Posted on 09/06/2025 8:04:44 AM PDT by Signalman
A new poll conducted by Leger360 between August 29 and 31, 2025, is causing controversy in the world of U.S. politics, as it projects that California Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, is the frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election.
The results of the survey, which were shared on social media, pitted Newsom against potential GOP candidates, including Vice President JD Vance, former President Donald Trump, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The California governor narrowly leads the president by a score of 48 percent to 44 percent, 47 percent to Vance’s 46 percent, and 49 percent to Rubio’s 44 percent.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, which makes these potential races extremely close. Many conservatives are already greeting the survey’s results with a healthy dose of skepticism, primarily due to the methodology employed, as well as the context of Newsom’s political record and recent actions.
Some have pointed out red flags that raise questions about the credibility of the poll. They note that Leger360’s track record, which was the subject of a study completed by the “Journal of Election Studies,” found that Leger overestimated Democratic support by a total of 5 percent. According to the study, this was the result of oversampling urban voters in online panels.
Experts point out that if the current numbers are adjusted to factor this in, Trump’s support could rise to 49 percent, Vance’s to 51 percent, and Rubio’s to 49 percent, which changes the entire narrative and some of the conclusions drawn from the poll.
As MAGA supporters have all but crowned Vance as the man to take over the mantel of leadership for the movement, it’s likely that, with all of the information taken into context, the biggest threat to Newsom’s potential campaign is the vice president.
Newsom recently attempted to reach out to popular conservative podcast host and founder of Talking Point USA, Charlie Kirk, which signals a shift to broaden support. However, many on the political right believe the move is opportunistic, especially given his extreme left-wing policies, like climate regulations, which have strained his state’s economy.
Conservative commentator Arthur Morgan has waved off the results of the Leger survey as nothing more than Democratic propaganda. Others are also viewing them with caution, specifically citing the above-mentioned bias of the company that produced the poll.
I think there is validity to counting on reasonable expectations.
Of course anything can happen. But you can’t count on extraordinary happenstance.
As things stand now, I see nothing on the horizon to defeat Newsome.
As I said, we’re in God’s hands now.
And actually, I’d rather be nowhere else.
I guess what I am saying is as far as man is concerned America is in dire straits. But as far as the Divine Providence of God Almighty, there is hope.
With man, no hope. With God, there is hope.
This is flat-out incorrect.
Vance served less than two years in the U.S. Senate before he was elected VP. Before that, he never held any public office.
You're not the only one. For some reason, Vivek always reminds me of every shady character I've ever come across in the real estate business.
That's not what MAGA is all about.
And no matter how important it is for America to be restored as a constitutional republic, anyone who campaigns on that platform is going to lose badly. Just ask Rand Paul how that worked out in his 2016 presidential run.
Vivek gets swept into office as Governor in November 2026. He cleans up Ohio, then begins run for prez during 2027. We have time.
I dont think so, either. If I had to guess today I’d say it’s the flavor of the day, Wes Moore, with Andy Beshear as VP to try to win over rural voters
What can Vivek do as Governor during 2027 in less than two years that will get him elected over Newsome in 2028?
Doesn't that make him a politician?
If America's unique and beautiful Free Constitutional Republic isn't what made America great, I don't know what did.
What do you think made America great?
Donald Trump would have been relegated to Jeb Bush status back in 2016 if he ran on that platform.
Gavin Newsom numbers are only good in left polls he doesn’t stand a chance Harris has better numbers then he does.
AOC mun and winks
The only thing that will keep America’s Free Constitutional Republic from disappearing is dismantling the $3+ trillion, 80%+ unconstitutional portion of the federal gov’t.
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Cutting 80% of the unconstitutional federal government is an election loser.
You’ll end up with the same tax code, but only the military & financial sectors will be getting federal payouts.
Besides, there’s no way the pyromaniac nutjobs running our foreign policy are going to let their empire building schemes go the way of the dinosaur.
You show me a hypothetical matchup and I’ll show you a hypothetical poll. Cheers!
What do you think made America great?
*****”***************”
The people and businesses that built this nation.
Not lawyers scribbling out another document.
It's the only way to recover our wonderful nation.
The economic benefits alone would make the average America richer than ever.
You’ll end up with the same tax code, but only the military & financial sectors will be getting federal payouts.
The IRS would be reduced to a storefront.
Besides, there’s no way the pyromaniac nutjobs running our foreign policy are going to let their empire building schemes go the way of the dinosaur.
The American People will have to defeat the Deep State with the help of Divine Providence like in 1776.
You've lost the fight for freedom before it starts. Sadness.
That is what America's Free Constitutional Republic is all about.
The alternative is poverty and slavery to an unconstitutional, unlimited gov't.
You’ve lost the fight for freedom before it starts. Sadness.
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No I haven’t.
My Dutch Ancestors were in New Amsterdam in 1638, living a great life in North America before the Constitutional Republic was created. Three of them served in a New Jersey militia during the Revolutionary War.
We’ll be here long after the United States no longer exists. Happiness.😀
The United States is the only thing that stands in the way of Worldwide Islamic Jihad Supremacy and total worldwide destruction which will happen in a few decades IMO.
You do NOT want to be here when that happens. I don't plan to be.
Do the opposite of Newscum does in KKKalifornia in Ohio.
Education vouchers for all kids. Lower taxes. No RE taxes that make seniors homeless. Insurance reform. Get rid of all illegals, even if they have been allowed to remain here for years and years. Shrink stategov.
That’s a good start, right?
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