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Subprime Auto Lenders Folding
Armstrong Economics ^ | 28 Oct 25 | Martin Armstrong

Posted on 10/28/2025 9:05:30 AM PDT by delta7

PrimaLend Capital Partners filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, beckoning the start of America’s personal loan crisis. The subprime auto lender catered to those “buy-here-pay-here” dealerships that cater to those with bad credit. The people cannot pay their loans and the subprime lenders are folding. Delinquencies are rising, repossessions are surging, and the auto-loan market is signaling stresses in the broader economy.

The same issue happened in September with Tricolor Holdings when it filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy liquidation. Primalend Capital Partners’ assets and liabilities are estimated to be between $100 million and $500 million, as this was no small lender. The auto loan market in the US has seen balances double over the past 12 years. Subprime borrowers have faced the steepest repercussions, with 6.6% of borrowers currently 60 days past due on auto loans, or the highest rate of delinquency on record.

Auto lenders have $1.66 trillion in outstanding loans across the nation, 5% of which are at least 90 days late, up 12.6% YoY. Vehicle costs have soared in recent years, with the average price for a new vehicle coming in at $50,000. Twenty percent of new car owners are paying over $1,000 monthly for their autos.

New car loans have hit 9%, but used cars have hit nearly 14% and buyers seeking buy-here-pay-here loans are willing to take on an even higher fee. Expenses on car repairs alone have soared 33% since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

Vehicle repossessions are at their highest level since 2009 during the Great Recession. The trend naturally correlates to historic highs in consumer debt, which spreads into every facet of the economy. The big banks like Barclays and JPMorgan are also taking on hundreds of millions in losses related to these failures and credit stress is on the rise.

Cars are essential for employment in the majority of the nation and subprime borrowers are willing to take on more debt, even when they do not have the funds, to access transportation. This is a massive red flag, especially given the rising rate of unemployment. Consumers have been stretched too thin and it will cause a ripple effect throughout the economy.


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KEYWORDS: usedcar
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To: delta7

Their customer base is being shipped out the country! Even if it’s only 15% of the customer base, that’s 15% loan loss!


21 posted on 10/28/2025 10:14:35 AM PDT by Lockbox (politicians, they all seemed like game show host to me.... Sting)
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To: delta7

So on average, car buyers are paying an 8%/year premium above the cost lenders can borrow for. Sounds like every last car buyer could go delinquent and banks should still be making hand over fist, except the bad debt is concentrated in smaller, fly-by-night operations, the sort of which were prohibited from mortgage holding with the last debt crisis.


22 posted on 10/28/2025 10:30:30 AM PDT by dangus
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To: tumblindice
Subprime lenders gave us 2008.

They were encouraged by congress to do this. Remember Slobbering Barney Frank stating that Freddie and Fannie were financially sound and the gov't doesn't bail them out if they are not. That they should be doing more loans? Remember Schumer stating how Fannie and Freddie are doing an incredibly good job?

Watch this link

23 posted on 10/28/2025 10:31:36 AM PDT by Dan Zachary
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To: 17th Miss Regt
Both of my F150 trucks are owned free and clear. I had to have the brakes done on the 2015 F150 SuperCrew at 138,000 miles. Rotors and pads. $1500. Last weekend, the emergency brake cable snapped. Parts ordered. Repair will be $450. Aside from the master cylinder failure, the vehicle has been very reliable. Ford covered the master cylinder failure as a class recall. My 1999 F150 SuperCab has 68,000 miles on the odometer. I purchased it used in 2003 with 22,500 on the odometer. The only major failure has been the fuel pump failure when temperatures dropped to -21F in the driveway. The ethanol tainted fuel attracted water. Ice destroyed the pump. I use only ethanol free fuel now. No more problems. I'm still on the first tank of gas for 2025 and the 4th battery recharge.
24 posted on 10/28/2025 11:12:20 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: exnavy

We are still happily driving our 2003 Ram 2500 and our 2006 Honda CRV.


25 posted on 10/28/2025 11:18:16 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: delta7

Tote the notes are doing it wrong if they need the monthly payments to stay afloat.

Business model should be sell the car.

Hope the loan defaults quickly.

Repo the car.

Wash the car.

Sell the car.

If someone makes payments, it means you are having to lay out money for additional inventory. Profit is cycling the same car through the lot repeatedly in short order.


26 posted on 10/28/2025 11:26:30 AM PDT by PAR35 (I)
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To: delta7

The key point may be that subprime auto lenders knew they were taking on risk but craved the high fees and interest. After all, they can be booked to income, with eventual losses used to offset income. Indeed, by selling off the loans, the subprime lenders could even avoid most of the losses.


27 posted on 10/28/2025 12:16:53 PM PDT by Rockingham
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To: blackdog
I've got a red 2003 Expedition and a red 2007 Expedition, and I love going to my mechanic. When I write him a check for work he does I think about all the monthly car payments I'm not making.

Besides, the 2003 is the perfect dog-mobile!

28 posted on 10/28/2025 12:40:23 PM PDT by The Duke (Not without inciden)
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To: delta7

“Well the upside is cheaper, much cheaper used cars, a good thing.”

Cheaper new cars too. After all, the net effect is ‘easy money’ is to simply drive up prices.


29 posted on 10/28/2025 3:04:59 PM PDT by BobL (Trusting one's doctor is the #1 health mistake one can make.)
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To: dfwgator

No money for a down payment? We’ll lend you the money.


30 posted on 10/28/2025 3:14:28 PM PDT by rxh4n1
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To: delta7
2008-2009 Subprime Mortgage replay? Is Wall Street buying up car loan packages? Suppose I could read the article but save me some time? With interest rates up with people paying 30% on credit I would not be surprised.

Thanks. ;-)

31 posted on 10/28/2025 5:26:34 PM PDT by Tunehead54 (Nothing funny here ;-)
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To: Dan Zachary

There is a very good movie about the 2008 sub prime collapse. It is called, The Big Short, and one of the stars is Steve Carell.


32 posted on 10/28/2025 5:44:43 PM PDT by OldMissileer (Atlas, Titan, Minuteman, PK. Winners of the Cold War)
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To: OldMissileer

I can remember all sorts of scams going on back then. Banks would advertise on tv 100% loan on your home and all you had to do was pay the interest. Then an illegal would buy one, sell it to his friend for more, buy it back for more, etc. Eventually the bank would say no, they would default on loan, and move back to Mexico with lots of money.

President Bush tried to warn us but democrats tried to make it look like he just didn’t want poor blacks to own a home.


33 posted on 10/28/2025 9:07:29 PM PDT by Dan Zachary
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