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Mortgage rates will likely stay high amid the Iran war, experts say. Here’s how to get the best deal anyway
CNBC ^ | June 12, 2026 | Kelsey Neubauer

Posted on 06/12/2026 9:28:13 AM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege

The housing market was expected to rebound this year, but the Iran war has changed that trajectory...

In early June, the average 30-year fixed-rate was 6.52%, according to Freddie Mac. Just before the war began, rates fell below 6% for the first time in years...

The rate environment is typically driven by numerous economic and political events, but the war is driving the movement now, Joel Berner, senior economist at Realtor.com, said.

“Over the last couple of months, the rate market has been held hostage by this conflict in Iran,” he said. “When it looks like a ceasefire is in place and going to stay, rates come down. When it seems like something bad happens or conversations break down, rates go up.”

Rates are likely to remain in the mid-6% range as the war continues, Berner said, higher than experts predicted but lower than last year’s numbers — rates were over 6.7% for most of 2025.

“But unfortunately, I think it just kind of presses pause on the major housing rebound.” ...

If you’ve been waiting for the best deal on a home purchase, there are ways to get a rate that is significantly lower than the average conventional mortgage rate. Different loan types and lenders can provide you with a rate that may make it possible for you to afford the home you want before rates drop. Below, CNBC Select explains how.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: dpettytroll; gas; inflation; iranwar; lordhawhawmedia; mortgage; oil; ownership; realestate; thankstrump

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To: American Infidel

At the same type we have reduced rates on savings and CD’s. The fed has filled the void on private lending to the destruction of savers and increased asset inflation.


21 posted on 06/12/2026 10:56:28 AM PDT by Theoria
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To: RckyRaCoCo

6% was a good interest rate in the 2000s and is historically low.

Now it is called “high.”


22 posted on 06/12/2026 10:56:30 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Theoria
At the same type we have reduced rates on savings and CD’s.

That's interesting - given that CDs in the last few years have gone from less than 1% for a long period of time to consistently over 4%.

23 posted on 06/12/2026 10:57:45 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

If there is any possible way to divide conservatives, Condi is right on it.

Better than any paid Soros troll.


24 posted on 06/12/2026 11:02:05 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (8% of humans are White Males. 90% of Nobel Prizes (excluding “Peace”) have been won by White Males.)
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To: Republican Wildcat
So during covid and the ‘recession’, instead of ‘savers’ getting rewarded with higher rates to spread liquidity, fed lowered rates. The insanity never ends, and now we have that continual cycle.

June 2020 to june 2021, avg cd went to .17% apy from .41%!

5year from .6%apy to .31%!

25 posted on 06/12/2026 11:09:18 AM PDT by Theoria
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To: Romans Nine

Compared to 2.65% in 2021?


26 posted on 06/12/2026 11:13:23 AM PDT by JustAnthony
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To: Kleon

It was vastly improving quickly for the most part except for Beef till Trump started the Iran war.


27 posted on 06/12/2026 11:14:38 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: CatOwner

I’d say the home price. If home prices crash 20-30%, assuming mortgage rates stay where they are, the ratio of median monthly payment (assuming 20% down) to median family income will be ‘historically normal.


28 posted on 06/12/2026 11:15:57 AM PDT by millenial4freedom (Government was supposed to preserve freedom, not serve as a jobs program for delinquents and misfits)
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To: Republican Wildcat
what's historically high is the ratio of median home price to median household income...higher than it was at the peak of the housing bubble in 2006!

you'd hear a lot less complaining from young people about housing if prices crashed 20-30%...
29 posted on 06/12/2026 11:17:50 AM PDT by millenial4freedom (Government was supposed to preserve freedom, not serve as a jobs program for delinquents and misfits)
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To: eyeamok

Some specialized jobs prospered I work in the IT sector and AI and Trump allowing all these Chinese and Indians in on H1C visas are really hurting Americans. I have a friend who works in IT at Fedex, they laid-off all the American workers and flew Indians in from India to replace them at 1/3 the cost... That is just one company and bet they will get a huge tax write off.


30 posted on 06/12/2026 11:20:31 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: millenial4freedom

Certainly true.


31 posted on 06/12/2026 11:33:34 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: eyeamok

Your anecdotal experience doesn’t define the economy. For myself, I’m in the top 2 or 3, so I too am well set.

My lifestyle isn’t indicative of the overall financial well-being of the country, nor is yours.

The overall outlook is dark now. It can improve between now and November, but there’s a lot of ground to make up.


32 posted on 06/12/2026 11:33:42 AM PDT by Miami Rebel (RE)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

6.5% is high?? You must be high, Kelsey. I bought my first home in 1981 at 15%. And that was considered a good rate. Some people were paying 18%.


33 posted on 06/12/2026 11:44:26 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all. )
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To: eyeamok
Rates were 8%-8.5% when I bought my first house!!

What year was that? I just wanted to compare median home prices to median income between that period and today.


34 posted on 06/12/2026 11:51:06 AM PDT by Gunslingr3
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To: JustAnthony

No, compared to reality.

7.67% is the average since 1971


35 posted on 06/12/2026 12:01:43 PM PDT by Romans Nine
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To: CatOwner

I wish all parents were this wise!
Good job!


36 posted on 06/12/2026 12:41:52 PM PDT by Zathras
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To: Romans Nine

Right, but it’s up from where it was in January 2021. I think that’s what the complaints are about.


37 posted on 06/12/2026 12:42:21 PM PDT by JustAnthony
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To: Miami Rebel

I agree with you, I have lived in the high income bubble for a long time and retired in the high income bubble. But I blame all that on me having a Plan, sticking to it and a lot of hard work while not making to many stupid mistakes.


38 posted on 06/12/2026 12:49:48 PM PDT by eyeamok
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To: millenial4freedom

If prices crash that much, homeowners will probably get help from the government.


39 posted on 06/12/2026 12:49:50 PM PDT by JustAnthony
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