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How Cruz wins Iowa, and the nomination
American Thinker ^ | December 10, 2015 | Fritz Pettyjohn

Posted on 12/10/2015 5:57:31 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

At Nate Silver's 538.com, they describe the Republican electorate as a five-ring circus, composed of Libertarian, Tea Party, Evangelical, Establishment, and Moderate voters. A candidate who can bring three of the rings together will be the winner. Ted Cruz is the one who's doing it.

With his pastor/father Rafael leading the way, Cruz has taken the lead among Iowa religious voters away from Ben Carson. Their affection for the fervently Christian Carson is not enough to overcome his obvious weakness as a commander in chief. Santorum and Huckabee are his other competitors in this ring, and neither has Cruz's money or organization. They're going nowhere, and evangelicals like to go with a winner, just like everyone else. Cruz now has this bloc firmly in his grasp, and he's not letting go.

Marco Rubio is Cruz's main competition for the Tea Party ring, but Rubio is not putting in the time schmoozing with them that Iowans believe they're entitled to. Cruz has a far superior organization in a state that greatly rewards it. While Rubio seeks to bridge the Establishment/Tea Party divide, Cruz revels in denunciations of the Republican power elites. He's Tea Party, born and bred, and it's paying off....

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Iowa; New York; Texas; Campaign News; Issues; Parties
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; cruzinalong; election2016; evangelicals; iowa; newyork; rubio; teaparty; tedcruz; texas; trump
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1 posted on 12/10/2015 5:57:31 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Marco Rubio? That made this whole piece a farce.


2 posted on 12/10/2015 5:59:01 PM PST by dforest
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Even wishing upon a star won't work. That's not a moon, it's Trump Death Star & Resort:


3 posted on 12/10/2015 5:59:51 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: dforest

The Beltway thinks he’s dreamy.


4 posted on 12/10/2015 6:01:05 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: dforest

The Beltway thinks he’s dreamy.


5 posted on 12/10/2015 6:01:05 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

First Cruz needs to start polling better. If he is way behind in the polls he is not going to be winning anything. So far it looks like Trump will run the table.


6 posted on 12/10/2015 6:02:43 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trumps momentum is like a runaway freight train, he has the mojo now to win Iowa and the rest of the states.


7 posted on 12/10/2015 6:04:46 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Nate Silver is smoking crack.

People are looking for a LEADER. They want someone to kick ass and chew bubble-gum simultaneously. That person is Trump.

I'm sorry, but Cruz is Trump's Frank Nitti. He ain't getting the nomination.

WHO GOT THE CRUZ PING LIST?!

8 posted on 12/10/2015 6:05:11 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Its a well thought out article, Cruz can do it..his biggest obstacle isn’t Trump, its the establishment.


9 posted on 12/10/2015 6:08:57 PM PST by gwgn02
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

As much as I admire Trump’s stance on a variety of pressing issues, I will always vote for a strict Constitutionalist over a Celebrity any day.


10 posted on 12/10/2015 6:10:44 PM PST by PROCON (It's not islamophobia, it's islamonausea)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Hon,

Do you think saying that 100 times makes it so?


11 posted on 12/10/2015 6:10:45 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

First Cruz needs to start polling better. If he is way behind in the polls he is not going to be winning anything. So far it looks like Trump will run the table.

_______________

I agree. Last week I thought Cruz may win Iowa...not so sure now. Like you say Trump may run the table.


12 posted on 12/10/2015 6:10:55 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Because all of us in every other state are just waiting to see how the ethanol farmers and church ladies in IA vote so we can follow their lead. /s


13 posted on 12/10/2015 6:13:16 PM PST by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man Standing.)
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To: Hugin

Yeah, that’s exactly how it works.


14 posted on 12/10/2015 6:13:51 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

you haven’t been keeping up with the polls, especially the Iowa polls lately, have you?


15 posted on 12/10/2015 6:15:42 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright (WTF? How Karl Rove and the Establishment Lost...Again (Amazon Best Seller))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

When one candidate of 12 is at 35 and nobody else is even at 17 THERE IS NO SECOND PLACE so I don’t know where Cruz is but saying he’s in second place and “surging” is silly.


16 posted on 12/10/2015 6:16:15 PM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.VE)
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To: calisurfer
I agree. Last week I thought Cruz may win Iowa...not so sure now.

What happened to change your mind. To me, Iowa has never looked so secure for Cruz. I think he will crush Trump and everyone else in the caucuses.

17 posted on 12/10/2015 6:18:44 PM PST by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It seems Donald Trump is taking after Nancy Pelosi now.

Nancy Pelosi “ we won’t know what’s in Obamacare until we pass it.

Trump said he postpone his trip to Israel and reschedule it at a later time when he is elected president to meet with BiBi.

So we won’t know Trump’s true intentions for Israel or the matter over Jerusalem as the undivited capital of Israel until after he is elected president.


18 posted on 12/10/2015 6:19:06 PM PST by American Constitutionalist ( because the Constitution matteHow canrs.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The 5-Ring Diagram


19 posted on 12/10/2015 6:19:40 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

20 posted on 12/10/2015 6:21:02 PM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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