more! These radioactive elements wreak havoc upon the electronic components used to detonate the nuclear bomb. Every day that the wiring and circuit components are exposed to this radiation reduces the likelihood of the electronics working as designed. Ditto for the effects of long-term radiation on the convention explosive that are used to initiate the nuclear chain reactions. So for these basic reasons and many others, nuclear warheads/bombs require an enormous amount of constant maintenance. Nukes are *NOT* like old WW2 bombs that shrimpers pull up from the sea in their nets every now and again. You don't just ignore a nuke for decades and then think that it will go BOOM! After 4 months without maintenance, you've got about a 50-50 chance of a fizzle instead of a BOOM."
"And therefore, Homeland Security is no longer necessary," he said, mockingly...
"Each day after that dramatically reduces the chances of the device working as designed. Even rust or normal metallic corrosion will greatly reduce the chances of such an atomic device being anything more than a dirty bomb. And just for the record: Uranium and Plutonium *are* metals. They are also very brittle, another factor to consider. So anyone running around claiming that they've got old "suitcase" nukes from the Soviet Union (deceased since 1989) is either patently uneducated on atomic weapons *OR* simply bluffing. Even if they knew the codes to activate the device, if it is more than 4 months out of maintenance it will probably just fizzle and scare the crap out of every news anchor in NYC."
Good to hear...
"And this isn't the sort of maintenance that can be performed inside someone's garage, either. Here's another thought: the terrorists didn't brag about 9/11 *prior* to 9/11. Those who know, don't talk. Those who talk, don't know."
I share yer desire that nothing untoward occurs...MUD
I mean, c'mon...any moron knows that you should never give away your Very Secret And Utterly Evil Plan before you do it. Sheesh.
What an amateur. He and his pedophilic "prophet" can kiss my American butt.
WND
HEADS UP! New FBI warning cites biochem threat - Feds advise security to be on alert for 'unusual powders, liquids, odors'-By Paul Sperry - WASHINGTON The FBI is warning law enforcement in a new security advisory to be alert for signs of a biological or chemical attack against the homeland by al-Qaida terrorists over the next few weeks - Unexplained or unusual odors, such as the smell of "bitter almonds," are among "potential indicators of threats involving" weapons of mass destruction, according to the advisory issued earlier this week by the FBI counterterrorism division. - WorldNetDaily obtained a copy of the report labeled "law enforcement sensitive."p> Been predicting targets on Officials in ME- here's another: 'Saddam's bombmaker' hit in assassination attempt Hamza touted as authoritative source on nuclear program - An Iraqi newspaper Iraq of Tomorrow along with Iraqi scientists and members of the expatriate community are reporting that U.S. emissary Khidhir Hamza, has been the victim of a bomb attack
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