Posted on 10/19/2024 2:15:23 AM PDT by Libloather
**SNIP**
The first big blunder for Harris and her team was taking the Keystone State for granted. “Uncle Joe” is from Scranton and loves to tell stories about his family’s days there. That has helped secure thousands of blue Democratic votes in an increasingly red northeastern Pennsylvania. Take away Biden, and San Francisco Harris has little chance of keeping those voters.
Add to it that for three decades, voters in Philadelphia and its suburbs saw Biden as our “third senator.” He showed up at the Navy Yard, at ballgames, at ribbon cuttings — you name it. In 2020, when the GOP told voters Biden had become a captive of the “far left,” that was a hard sell in southeastern Pennsylvania. It’s a much easier one in 2024 with Harris at the top of the ticket.
Next, after weeks of courting Gov. Josh Shapiro as her running mate, Harris rejected him for Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota — the state that gave us Gov. Jesse “The Body” Ventura and Al “Saturday Night Live” Franken as a senator.
Another misstep for Harris. While Shapiro isn’t Biden, he is well known in greater Philadelphia and seems comfortable campaigning in Scranton and towns like it across the state.
It still isn’t clear if Harris rejected Shapiro because he is Jewish and supports Israel’s right to defend itself or because he is a tireless campaigner, well-received on the stump, who might show her up. Did she reject Shapiro because picking him would offend the Squad in Congress and endanger the electoral votes of Michigan, home to a large Muslim population? Or did she spurn the Pennsylvania governor because she didn’t want her supporters murmuring, “We should’ve run him“?
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
The cross-border ballot fraud "helper dudes & dudettes" from New Jersey didn't hurt the Democrat numbers in northeastern Pennsylvania, either...
I’ve spent several days in NE PA—Scranton and neighboring Wilkes-Barre.
I’d be very distressed if the rest of the US appeared as rundown, noisy, and hopelessly ramshackled.
I’m not so sure he takes N.Y. N.Y. State has a lot of republicans, but the majority of voters are in N.Y. City, Albany, Rochester, Buffalo, etc. The cities control the vote as in other blue states, it won’t be easy for Trump, but not beyond him.
I can see Virginia before NYS
I wish you were right but he’s not taking NY. The state is probably more blue than CA at this point and the rural upstate counties that vote GOP are too sparsely populated to offset the huge D ( often far left D) enrollment advantage around NYC
Trump won’t get the bluest Ds, but many will, which dilutes their ‘we won the popular vote’ claim, and probably wins a few house rep’s seats on Long Island and in rural NY like Lee Zeldin did in ‘22. Those seats proved crucial, otherwise Ds would own it all in DC today.
Similarly in all blue CA where lots of Rs did not bother to cast meaningless votes. Now they’ve got a chance and a reason to vote. My half-full glass is actually spilling over with optimism.
My father was considering moving back to Pa to be with his remaining siblings but then he talks about how immigrants are taking over his hometown, crime is rampant and trash and abandoned houses are everywhere.
OH, and several years ago, the newly installed politician in his hometown made everyone stand for the black pledge of allegiance.
Shapiro will do nothing to help her in Pennsylvania and Gestapo Gretchen will do nothing to help her in Michigan. Those are the two front runners for the 2028 Democrat nomination for president. If Heels Up Harris wins, they can each forget about running until 2032 at the earliest. They’re obviously not going to unseat an incumbent president.
On top of that, Shapiro was dumped at the last minute because he’s a Jew....and he and everybody else knows it. That had to have pissed him off mightily - thus giving him another reason to not lift a finger to help Heels Up in Pennsylvania. Without the Democrat election fraud machine working overtime, there’s no way Harris wins either state.
Presupposes a fair election.
Zelden came within just over 6% of wining the governorship of NY in ‘22. Trump may come even closer than that to Kamala. Why? Trump is likely to take over 30% of the NYC vote. He has been campaigning in the city and will soon appear at Madison Square Garden.
Lots of brothers/sisters and Latino supporters will be there. If you think inflation and trouble with illegal aliens are bad in your community, they are much worse in NYC and other large democrat-run cities. Watch as Trump carries the battleground states and wins the so-called “popular vote” (which is a leftist media notion and which is not mentioned in the US Constitution).
Remember, liberal pundits, even just a week before Ronald Reagan easily defeated the hapless Jimmy Carter, were claiming Carter was likely to win, or at worst that the race was “too close to call.” I’m not saying Trump’s landslide will be as resounding as Reagan’s ‘80 and ‘84 landslides, but you are likely going to see Trump carrying states that no pundits from either side saw him taking. Ronald Reagan carried Massachusetts twice, and he took New York in ‘84. Nobody saw that coming. In ‘84 Reagan carried 49 states. He lost only Minnesota, a state with about 2,100,000 voters by a little over 4,000 votes. Trump is surging. Don’t underestimate him.
It is indeed going to be “too big to rig.”
>It is indeed going to be “too big to rig.”
Rs are winning NC early voting outright instead of being -30 on election day
“...the majority of voters are in N.Y. City, Albany, Rochester, Buffalo, etc. The cities control the vote as in other blue states,...”
Don’t forget hippie valley, my name for the Ithaca area. That said though, I agree that most likely Trump won’t win NYS, but it is not beyond him either.
If Trump wins, Whitmer is not going to be able to run in 2028. Maybe in 2032 or 2036. The Democrats will go with Gavin Newsom in 2028.
Yes, more likely.
Advise him to stay in FL.
Those are good points. I don’t see any way for Trump to take NY but I could see us keep/pick up some house seats there
If he does win N.Y. though, it’s game over for the dems, and Trump regains the throne.
I think there are more than one hippie valleys in N.Y.
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