Posted on 01/31/2016 3:27:48 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Des Moines, Iowa -- 135,000.
That's the "magic number" to watch Monday night as Republican caucus-goers gather around the Hawkeye State to choose their presidential nominee, according to data collected and analyzed by numerous GOP campaign officials.
Four years ago, a record-breaking number of Iowans -- 121,503 -- participated in the Republican caucuses. If turnout exceeds 135,000 this year, GOP insiders agree, it will be an indication that Donald Trump has attracted a significant number of new voters to the caucuses. And if the increase is even more drastic -- say, upwards of 150,000, which some Republicans believe is possible -- then Trump will likely win.
But if turnout is below 135,000, Iowa will be Ted Cruz's to lose, for two reasons: Firstly, both public and internal polling shows that Cruz's supporters are, by and large, veterans of the caucus process, meaning their support can be counted on no matter what. Secondly, the Cruz campaign has poured massive resources into a field operation to successfully identify, persuade, and recruit voters. Cruz's team, with the help of advanced analytics and micro-targeting, has a very good idea of exactly who is going to show up and vote for them Monday night....
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
What’s the weather forecast for Monday evening across Iowa? That could make a difference.
121,503 is pitiful.
We had a big fight. I fell. Broke my leg. He fell. Got a concussion.
Sorry, we won't be able to get to do the caucus thing.
My other neighbors said they were going for Trump. Said they're tired of playing the lottery....and they're going for the win!!
Bad weather could play a part, as well.
Meanwhile, one of Trump's precinct captains was complaining Thursday that she hand't yet been given her phone list of voters to call for Monday night.
There are going to be a lot of recriminations here tomorrow night, unless that mailer thingee bites Cruz harder than I think it will.
this exact post was made this morning.
yet ANOTHER duplicate from the CruzTroll crowd.
either ya’ll are too stupid to search by title before posting or don’t care.
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3391006/posts
Here’s at idea. Let’s wait 36 hours and we’ll know.
I searched. I ALWAYS do. And I don’t appreciate your attitude.
“I searched. I ALWAYS do.”
then “stupid” it is:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/search?m=all;o=time;q=quick;s=magic%20number
seriously, you CruzTrolls ought to stop doing this.
Not from me. As long as Trump comes in second or even third he is going to blow out NH and SC and NV then on to the SEC and Fla.
Meanwhile, one of Trump’s precinct captains was complaining Thursday that she hand’t yet been given her phone list of voters to call for Monday night
_________________________________________________________
Trump will outsource governing to all the ‘smartest people actually managing anything is beneath his Trumpness.
Does anyone know when results can be expected? Will it be an 8 PM / 10 PM thing, or will it be a Tuesday thing?
The number of ballots seem rather small, but I don’t know if the counting is automated or by hand.
New voters?
By bus. From out of state.
When I participated a decade or so ago, there were no voting machines. Just party business, an opportunity for one person to briefly speak for their candidate (not all candidates even had a spokesperson), and then a vote and tally. Total time just under two hours.
The democrappers have a completely different and arcane process.
Results usually in very late at night, probably prior to midnight.
I check “Latest Articles” a couple of times a day and miss things so I don’t care if there is a time lapse. If I have to go back through a couple of pages of threads (rarely) and I see an earlier post, if it has a high number of replies I’ll read those, too.
chill.
Weather reports are saying that the first snowfall should begin around the time the caucuses are finishing. Shouldn’t have any affect.
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