Posted on 05/27/2026 9:21:11 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Africa's population has grown more than sixfold since 1950 and is projected to keep expanding through the end of the century — even as growth slows across most of the world — according to a Pew Research Center analysis published last week.
Drawing on United Nations population data, the report finds that the continent currently holds 19% of the global population but is home to 28% of all people under 25. That share is expected to rise sharply in the decades ahead.
Africa's population stood at roughly 230 million in 1950. It has since grown by approximately 1.3 billion people. Under the U.N.'s middle-range projection, the continent's population will reach 3.8 billion by 2100 — though higher-fertility scenarios put that figure as high as 5.2 billion.
The continent's fertility rate of about 3.9 births per woman is currently the highest of any world region and the only one still above the global replacement level of around 2.1 births per woman, according to Pew. There is significant variation within the continent: Chad's rate stands at 5.8 births per woman, while Tunisia's is 1.8. Africa's rate is expected to decline to 2.8 by 2050 and to 2.0 by 2100 — down considerably from a peak of 6.7 births per woman recorded in 1972.
That falling fertility, combined with rising life expectancy, will reshape the continent's age profile over time. The median age in Africa is about 19 today. By 2100, Pew projects it will reach 35.
Despite that aging trend, Africa is on a trajectory to become the dominant home of the world's youth. By 2073, the continent is projected to surpass Asia — currently the largest home of young people — in its share of the global under-25 population. By the century's end, 46% of all people under 25 are expected to live in Africa, compared with 39% in Asia, the analysis found.
The demographic shift will also alter the map of the world's most populous nations. Nigeria, currently Africa's most populous country and the world's sixth-largest, is projected to become the fourth-most populous nation by 2100. The Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia and Tanzania are expected to rank fifth, seventh and ninth, respectively. Altogether, 12 of the world's 25 most populous countries are projected to be African by 2100, compared with six today.
Europe's representation on that list is expected to shrink considerably. Russia is projected to be the only European nation among the top 25 by 2100, dropping from ninth place today to 17th as its population declines. India and China are expected to remain the world's two most populous countries.
Within Africa itself, the proportion of residents under 25 — currently around 60% — is projected to fall to 35% by 2100. The share of adults ages 25 to 64 is expected to rise to 51%, while those 65 and older would grow from roughly 5% of the population today to 15%, according to Pew.
The analysis was published May 19 ahead of Africa Day on May 25, which marks the 1963 founding of the Organization of African Unity. It is based on the U.N.'s 2024 World Population Prospects, with figures from 2024 onward representing projections rather than recorded data.
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I’m seeing endless tribal wars and all manner of bloodbath throughout that continent. There will be little to inhibit their primative tendencies for destruction of what is unfamiliar. Not all Africans, but way too many.
Look at how the Medical Teams trying to save a few Africans from Ebola are being treated, as though all that medical technology is the work of Witches and Sorcerers. Maybe there should be monetary rewards offered for voluntary sterilization. $500. Dollars ,two Cows and 10 Laying Hens.
Le Jihad approche.
While other places are experiencing very low fertility rates..
Even paying people to have kids.....
Will they be miners?
With an average IQ of 75.
Harsh ecology creates R-Selected breeding strategy. ie pump and dump, with low parental involvement and high mortality. Western compassion ensures the survival of those who were never meant to. Every year there are more and more hungry little hands out for food. Nigeria will soon be home to a billion people who can’t feed themselves.
Wait. I thought everyone in Africa was dying because Trump cut off USAID.
Not to worry , Ebola will kill them all . Stick to the plan !
I keep thinking about Sam Kinnison’s routine about Sally Struthers and the starving African children.
Well, there's lots of food available in Europe, S. Korea, and Japan - but you ain't seein' any "population explosion" there!
Regards,
Not just, “The Camp of the Saints,” but there is a book written in 1972 about basically the same thing called, “Fugue for a Darkening Island,” by Christopher Priest, that happens in Britain instead of France.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fugue_for_a_Darkening_Island
I just finished reading my copy. The protagonist is a Liberal, but gets mugged by reality and then becomes very conservative.
You can find it on Amazon. https://www.amazon.com/dp/0575098201
I ordered a copy of “The Camp of the Saints” back on 21 April, but it’s back ordered until the 10 June.
More like an average of 70. Some African countries are as low as 58.
But how long will their respective populations expand after all of the West’s aid money stops flowing to them?
They’ll just kill them off anyway or sell them into slavery.
More rampaging teens.
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