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Talk show primary: Cruz may be trailing in polls, but winning big among conservative radio hosts
The Politico ^ | March 28, 2015 | Hadas Gold and Jonathan Topaz

Posted on 03/29/2015 12:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Glenn Beck wants listeners to pray for him. Mark Levin says Fox News is out to get him. Hugh Hewitt calls him an “intellectual leader.” Rush Limbaugh thinks his campaign launch was “masterful.” Laura Ingraham hails him as “Reaganesque.” Erick Erickson considers him a “good friend.”

Ted Cruz may be trailing in the polls and strapped for cash, but the first declared candidate of the 2016 race is winning in at least one key contest — the conservative talk-show primary.

Tens of millions of listeners — and potential GOP primary voters — tune in each week to the biggest right-wing radio hosts, who hold forth on the merits and demerits of the various 2016 Republican hopefuls as keenly as they spit invective about Barack Obama and the Democrats. Many of them are big fans of the Texas senator, if not outright supporters. Most are holding their cards close, refusing to hug any candidate too tightly, be it in the spirit of equanimity or out of fear of alienating some listeners.

But nearly all the kings and queens of the conservative airwaves express admiration for a man almost universally despised by his Senate colleagues and dismissed by the mainstream media: Cruz. And they are equally clear about who they do not like: Mushy “progressives” like Jeb Bush and Chris Christie.

No question—in past elections, conservative radio hosts have struggled to translate their enthusiasm for a candidate into a winning presidential campaign. But the frequent encomiums to Cruz will provide him with a reliable supply of free media and powerful, sustained validation from some of the most important gatekeepers in the Republican sphere.

Cruz’s biggest booster may be Glenn Beck, who – though he declared this month that he is no longer a Republican and no longer supports the party – remains a powerful force on the right, with an estimated base of 7 million listeners.

In December 2013, Beck said Cruz “may be our Ronald Reagan because that guy does not take prisoners. That guy is a thousand times smarter than 99 percent of the politicians I have ever met.”

Cruz even called Beck the Friday before his campaign announcement to tell him about his plans and to talk about prayer, a move Beck said “means the world to me.” Beck urged his flock to “fast and pray like you have never fasted and prayed ever before because all the guns are coming out for this guy, all of the guns.”

On Monday, Beck was ebullient as Cruz declared his candidacy. “It’s morning in America again, especially if you’re in Lynchburg,” the site of Cruz’s announcement, Beck said. “The GOP is about to be radically surprised. I think the groundswell for someone like Ted Cruz is going to be enormous.”

“I don’t need to give any time to Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, any of the progressives,” Beck said.

Then there’s Laura Ingraham, who claimed a scalp last year when her fervent attacks on immigration reform helped oust House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, who lost a stunner to little-known economics professor Dave Brat.

On Monday, Ingraham, responding to an article in POLITICO Magazine, said that Bush has “a problem with America,” not a talk-radio problem, and contrasted the former Florida governor with Cruz, whom she hailed as a “Reagan-esque” traditional conservative.

Erick Erickson, the RedState founder and Atlanta-based radio host, is not ready to endorse just yet. “I’d prefer to stay out of it. I have no preference and think every one of them deserves a fair hearing, including Bush,” he wrote in an email.

But Erickson loves Cruz, calling him a “good friend” who “gets the seal of approval” for stopping “chaos from happening” and “freedom from eroding.” He’s been a reliable advocate for Cruz, banging the drum for his 2012 Senate campaign and frequently defending his scorched-earth tactics once in office.

“Ted Cruz has proven his commitment to stand with the people and reject the ‘rules’ of the Washington Establishment,” Erickson wrote last July. “Too often, in both overt actions and abject disregard, some of his colleagues we expect better from have chosen the institutions and establishment that have created the very mess we are in.”

“Remember how Ted Cruz cost us the Senate in 2014?” Erickson tweeted sarcastically during the budget showdown in December. “Now he’s costing us the Presidency in 2016. Or something.”

Rush Limbaugh, the number one conservative talk radio host, was initially a big Bobby Jindal booster, but in recent weeks his wandering eye has shifted to other potential candidates — retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, whom he says scares the Democratic Party “to death,” and Cruz, a “fearless” leader.

Limbaugh called Cruz’s campaign announcement “masterful,” adding that Cruz’s opponents were so stunned by the speech they didn’t know how to respond. “They were dazzled. They were impressed. They were so dazzled they were worried the guy is superhuman,” he said on his show on Monday. Cruz “might be the smartest man in Congress,” Limbaugh said.

But Limbaugh talks most frequently these days about Walker, who early in the 2016 cycle has emerged as the top conservative alternative to Bush. “Scott Walker has the blueprint for winning and winning consistently and winning big in a blue state with conservative principles that are offered with absolutely no excuses,” he said in a typical on-air comment in January.

Limbaugh, who maintains he isn’t yet endorsing anyone, recently noted that part of his emphasis on Walker is to help him get more attention as he competes with politicians with more national exposure. Donors “all know who Mitt Romney is, and they all know who Jeb Bush is, and they know who Ted Cruz is,” he said earlier this month. “They don’t know Scott Walker yet.”

Levin — a former Reagan administration official dubbed “The Great One” by Hannity — is a strict constitutionalist, a fierce supporter of Israel and a harsh critic of immigration compromise. On those key issues, he has found a major ally in Cruz, whom Levin has called a conservative in the Reagan mold. Levin has also repeatedly argued against the idea that the GOP needs to nominate a governor in 2016.

On Monday, Levin railed against Fox News for supposedly “trashing” Cruz. “These people are neophytes. Neophytes. They have never fought in Republican primaries for conservative candidates,” he said. Levin then said, “I am convinced if Reagan were alive today and Gerald Ford were alive today and we were doing a re-run of 1975, ‘76, Reagan would be trashed all over our favorite cable channel.”

“They know who they want. They want Jeb Bush,” he said. “I don’t know why they just don’t say it.”

But if Fox News is marching in lockstep behind Bush, nobody seems to have told Sean Hannity, who gave the Texas Republican senator a rousing introduction last month at the Conservative Political Action Conference (with Cruz, he said, “we can fundamentally transform America”) and hosted him both on his radio and Fox News show – for an hour-long special — the night of his campaign announcement.

“To underestimate Ted Cruz is beyond foolish,” Hannity said on his radio show, before lobbing softballs about Cruz’s family history.

Though he has said he’s far from making an endorsement, and with the promise that every candidate will get the same amount of time on his shows as Cruz, Hannity has said he’s looking for someone who can “articulate conservative principles in an inspired way.”

Even California host Hewitt, a constitutional law professor who rates among the more thoughtful conservative radio personalities, is high on Cruz. Hewitt urged his listeners to get out the vote for Cruz in his 2012 Senate campaign, and said a year later that the Texas freshman “could dance to the nomination on a combination of principled channeling of the tea party, incredible smarts, and the rhetorical gifts that suit him to the age.”

Hewitt has said Cruz “may be the smartest senator” and likened him to Reagan – “the same kind of charisma, easy affability and smart, smart, smart.” Now, he sees five “intellectual leaders in the Republican Party,” all of whom are likely or declared candidates: Cruz, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker.

A passionate Mitt Romney supporter in both 2008 and 2012, Hewitt was the first to break the news in January that the former Massachusetts governor wouldn’t be running a third time. This time around, Hewitt won’t be endorsing because he’s participating in CNN’s second primary debate in September, and hosting a Q&A with the candidates after the formal debate.

“I don’t have a favorite. I want to try very hard to maintain I make that right through any participation [with the debates]. I don’t want to anyone to walk in thinking they’re not getting a fair shake from me or that I’ll have a particularly hard set of questions for one candidate or softballs for another,” Hewitt told POLITICO last week. “So I’m following a steady diet of foreign policy and national security questions for everyone that comes across from me.”

The one major outlier on the right is Michael Savage, who boasts more than 5 million listeners and broadcasts from the liberal stronghold of San Francisco. The leader of Savage Nation is hard on everyone. But he’s been tougher on Cruz than almost any other host.

On Feb. 5, he endorsed Cruz and Paul. Four days later, he retracted his Cruz endorsement, decrying him as a “warmonger.” As for Paul, Savage had previously said he “never trusted him,” that he “looks more and more like a Democrat” who would be trounced by Hillary Clinton. He also observed that Paul’s too short to be president.

Last month, after a caller asked about 2016, Savage dismissed a whole slew of top names. “Do I want Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, [Mike] Huckabee, Palin, Paul, Perry, Rubio, [Rick] Santorum, [Donald] Trump or Walker? I’ll take — none of the above.”

Then on Monday, Savage dismissed the sudden enthusiasm on the right for Cruz, despite saying he’d vote for him over any Democrat. “I have no desire to talk about Ted Cruz, and I won’t do it. Leave it to the others, the cheerleaders,” he said. “I can’t win. Talk about it now? I’m going to start now like a lunatic with Ted Cruz? Why? I’m not going to do what everyone else is.”


TOPICS: Texas; Campaign News; Issues; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; cruz; cruz2016; election2016; erickerickson; glennbeck; hadasgold; hughhewitt; jonathantopaz; lauraingraham; marklevin; politico; rushlimbaugh; seanhannity; talkradio; tedcruz; texas
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To: gwgn02

“...he seems to be already shifting to Cruz more.”

_____________________________________________________

I’ve noticed that, too.


21 posted on 03/29/2015 12:59:13 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Say no to amnesty, say no to treason.)
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To: TexasKamaAina

Does Goldman-Sachs deal in illegal goods or services? Are they slavers, drug lords, the mafia, Hell’s Angels or Murder, Incorporated? If not, what is your objection to her working at that particular firm? Everyone has to make a living or depend on welfare.


22 posted on 03/29/2015 1:05:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://www.tedcruz.org/donate/)
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To: TexasKamaAina

I tought she left her job to join Cruz’s campaign. Which is why he had to sign up for Ocare.


23 posted on 03/29/2015 1:09:56 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: TexasKamaAina
No, why should it concern me? I also heard the same media say that she had quit her job when he announced, so there wouldn't be any conflict of interest. Seems like most of those worried about it are concern trolls of the media.

I care about him. not her. She ain't no !Hillary.

I worked for Cruz during his Senate run and gave him a little money. He got money from he when he announced for President.

Twice, so far.

I'll be sending him more money.

I don't do that lightly. He's the only politician I've sent money to first. I despise most politicians and can find a reason to drag most down, but Cruz is a real conservative. I'll be supporting him.

/johnny

24 posted on 03/29/2015 1:19:25 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (gone Galt)
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To: hlmencken3

“A serious candidate for president will have to raise at least $1 million per day between now and election day 2016.”

You mean like the the kind of money John McCain was raising at this time during the 2008 primary?

Money is important in politics but it’s equally important to remember why that is so:

Money is message.

There are other ways to get your message out. Rush selling Walker has been a huge help. Cruz’ rollout and all the talk surrounding it will also pop in upcoming polls. El Jefe’s free media has made a splash as well, but unfortunately for him, the major emphasis of his exposure seems to have been to point out his support for immigration and common core.

Money has its place. Ask Eric Cantor if that’s all you need. Hell, ask Juan McCain if that was the difference maker in 2008.

If money is the only barometer, then let’s stop pretending and coronate El Jefe now.


25 posted on 03/29/2015 1:20:02 PM PDT by ziravan (Choose Sides.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m not sure if Cruz can survive all the fire coming from the Left—but I think their response indicates they both loathe and fear him. That will sit well with a lot of folks on the right.

We are in a new era of politics. For one thing, it looks to me like we won’t have a coronation at the National Convention but an old time battle for delegate votes on the floor and in the back rooms. I venture to say that very few potential delegates or politicians were active the last time that occurred so it will be a new lesson in strategy for all but a few—and make no mistake it is an form of politics that is an art.

The new era is all about getting to the voters directly via the new media instead of through the traditional TV networks and national newspapers.

The winning candidate will be capable of instant intelligent debate and repartee in town halls, tv interviews and the debates. If he gets as far as debates with Hillary, she will be in serious trouble.

Because I expect him to be a good campaigner, I think he will be able to craft a message to Latinos that will resonate with them, despite his stand on illegal immigration.

Finally, the candidate that wins in this TV era has to be photogenic, look like a President and No baby faces or fat boys need apply. Cruz is going to score very highly with voters in the beauty contest compared with some others.

I’m stocking up on popcorn. This looks like fun.


26 posted on 03/29/2015 1:38:49 PM PDT by wildbill (If you check behind the shower curtain for a murderer, and find one.... what's your plan?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Dispised by his Senate colleagues...”

All the Dems and the RINOs are dispicable so that is not a problem.


27 posted on 03/29/2015 1:40:35 PM PDT by alpo
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To: alpo

Anyone who is despised by LIBs and RINOs is a winner.


28 posted on 03/29/2015 1:46:19 PM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Comments?”
***********

Savage is not only an outlier, he comes across as an idiot.

I am with Levin on just about every issue, including his endorsements of candidates. I think he will go with Cruz.


29 posted on 03/29/2015 1:55:22 PM PDT by Canedawg (All we have to do is scrape this administration off our shoes in 2016)
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To: bray

Ted Cruz. Accept no substitute.


30 posted on 03/29/2015 3:10:22 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Diogenesis
"Republicans lost the White House in 2008 and again in 2012, because Sen. John McCain and Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney failed to ignite conservative passions."

WRONG.....it is because Republicans love to play the asinine game of "if it's not my favorite candidate, I'LL pout and not vote".....Democraats NEVER play that game....hence President Obama twice.....How'd that work out for them????.....I won't vote for Romney because he is Morman/ RINO/ Romneycare/ whatever....they'd rather accept Obama and blame "the establishment"....PATHETIC

31 posted on 03/29/2015 3:24:22 PM PDT by terycarl (common sense prevails over all)
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To: terycarl

I am not a Republican, if they want my vote they need to nominate a conservativd. Period.

Romney was a leftist who lied as much as Obama, he was pro-life in some states and pro-abortion in others.


32 posted on 03/29/2015 3:27:37 PM PDT by GeronL
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He’s splitting the Evangelical vote with Huckabee and Perry in the primaries, either one or both need to concede early in order for him to win. Winning the general election is iffy unless Hillary the evil witch gets prosecuted for obstruction of justice and he gets to run against the second tier. My guess is the GOP pushes Jeb with Cruz as VP.


33 posted on 03/29/2015 3:42:11 PM PDT by jimwatx
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To: TexasKamaAina

Yes, you aren’t the only one. Yeah his rhetoric is great but I’m interested in actions (of the legislative variety)and he’s a blank slate there. He’s obviously a very smart guy, but for some reason I’ve always been slightly wary of him. Talk is cheap, I want specifics and action.


34 posted on 03/29/2015 3:42:11 PM PDT by jimwatx
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To: hlmencken3
A serious candidate for president will have to raise at least $1 million per day between now and election day 2016.

That's over $570 Million Dollars.

The candidate will be selected in July so there will be 3-4 months with party and pac help.

Me thinks you pulled your million dollar a day number out of some orifice.

35 posted on 03/29/2015 3:49:42 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: jimwatx
He’s obviously a very smart guy, but for some reason I’ve always been slightly wary of him. Talk is cheap, I want specifics and action.

Well he's been around longer than you and I guess you missed his 21 hour solid filibuster in October of '13 which helped win the senate in '14.

Are you a plant from the left?

36 posted on 03/29/2015 3:56:16 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: terycarl

You can blame the voters all you want, but Romney ran one of the worst campaigns ever.


37 posted on 03/29/2015 4:04:02 PM PDT by bray (Cruz to the WH)
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To: USS Alaska
I guess you missed his 21 hour solid filibuster in October of '13 which helped win the senate in '14

An unsuccessful filibuster that accomplished not much more than giving him a name and lots of press.

Are you a plant from the left?

lol, no just a Scott Walker supporter. More impressed by Walker's achievements, he willingly stuck his political neck out in a state where he could have easily lost support for sticking up to principle but was willing to risk it anyway. Nothing against Cruz, just wondering how he would fare in a general election. It's a lot easier winning on a conservative platform in Texas than it is in Wisconsin.

38 posted on 03/29/2015 7:03:45 PM PDT by jimwatx
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To: bray
You can blame the voters all you want, but Romney ran one of the worst campaigns ever.

Maybe, but EVERYBODY knew who he was and what his background was....and EVERYBODY knew that Obama was an idiot and any Republican with a pulse would be a better choice.......NOPE, non-voters elected Obama.....

39 posted on 03/29/2015 8:02:29 PM PDT by terycarl (common sense prevails over all)
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To: Signalman

Yes, she quit her job; but the ties are still there.


40 posted on 03/29/2015 8:56:07 PM PDT by TexasKamaAina
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