Posted on 03/22/2016 4:40:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As it stands, the two people most likely to accept their parties' nominations at this summer's national conventions are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Each has a sizable lead in delegates; each, we are assured by their opponents, will somehow end up losing.
Those opponents, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders*, are hardly objective observers of the situation of course, any more than was Marco Rubio, whose last-minute insistence that he would win Florida was heartbreaking in the manner of an afterschool special. ("You'll get 'em next time, Tiger," we all sniffed. "You'll get 'em next time.") But it's an interesting question: How likely is it that one or both of them will end up toppling their party's presumed front-runners?
It's impossible to answer this with certainty, of course, because if we could, we'd know precisely how the next several months are going to play out. But we'll give you our answer up-front: In our estimation, it is more likely that Ted Cruz will be the Republican nominee than it is that Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic one.
* There's another guy running, too. Fella from Ohio? He literally can't win enough delegates to be the nominee, so we'll skip him in this analysis....
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
This raises a good question.
At some point, Donald becomes the winner.
What then? Cruz is starting to become the guy who just is running to keep running.
Will he be the one, who hands the nomination to Romney?
I sure do not want Romney. Remember him? He ran last time. Obama won.
if only he wasn’t plastic
” it is more likely that Ted Cruz will be the Republican nominee than it is that Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic one. “
I thinks the likelihood for both are zero, as in NONE.
Take a look at cruz’s pressers.
either nobody, a few insiders or a threadbare background and more reporters than “fans”.
It sounds to me like as a little kid you sat on the bench when your team was down 6 to4 in the 5th inning and you want to quit.
Are you planning to continue to post 20 threads/day of ‘Ted can win’ even when it become mathematically impossible for him to reach 1237?
What’s got me wondering is this: Just who is that these hordes of die-hard Trump fanatics are trying to convince?
Seeing as this isn’t your website, what’s it to you?
IMo had the field not been overloaded Cruz would have won the south but let’s see now when Cruz gave Trump a head start and we enter primaries where Conservatives only get to vote.
They seem to have the same insecurity of their idol.
Likelihood is small but non-zero. (Hey, it’s a math thing.)
Just curious.
Yeah, just like in the general.
...Oh wait.
Not at all.
I am a Trump supporter. I have been a Trump supporter, for quite a long time.
2ndDivisionVet is a good guy, but for some reason this season went with Cruz. I like 2ndDivisionVet and I like Cruz, but Trump is winning.
I am just saying, at some point it will make sense for Cruz too stand down, get with Trump, accept a good position somewhere with Trump, then he will run again in the future.
Trump wins. Cruz wins. And Romney does not win.
That seems like a very good solution to me. What Cruz seems to be doing is selling out in every regard, to the GOP establishment. I strongly oppose this, and I am starting to strongly oppose Cruz because he seems to have become a “just keep running to disrupt” candidate.
We need to win the presidency, and our guy is very, very strong.
Very strong.
Cruz has a strong future.
But it is not, as president in 2016 or 2017.
Cruz, stand down.
Cruz has upset more than a few decent people. Time for him to just go away.
It’s a paid vacation for Cruz. He doesn’t do much in the senate anyway so no big loss paying him $168K plus his bennies and extra for committee spots. Probably best to keep him away from the senate anyway. Never know another corker type bill may show up with Cruz saying yes as fast as he can.
The only reason any political competitor quits is lack of money. As long as the donors are payin’, the candidates are stayin’.
Yes Arizona starts the test.
..2ndDivisionVet is a good guy, but for some reason this season went with Cruz. I like 2ndDivisionVet and I like Cruz, but Trump is winning...
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