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Ukraine’s Incursion Into Russia Reveals a Dramatic Shift
The New York Times ^ | Aug. 15, 2024 | Julian E. Barnes and Eric Schmitt

Posted on 08/15/2024 4:48:13 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

Ukraine’s incursion into a sliver of Russia is likely to make it harder for Moscow to mount a major renewed offensive in Ukraine’s east and is the kind of surprise operation that could eventually impose real costs on the Kremlin, according to U.S. officials.

The Ukrainian strike, and its continued success, could ultimately have strategic significance, though U.S. officials caution that they will need to see how it plays out to draw firmer conclusions. It could also help rebuild sagging morale among Ukraine’s troops and war-weary population, the officials said.

The incursion, into the Kursk region of Russia, stands in stark contrast to Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive in southern Ukraine last summer. This offensive was developed in secret, devised to divert Russian troops away from the front lines in Ukraine and seize territory to use as a bargaining chip.

Ukraine’s monthslong buildup to the counteroffensive played out in the open. The Ukrainians had sought to retake territory but stumbled when they failed to punch through dug-in Russian defenses, which Moscow reinforced as Ukraine trained for the drive. Ukraine also split its forces during that offensive, against American advice, rather than focusing them as they have this month.

The incursion into Russia, in contrast, shows how Ukraine’s army has improved its mechanized warfare skills, techniques that it failed to master a year ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Humor
KEYWORDS: ericschmitt; escalation; julianebarnes; killkillkillforpeace; mic; tothelastukrainian; ukraine; welfarewar
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"W will have our nuclear WWIII, and there is nothing you can do about it."
1 posted on 08/15/2024 4:48:13 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Something tells me Nuland is still acting Generalissimo.


2 posted on 08/15/2024 4:51:12 PM PDT by Dogbert41 (“Blessed are the peacemakers, for they will be called children of God” -Matthew 5:9)
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To: Dogbert41

Not likely. Ukraine’s move into Russia is being competently done.


3 posted on 08/15/2024 5:15:16 PM PDT by Rockingham
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Maybe that is inevitable like in the Terminator movie series. May be postponed but never removed from the board.


4 posted on 08/15/2024 5:17:08 PM PDT by desertsolitaire ( )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

They know this war is ending soon and they want whatever negotiation leverage they can use


5 posted on 08/15/2024 5:29:20 PM PDT by struggle
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

This article is full of crapola. After already losing 400-500k men, the Ukraine has to be running low on men soon.


6 posted on 08/15/2024 5:35:54 PM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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To: GrumpyOldGuy
This article is full of crapola. After already losing 400-500k men, the Ukraine has to be running low on men soon.

That's OK. The Zeepers are willing to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian life.

7 posted on 08/15/2024 5:39:09 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
If Kamala wins, I could see Putin going nuclear.

What's she going to do about it? Not a damn thing and Putin knows it.

She's so hopelessly out of her league.

8 posted on 08/15/2024 5:39:15 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

USGovernment spokeman NYT: “.. according to US officials.”


9 posted on 08/15/2024 5:41:25 PM PDT by A strike ("Rise Peter, kill and eat.")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Monumental fails:
  1. Teutonic Knights
  2. Charles XII of Sweden
  3. Napoleon
  4. Hitler
  5. Zelinsky
LOL Z-man. LOL. Join the dustbin of history.

10 posted on 08/15/2024 5:53:34 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (LORD, grant thy people grace to withstand the temptations of the world, the flesh, and the devil.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I think it’s hilarious.

“Hey, let’s do a Thunder Run towards Kursk”!
“Nah, the Russkie’s will never buy it.”
“Well, they keep banging their heads in the Donetsk, the idiots will probably never see something on their right flank.”
“Alright, take a brigade of volunteers and make sure they know they’ll never make it back.”
“Sure. I’m sure Putin will move his forces to cover. It’ll be fun anyhow.”


11 posted on 08/15/2024 6:05:40 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Kamala Harris loves to give wet Willys)
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To: GrumpyOldGuy

“After already losing 400-500k men, the Ukraine has to be running low on men soon.”

The same line we trotted out every year in Vietnam and Afghanistan.

The reality is men will fight on forever to get foreign invaders off their land.

The problem is young Americans don’t understand patriotism. They have been taught since kindergarten to hate their own country. That isn’t true in the rest of the world.


12 posted on 08/15/2024 6:05:57 PM PDT by Renfrew (Muscovia delenda est)
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To: Rockingham
" Ukraine’s move into Russia is being competently done."

Hitler thought that Germany's move into Russia was competently done too.

13 posted on 08/15/2024 6:17:56 PM PDT by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: mass55th

It was until he fucked up trying to push into Moscow after starting so late.


14 posted on 08/15/2024 6:22:41 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Kamala Harris loves to give wet Willys)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; marcusmaximus; Paul R.; Bruce Campbells Chin; PIF; familyop; MercyFlush; tet68; ..

Ukraine ping

In 1969, China invaded Russia without Russia having invaded China first. Brezhnev asked Nixon if he would object if he nuked China. Nixon committed to obliterating Russia if Brezhnev did so. Brezhnev backed down.

https://www.scmp.com/article/714064/nixon-intervention-saved-china-soviet-nuclear-attack

Apart from the fact that China was merely, to Nixon, the lesser of two evils, the US has strong religious and ethno-racial ties to Ukraine, which it did not to China. Protestant missions are permitted in Ukraine, but illegal and subject to prosecution in Russia. For the same reason that Nixon committed the US to a nuclear response over China in 1969, Biden has likely extended, in secret, a nuclear umbrella over Ukraine.

Note that China was a Russian client state, much as the Warsaw Pact states were. The regime owed its victory over the Nationalists to copious Russian supplies of former American Lend Lease gear. Mao rode into the new Chinese capital of Beijing in a Jeep transferred from Russian WW2 Lend Lease stocks the Russians never paid for.

If Putin starts a nuclear war, he’ll have decided to kill himself along with his entire family and all of his closest friends. A veteran of WW2 with combat medals who had seen his share of mass death, Brezhnev decided not to commit suicide. Putin is likely to do the same.

But the larger reason two nuclear states are unlikely to nuke each other has to do with how leaders rise through the ranks. The saying goes “there are old soldiers and bold soldiers, but very few old, bold soldiers”. Leaders don’t survive long enough to get to the top by being reckless. Their specialty is shoving people into the line of fire to absorb the arrows meant for them. For this reason, the fact that national leaders have very well-honed instincts for self-preservation, the odds of Putin initiating a nuclear attack, in the face of a US commitment to retaliate in kind, are nonexistent.


15 posted on 08/15/2024 6:26:30 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: mass55th

Events will tell, but Russia’s military has been exposed as badly flawed, even incompetent. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s has proved to be more resilient and capable than was generally expected.


16 posted on 08/15/2024 6:47:16 PM PDT by Rockingham
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To: Zhang Fei
... the odds of Putin initiating a nuclear attack, in the face of a US commitment to retaliate in kind, are nonexistent.

You believe that Joe Biden &/or whoever is actually in charge in the White House would respond to Russian use of nuclear weapons inside their own borders by launching a retaliatory nuclear strike on Russia, initiating an all-out exchange? That's quite interesting, given that the European members of NATO were never fully convinced that America was committed to such a suicidal action, even if Warsaw Pact conventional forces invaded western Europe.

17 posted on 08/15/2024 6:57:21 PM PDT by Who is John Galt? ("...mit Pulver und Blei, Die Gedanken sind frei!")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

NATO gambled everything on hoping Russia would pivot to defense of the homeland. However, anyone to include NATO knew that Russia only had 400k men operating in Ukraine, and over 500k in reserves. The Russian offense continues to quicken it’s pace in the Donbas, and across the entire frontlines. The pivot to counter Ukraine’s Kursk gambit saw only reserves streaming into the town and nuclear power plant in the first few days, as Special Forces units staged hit and run delaying operations to destroy armored vehicles. In what is now day 8-9, Russian reserves are pouring into the area of the power plant and then moving forward to contact; this has allowed Ukraine to overestimate their successes and to double down after failing to reach their objectives in the first 36 hours, and to date.

Zelinski is doubling down, but his forces lack an exit stragety as the exceed the initial 20km breach with extended supply lines, and as Russian forces mass for a crushing counter attack.

The biggest change attributed to this incursion into Russia is that the West is now laying the groundwork for replacement of Zelinski. Hit pieces dropped by the western MSM throughout Germany and the US point to Zelinski’s knowledge of the NORDSTREAM destruction, and since Zelinski must remain at war to stay in power, the west is led by the US is no longer in a position to write more blank checks to Ukraine/Zelinski as American forces pivot to defense of Israel and possible confrontations with an undetermined number of groups, Mid East nations, and even China/Russia.

Tick Tok, the Ukrainian PR War is not meeting the same successes as on-line, and there are actual indicators that the Ukrainian president’s inner circle are actively preparing to escapt to western countries as the Russian forces BEAR down in a rentless drive to crush the AFU.


18 posted on 08/15/2024 7:09:00 PM PDT by Jumper
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To: Jumper

Ukraine sent troops to aid us in Afghanistan. Russia cut back door deals with Iran, who was aiding the Taliban in its efforts to kill U.S. troops during much of that same war.


19 posted on 08/15/2024 7:11:54 PM PDT by Bruce Campbells Chin ( )
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To: Zhang Fei

However, the US did mediate between Russia and China and we placed over 200 specialists to monitor communications on both sides to ensure early warning of any future attack, and thus gave both sides assurances neither would blindside the other in the future. The US maintained this guaranteed monitoring of communications and satellite imagery well into the late 70’s.


20 posted on 08/15/2024 7:12:24 PM PDT by Jumper
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