As I look at crime statistics in California, I find perplexing discrepancies in reporting, with some sources claiming crime is decreasing and others claiming that crime is increasing. With our borders wide open, urging migrants to flood the US, decriminalization etc., I would expect to see an increase in crime stats. But in some cases, reports of crime are decreasing, and perhaps that's largely due to reductions in available police (defunding, ignoring and demoralizing etc.).
Now that illegals allowed to serve as police officers, surely the crime stats be impacted as some do not arrest those with whom they sympathize, as they are treated as unwelcome, unfairly compensated 'outsiders' by some citizens.
Additionally, with California's DA's increasingly declining to prosecute those arrested for crime - I can't even guess at the resulting statisics. I recall watching a video clip of a shocked San Franciscan who said a foreign man approached her as she left the subway and spat in her face. When she confronted him, he loudly told her if she didn't shut up he would rape her. Taken together, these anecdotes and changes to arrests, prosecutions, policing rates indicate increasing crime, yet it seems as if the official reporting helps conceal what Gavin Newsom is intentionally doing to destroy California.
I skimmed California's 2022 crime report (data-openjustice.doj.ca.gov). The pdf of the full report is available here: 2022 Crime in California.
In this 2022 Executive Summary, it looks like the left column details increases in crime in California (from 2021 to 2022) while the right hand column indicates a mixure of types of arrests (increased/decreased). (includes a 34.7 % increase in juvenile arrests)
2022 statistics from California's DOJ
2023 statistics from California's DOJ
Here is the Executive Summary for CA Crime 2023
Here's page 4 (below) of the 2023 report which shows declining rape reports and rape arrests, and increasing Trans arrests. Note the text, "California has expanded the sex (gender) categories it collects in CIBRS to include: male, female, non-binary, and transgender. The FBI only collects the values of male and female. There are footnotes in each table impacted in this publication and the counts for each new value are reflected where appropriate."
2024 Crimes and Clearances Report from California's DOJ
Note that this report has extensive tables of data, and an index to the tables starting on page 10. I did not review them.
Skimming through a different report titled Crimes and Clearances, last updated 2024 (29 pages), also from data-openjustice.doj.ca.gov, I see that the FBI has instituted a new system of reporting which it announced in 2016, to be completed in 2021 (at the start of Trump's term to what they planned to be the conclusion of his term?). Some agencies have not made the conversion, so California's crime statistics are reported by two separate systems and then added together for a total. I can't imagine how much crime might 'slip through the cracks' in this cobbled together system.
With the FBI's new reporting system, Incident Based Reporting (acronyms NIBR for national, and CIBR for California Incident Based Reports), it's impossible to report same-sex rape. This must be distressing to those victimized in the gay community, but may perhaps be welcomed by trans males who rape women in the jails, locker rooms, dressing rooms etc. The California law enabling trans men to request to be housed and searched in a manner consistent with their identity is here.
The Crimes and Clearances page 3 image below includes information about the FBI change to California's reporting system (CNIB), with the portion about same sex rape hi-lighted in yellow.
From the Crimes and Clearances report:
"The Department of Justice (DOJ) Criminal Justice Statistics Center (CJSC) collects information on Crime and Clearances as reported by law enforcement agencies (LEA) throughout the state. The data are reported as part of the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s (FBI), Uniform Crime Reporting Program (UCR) and includes the number of actual offenses as well as the number of clearances as per the UCR guidelines"
Agency-Specific Data Characteristics and Limitations on page 14 marks the start of the list of law enforcement agencies/offices throughout the state not reporting (or the month they began to report) crime stats to the DOJ's CJSC system. The list groups these updates by year, starting with 2023, and moving backward chronologically. For 2023, there are two pages of exceptions detailing agencies which did not report for a portion of or the entire year, including 4 cities in Orange County.
The 'Data Hi-lights' tab on that website is '404' (missing).
More reports can be found here: https://oag.ca.gov/crime
I don't believe California can make valid statements about crime rates at this point. Just discouraging people from reporting in the first place, as CA has done by declining to prosecute, would be enough to render reported stats biased guesswork.