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Kamala Harris Opens Up 16-Point Lead Over Trump Among Independents: Poll (TIPP poll, Oct 2 - Oct 4)
Newsweek ^ | 10/7/2024 | Flynn Nichols

Posted on 10/07/2024 5:43:01 PM PDT by simpson96

click here to read article


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To: simpson96
There were only 98 "independent" voters in the sample. The 16% difference is literally just 16 people.

Sorry, but this is fake news.

41 posted on 10/07/2024 6:31:00 PM PDT by AndyTheBear (Certified smarter than average for my species)
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To: AndyTheBear
There were only 98 "independent" voters in the sample. The 16% difference is literally just 16 people.

Correction, was reading numbers I took to mean individuals rather than percentages (would be nice if the poll had better labels). Not sure of what fraction of the less than 1000 voters were "independents".

42 posted on 10/07/2024 6:34:13 PM PDT by AndyTheBear (Certified smarter than average for my species)
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To: nwrep

I know you hate Trump.


43 posted on 10/07/2024 6:50:18 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: All
TIPP =

Totally Invented Progressive Propaganda

44 posted on 10/07/2024 6:50:45 PM PDT by LegendHasIt
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To: nwrep
TIPP is one of the most respected pollster.

538 has them as the 120th ranked pollster (Based on the historical track record and methodological transparency of each polling firm’s polls.)

45 posted on 10/07/2024 7:02:09 PM PDT by Troublemaker
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To: Troublemaker

Wow, I did not realize that. Thanks for the correction. I take back my earlier comment.


46 posted on 10/07/2024 7:06:10 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: ifinnegan

Actually I don’t. I want him to win. But I see that a lot of my fellow Americans hate him.


47 posted on 10/07/2024 7:06:49 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: simpson96

Ok, story says Harris leads Trump in the nationwide popular vote by +3.

But Harris is up with Independents by +16.

Doesn’t make sense.

1 - This would mean that Harris is bleeding major support from Dems, othewise she’d further ahead than +3.

2 - How can Indies be swinging hard to Harris, at the same time she’s underperforming with Dems?

More questions than answers with this poll.


48 posted on 10/07/2024 7:23:26 PM PDT by Roadrunner383
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To: simpson96
A NEWSWEEK attempt at altering reality. COMPLETE and TOTAL BULL$HIT from NEWSWEEK!


49 posted on 10/07/2024 7:33:17 PM PDT by VideoDoctor
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To: simpson96

Oh. It’s NewsweAk.


50 posted on 10/07/2024 7:33:48 PM PDT by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine )
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To: AndyTheBear

This is funny any poll that appears bad for President Trump no matter how ridiculous brings out a few of the concerned trolls
Most people who have been on fr awhile know who they are
Usually they are mocked or ignored


51 posted on 10/07/2024 7:35:19 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: simpson96

Check out the methodology.

Note the involvement of Datawrapper.

Cooked poll.


52 posted on 10/07/2024 7:37:23 PM PDT by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: simpson96

We can always depend upon Newsweek to bring us the nonpartisan TRUTH!

/yes, major league sarcasm


53 posted on 10/07/2024 7:38:02 PM PDT by House Atreides (I’m now ULTRA-MAGA-PRO-MAX.)
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To: RoosterRedux

In last week’s I&I/TIPP polling story, we noted a significant recent study that found: “In the last year alone, 61% of Americans reported that they have avoided saying things that they believe because others might find them offensive.”

54 posted on 10/07/2024 7:38:45 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s² )
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To: stanne

There is almost no other data in other polling supporting this finding. This should be looked at with alot of suspicion


55 posted on 10/07/2024 7:38:49 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: simpson96

IBD/TIPP were the most accurate pollsters of the 2016 cycle predicting a Trump win when all others were predicting a Hillary blowout. I doubt it’s the same people today. This sounds like propaganda to boost Democrat morale.


56 posted on 10/07/2024 7:49:24 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: simpson96

I’m taking a poll. With which politica party do you identify?

Democrat.

I’ll take thas as “Independent.”


57 posted on 10/07/2024 8:07:57 PM PDT by Signalman (I am not a snob. Ask anyone who matters.)
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To: simpson96

BOVINE DROPPINGS


58 posted on 10/07/2024 8:54:59 PM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: wiseprince

“A nationwide poll of 997 people cannot give you a 3.2 margin of error. So, not off to a good start.”

Totally agree.

The key is bias in sample selection that is not representative of the desired target population you desire to evaluate.


59 posted on 10/07/2024 10:08:53 PM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: simpson96

Newsweak. 🙄


60 posted on 10/07/2024 10:10:40 PM PDT by Allegra (“As I was saying…”)
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