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82% to 86% Correct predictor of who will POTUS...
Sam Stovall

Posted on 10/02/2016 6:53:34 PM PDT by entropy12

Link only...Bloomberg is fussy about copyright issues.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues
KEYWORDS: 2016; election; polls; prediction; stockmarket; trump
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This method has correctly predicted re-election or rejection of party in control of White House, since 1944, with 82-86% accuracy!

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-30/this-chart-predicts-trump-will-win-unless-the-s-p-rallies-in-october

1 posted on 10/02/2016 6:53:34 PM PDT by entropy12
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To: entropy12

S&P might depend on what Douchebank in Germany does


2 posted on 10/02/2016 6:57:47 PM PDT by dynachrome (When an empire dies, you are left with vast monuments in front of which peasants squat to defecate)
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To: dynachrome

Deutschebank got a relief when the US toned down its attempt to skim from $15 Bn. The markets were overjoyed. I figured the bank offered 0bama a per$sonal vielen dank.


3 posted on 10/02/2016 6:59:38 PM PDT by combat_boots (MSM: We lie to you sheep at the slaughterhouse to keep you calm during slaughter)
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To: dynachrome

Douchebank is in BIG trouble. Could it be another repeat of Lehman Bros?


4 posted on 10/02/2016 7:01:11 PM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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To: combat_boots

I’m afraid that’s a false glimmer of hope rumor.
TSATHTF

Some Deutsche Bank Clients Unable To Access Cash Due To “IT Outage” | Zero Hedge

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-02/some-deutsche-bank-clients-unable-access-cash-due-it-outage?page=1

Some Deutsche Bank Clients Unable To Access Cash Due To “IT Outage”
Tyler Durden’s picture
by Tyler Durden
Oct 2, 2016 3:22 PM
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While it now seems that Friday’s rumor of a substantially reduced Deutsche Bank settlement with the DOJ, which sent the stock price soaring from all time lows, was false following a FAZ report that CEO John Cryan has not yet begun the renegotiation process, and in the “next few days” is set to fly to the US to discuss the proposed RMBS misselling settlement with the US Attorney General, Germany’s largest lender continues to be impacted by the public’s declining confidence, exacerbated over the weekend by a disturbing “IT glitch.”


5 posted on 10/02/2016 7:03:30 PM PDT by MarchonDC09122009 (When is our next march on DC? When have we had enough?)
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To: entropy12
Douchebank is in BIG trouble. Could it be another repeat of Lehman Bros?

Actually, a week or so ago on Varney & Co., they referred to Duetchebank (sp?) as Germany's Lehman Bros.

6 posted on 10/02/2016 7:03:54 PM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: entropy12

“Douchebank is in BIG trouble. Could it be another repeat of Lehman Bros?”

Doubtful. Lehman was a spark, the gigantic housing bubble was the fuel.

There doesn’t appear to be anything like the housing bubble for a Deutschebank collapse to trigger.


7 posted on 10/02/2016 7:24:17 PM PDT by Pelham (DLM. Deplorable Lives Matter)
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To: entropy12

Here is your link in a clickable format:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-30/this-chart-predicts-trump-will-win-unless-the-s-p-rallies-in-october


8 posted on 10/02/2016 7:24:36 PM PDT by Innovative ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: LibertarianLiz

There are no spelling police on this thread, so no worries, but anyway it is Deutsche Bank.


9 posted on 10/02/2016 7:27:53 PM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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To: Pelham

Who is holding the $1.3 TRILLION student loans? Who is holding the mortgage loan of the family who bought my condo last week at 50% over what we paid 5 year ago, with 3.5% down (FHA insured of course), who holds the $4 Trillion printed by the FED with various Quantitative easing? You are correct, it is not strictly housing bubble this time, but why do I feel like I am sitting in a giant bubble bath.


10 posted on 10/02/2016 7:38:31 PM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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To: Innovative

They found a dozen boxes in Ohio with Hillary votes wow

http://pamelageller.com/2016/10/tens-of-thousands-of-fraudulent-clinton-votes-found-in-ohio-warehouse.html/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter


11 posted on 10/02/2016 7:41:41 PM PDT by ground_fog ( My God this was from today!)
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To: ground_fog

Please, somebody, tell Pamela Geller that story is a fake; the pic of the ballot boxes in the warehouse is from a British election in 2015!!!


12 posted on 10/02/2016 7:45:46 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: ground_fog

And here’s the article on the 2015 election in Britain, from which the pic was lifted & then photoshopped & put into that bogus story:

http://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/election-2015-polling-day-birmingham-9197585


13 posted on 10/02/2016 7:51:08 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: entropy12

“Who is holding the $1.3 TRILLION student loans?”

My guess is that it’s the investors who own stock or buy paper from Sallie Mae, listed on the NASDAQ.

“Who is holding the mortgage loan of the family who bought my condo last week at 50%...”

It’s surely part of a CDO bundle, sold to investors. Insurance companies and retirement funds buy them for the cash flow.

“who holds the $4 Trillion printed by the FED with various Quantitative easing”

The Fed holds the paper. The banks get cash balances in exchange. QE purchases ended in late 2014.

“but why do I feel like I am sitting in a giant bubble bath.”

There is arguably a bubble in bond prices right now since interest rates are at record lows. When interest rates go up bond prices will tank. But unless the borrowers default the lenders will continue to get paid, which wasn’t the case with mortgage defaults. A lot of the bonds are gov’t issues and depend upon tax receipts. So defaults will depend upon the ability of the issuing govt’s to collect taxes.

And if the bond market tanks, it will take the stock market with it. The bond market is much larger.

But I don’t see a bubble scenario as big as the mortgage bubble. That one caught a whole lot of investment professionals asleep at the switch.


14 posted on 10/02/2016 8:13:16 PM PDT by Pelham (DLM. Deplorable Lives Matter)
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To: Pelham

15 posted on 10/02/2016 8:42:41 PM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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To: entropy12

There are many of these never or almost never wrong predictors. They don’t all agree.


16 posted on 10/02/2016 9:14:26 PM PDT by arthurus (Hillary's campaign is getting shaky)
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To: ground_fog

I am a bit skeptical. Are they still using ballot boxes up there? I thought the electronic voting machines were everywhere.


17 posted on 10/02/2016 9:18:17 PM PDT by arthurus (Hillary's campaign is getting shaky)
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To: Pelham

You can’t see it because it’s what you live in.

i.e. the bubble today is the world’s economy itself.

We’re like fish that can’t see any water because we’re swimming in it.


18 posted on 10/03/2016 5:12:53 AM PDT by Mr. Douglas (Today is your life. What are you going to do with it?)
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To: arthurus

Thankfully where I live we still use paper ballots.

We have electronic machines available but they are for the handicapped. Last election no one used those machines.


19 posted on 10/03/2016 5:35:19 AM PDT by Not gonna take it anymore (If Obama were twice as smart as he is, he would be a wit)
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To: arthurus

Agreed, only thing 100% certain is our mortality.


20 posted on 10/03/2016 6:31:19 AM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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