Posted on 09/06/2025 8:04:44 AM PDT by Signalman
A new poll conducted by Leger360 between August 29 and 31, 2025, is causing controversy in the world of U.S. politics, as it projects that California Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, is the frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election.
The results of the survey, which were shared on social media, pitted Newsom against potential GOP candidates, including Vice President JD Vance, former President Donald Trump, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The California governor narrowly leads the president by a score of 48 percent to 44 percent, 47 percent to Vance’s 46 percent, and 49 percent to Rubio’s 44 percent.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, which makes these potential races extremely close. Many conservatives are already greeting the survey’s results with a healthy dose of skepticism, primarily due to the methodology employed, as well as the context of Newsom’s political record and recent actions.
Some have pointed out red flags that raise questions about the credibility of the poll. They note that Leger360’s track record, which was the subject of a study completed by the “Journal of Election Studies,” found that Leger overestimated Democratic support by a total of 5 percent. According to the study, this was the result of oversampling urban voters in online panels.
Experts point out that if the current numbers are adjusted to factor this in, Trump’s support could rise to 49 percent, Vance’s to 51 percent, and Rubio’s to 49 percent, which changes the entire narrative and some of the conclusions drawn from the poll.
As MAGA supporters have all but crowned Vance as the man to take over the mantel of leadership for the movement, it’s likely that, with all of the information taken into context, the biggest threat to Newsom’s potential campaign is the vice president.
Newsom recently attempted to reach out to popular conservative podcast host and founder of Talking Point USA, Charlie Kirk, which signals a shift to broaden support. However, many on the political right believe the move is opportunistic, especially given his extreme left-wing policies, like climate regulations, which have strained his state’s economy.
Conservative commentator Arthur Morgan has waved off the results of the Leger survey as nothing more than Democratic propaganda. Others are also viewing them with caution, specifically citing the above-mentioned bias of the company that produced the poll.
Yes, CA gov't is a monster.
But the federal gov't is an even greater gargantuan monster. and threatens America's very existence.
Shrinking federal gov't should be the priority. Then shrink state gov't and stop federal funding of sovereign states.
The United States is the only thing that stands in the way of Worldwide Islamic Jihad Supremacy and total worldwide destruction which will happen in a few decades IMO.
You do NOT want to be here when that happens. I don’t plan to be.
****”************
I won’t be moving, but good luck on moving out because of the imaginary “Muslim Boogey Man” taking over the United States.
You leaving, hopefully gets us some “elbow room.”
P.S “I’ll let you know when a mosque shows up in my county.”(Only Christian Churches so far)
Before it all comes crashing down - which will happen soon - yes, I plan on moving but that will be to Heaven when the Lord catches up his saints before the 7-year tribulation which will begin with that invasion of Israel by Russia and Iran (Ez. 38-39).
If you don’t know Jesus, now is a good time to receive him. He’s your ticket outta here which you’ll need soon.
I know Jesus. I’ve been a Christian my whole life.(54 years)
BTW I like your posts.
God Bless & Take Care.
Like Pence? Unreliable, political-future-motivated Rubio?
MAGA
What made America great?
FREEDOM.
What secured America's freedom? THE CONSTITUTION.
What will make America Great Again? Restoration of America's Free Constitutional Republic.
Thank you and may God Bless America.
Vance has very little in common with Pence.
Rubio is not my pick, but he is some people’s pick.
You had predicted that Vivek would sweep into the Republican nomination after a successful half-term as governor of Ohio. DeSantis has upped his game in FLorida, and if running a state well gets you the nomination, he would be ahead of VR for many people.
I won’t argue whether Vivek Ramaswamy would be a better candidate or better president. I am just saying that as things stand, even stipulating a superior half-term as governor in Ohio, that will not translate into a presidential nomination.
I do agree that if any of these men run a competent campaign, that Newsom will be go down, with numbers similar to 2024.
Where did you get that?
I'm saying Vivek and America seem to have their backs against the wall and that we're in God's hands now.
I confused him with Reddy. My apologies.
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