Posted on 10/25/2024 12:31:51 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Robert, 66, who works in real estate, added that he planned to shuttle family members to early voting locations because of how tight the presidential contest is between Trump and his Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, and how Nevada could tilt the outcome.
“Their votes matter,” he said. “Every single vote matters here in this state.”
The Kerns are among the nearly 30 million Americans who have already cast ballots in the Nov. 5 election as of Thursday morning, according to a University of Florida tracker of early voting. Of the voters who have returned mail ballots or voted in person, Democrats are outpacing Republicans, with 41.9% of ballots cast by registered Democrats in states that require voters select a party preference, compared with 35.3% by Republicans and 22.8% by people who support minor parties or do not have a party preference.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
If it’s a lot of low-intensity Republicans voting early, then it’s a good sign. It may also show high GOP enthusiasm.
My fear is too many of these early votes are simply high-intensity GOP voters casting ballots now instead of on election day, and election day will see decreased GOP turnout. Then it’s all a wash. I worry that after the election I’ll be reading stories about how we “were wrong about the early voting predictions.”
I don’t know. I’m cautiously optimistic with an emphasis on cautiously.
^^^^ This times 100,000,000 (ballots for Harris)
Voter enthusiasm tends to be higher when people are seeking change.
You mean low propensity
Give the Swamp a heads up on how many mail-in ballots to order from their ChimCom printers so they can have them Fed-Ex’d to meet deadlines.
I said back in 2020 that the DEMs could put up the worst possible candidate and still steal an election from Trump. I guess we’re about to find out.
I think it favors the candidate with the more enthusiastic following.
Harris’s voters are luke warm, more motivated to vote against Trump than for Harris. They’ll vote when they get to it.
Trump voters are extremely motivated.
I think this is overwhelmingly Republican voters.
No question Kamala is the worst possible candidate—and the Democrats have made blunder after blunder after blunder.
If they figure out a way to steal this we won’t have to debate about elections any more.
(For the record I consider this highly unlikely—but nothing is impossible.)
“Unclear” my butt. Harris voters are incentivized but what exactly?
The fact that the Slimes is not touting this as a slam dunk good thing for the Demons, it’s pretty clear who it benefits.
I wish I could share in your optimism. We spent almost 30 years in Silicon Valley (1989-2018) where our votes didn’t matter. We actually voted for GHW Bush in 1988, who won California, but he lost in Silicon Valley and in all of the counties in the San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose Bay Area. It only got worse from there. We witnessed the beginnings of voter fraud and intimidation in that area, and it has spread far and wider across the country. We are truly scarred voters.
I get it.
I live in CT where our Congressman is a hard core lefty Democrat who consistently wins his seat by more than twenty percentage points every year, and the governor’s races are routinely stolen by Democrats in urban centers after midnight.
The only good news is that enough folks fled our state for warmer weather and political climates so that we lost one Congress-critter after the 2020 census.
:-)
I didn’t know that if one got an absentee ballot in New York this year, it meant you couldn’t vote at the polls.
Wife and I just got them for emergency but ended up having to use them.
Honestly though, if dems want to cheat bad enough, it doesn’t matter where or when one votes..they were on the way to losing 4 years ago and overcame it with millions of printed votes that night.
Where there’s a will to be monsters, there’s a way
Its clear from the demographics who benefits.
Who is turning out early? Republicans more than Democrats which is unusual. “oh well they’re just cannibalizing their election day vote” say Democrat shills. Nope! Republicans have been turning out their low propensity voters....ie 0 of the last 4 elections or 1 of the last 4 elections in droves. White rural working class men have especially been swarming the voting places. We know who they’re voting for.
Who has not turned up in anything like their normal numbers? Blacks and hispanic women - two heavily Democrat leaning voting groups.
Heels Up is getting crushed.
Hypothetically if gross turnout is the same, it balances out. However if it's an indication that one side is more energized, then it favors them and I think this is the case. GOP excited to turn out, dems not so much (the crazies and celebs are, normal people don't like Harris and will only show up for one of four reasons :
My wife and I, too, in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho. But I don’t think Trump needs much help in our neck of the woods
There were two very important issues on the ballot: a state Constitutional amendment to require US citizenship to vote (Hell yes!) and a Ranked Choice Voting initiative (Hell no!).
My state one constitutional amendment for only us citizens voting with a second part prohibiting ranked voting.
If it’s the LA Slimes claiming this, Republicans are leading.
I voted today in person absentee.
“I have a generalized fear that all forms of early voting only allow the bad guys an opportunity to know how many ballots they need to print at 3 AM on the first Wednesday in November.”
We’re being told by folks like Bongino and Steven Crowder that we should vote early to combat fraud. I think it prevents them from switching votes or using your ID.
I live in a very red state, Oklahoma. We’re not going to get blue anytime soon but I’m voting early hoping it helps.
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