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An important geography lesson concerning a war with Iran (Matt Bracken from June 2025)
Matthew's Substack ^ | June 20, 2025 | Matt Bracken

Posted on 03/21/2026 3:27:48 PM PDT by 4Liberty

The neocons are now proposing that we can defeat Iran with air power alone. A few Bunker Busters and it will be all wrapped up. Air power alone will bring victory.

This has never happened before, so let’s just say that despite their optimistic forecast, we do ultimately have to put “boots on the ground” to force a final Iranian defeat.

Time for a brief comparative geography lesson related to just how many boots might be needed, if Iran doesn’t surrender after we shock and awe them with our air power.

(Excerpt) Read more at substack.com ...


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KEYWORDS: bracken; iran

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Bracken has discussion and maps.


1 posted on 03/21/2026 3:27:48 PM PDT by 4Liberty
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To: 4Liberty
Look at the photographs of German cities after WWII. Berlin was reduced to rubble by air attacks. And yet it required the Red Army to finally seal the deal, and drive a stake through its heart.

2 posted on 03/21/2026 3:30:32 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: 4Liberty

ping


3 posted on 03/21/2026 3:33:23 PM PDT by dennisw (Qatarlson the Insufferable blowhard = There is no limit to human stupidity.)
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To: All

We dropped a couple of nukes on Japan so you could argue that “air power” did lead to a surrender
plus in the 1000s of years of warfare...we only had planes for a little over 100


4 posted on 03/21/2026 3:35:11 PM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: 4Liberty

Send Japan’s Self Defense Force to keep Hormuz open. They will de defending their nation’s oil supply.


5 posted on 03/21/2026 3:37:04 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

Iran is in a different category than Nazi Germany because there is evidently a large rebel sentiment within Iran. Nevertheless, your point is a good one.

There’s got be lots and lots of well-armed regime loyalists under shelter, just waiting for the bombs to stop falling. And the bombs will eventually stop falling.

Then what?


6 posted on 03/21/2026 3:41:17 PM PDT by Leaning Right (It's morning in America. Again.)
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To: 4Liberty

“...force a final Iranian defeat...”

You can’t force a final defeat if the snake head just regrows coming from another snake pit. As long as their are islamists, that head is just a country away. The only way to stop the migration of snakes is to get rid of the desert, in this case. You have to make the area so bad for them that they won’t come in. And you have to have a group of dwellers that won’t let them in, at all. And even the US doesn’t do that. And when the liberals get back in power some day, it will be like Bugs Bunny saying, “Run for the hills, or you’ll be up to your armpits in martians.” Just have to change the last word of the sentence.

wy69


7 posted on 03/21/2026 3:45:14 PM PDT by whitney69 (gave)
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To: 4Liberty
"The neocons are now proposing that we can defeat Iran with air power alone."

The only way that will happen is like it happened in Japan, with the use of nuclear weapons. That will require a declaration of war by Congress... in a mid-term election year.

Yeah, that's the ticket.

8 posted on 03/21/2026 3:48:51 PM PDT by Carl Vehse (Make Austin Texas Again)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

The Nazis still had support of a large swathe of the German population.

The Ayatollahs have been cracking down and executing iranians. The Ayatollahs regime have the support of at most 20% of the population, but they have a monopoly on violence and weapons


9 posted on 03/21/2026 3:49:48 PM PDT by Cronos (Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.)
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To: whitney69

Convert them all.

In the 17th century the Safavid rulers of iran forcibly converted the Iranians from Sunni to Shia Islam.

Today mosques in iran are empty and have been for the past 20 years.

Convert them all to Zoroastrianism or Christianity


10 posted on 03/21/2026 3:51:34 PM PDT by Cronos (Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.)
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To: 4Liberty; Governor Dinwiddie

Defeating Iran with air power is possible if you define victory as eliminating weapons, inventories, and the infrastructure needed to create them.


11 posted on 03/21/2026 3:53:18 PM PDT by Retain Mike ( Sat Cong)
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To: 4Liberty

“...force a final Iranian defeat...”

You can’t force a final defeat if the snake head just regrows coming from another snake pit. As long as their are islamists, that head is just a country away. The only way to stop the migration of snakes is to get rid of the desert, in this case. You have to make the area so bad for them that they won’t come in. And you have to have a group of dwellers that won’t let them in, at all. And even the US doesn’t do that. And when the liberals get back in power some day, it will be like Bugs Bunny saying, “Run for the hills, or you’ll be up to your armpits in martians.” Just have to change the last word of the sentence.

wy69


12 posted on 03/21/2026 3:57:42 PM PDT by whitney69 (gave)
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To: 4Liberty; Travis McGee
You can watch an hour of Matt Bracken from this week here:

MATT BRACKEN ON IRAN WAR

I miss Travis McGee on Free Republic.

13 posted on 03/21/2026 3:58:19 PM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus
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To: Governor Dinwiddie
With all due respect to Matt Bracken, how many troops did Ayatollah Khomeni have when he took over Iran the 1970s
14 posted on 03/21/2026 3:59:47 PM PDT by rdcbn1 (..when poets buy guns, tourist season is over................Walter R. Mead)
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To: Cronos

“Convert them all to Zoroastrianism or Christianity.”

That requires them to want to. The Christian God doesn’t promise them virgins. And everlasting peace and tranquility is beyond their ability to comprehend. Just tell them to stay out. And if they don’t, shoot them. Nobody said the new regime is required to be peaceful...just non-islamist. That’s the first step.

wy69


15 posted on 03/21/2026 4:03:18 PM PDT by whitney69 (gave)
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To: Ronaldus Magnus

I miss Travis McGee too.


16 posted on 03/21/2026 4:04:29 PM PDT by FlyingEagle
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To: 4Liberty

Boots on Karg Island could possibly put an end to the war?
Thoughts?


17 posted on 03/21/2026 4:16:37 PM PDT by bantam
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To: 4Liberty

True with the last war but drones have already changed that fabric of war in Ukraine. The boots on the ground could be the Iranian people themselves with air support.


18 posted on 03/21/2026 4:17:39 PM PDT by Nateman (Democrats did not strive for fraud friendly voting merely to continue honest elections.)
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To: Retain Mike

Haha! It’s incredible you believe that!

How many months did it take them to recover and get a huge number of missiles aftertheir last “defeat” we gave them?


19 posted on 03/21/2026 4:20:14 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

Missiles and drones. And now Hezbollah is back and launching rockets consistently and coordinated with every Iranian missile and drone wave.

This is the same Hezbollah they told that was completely destroyed and defeated and disarmed only months ago.


20 posted on 03/21/2026 4:22:19 PM PDT by Mount Athos
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