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National Hurricane Center Tracking Possible Tropical Storm Formation Near Bahamas, Florida
weather ^ | 07/31/2024 | weather.com meteorologists

Posted on 07/31/2024 9:24:44 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

A​ disturbance in the Atlantic continues to be watched for possible formation into a tropical storm, but there are multiple scenarios in play when it comes to the track of this system as it nears the Bahamas and the southeastern United States by this weekend.

W​here is the disturbance now? The tropical wave that might eventually grow into a tropical depression or storm is located near the Leeward Islands, or near the "X" in the graphic below, according to the National Hurricane Center.

It's been battling an abundance of dry air for days but is now showing some signs of increased shower and thunderstorm development. That could be a sign the system is in the beginning stages of some slow organization.

W​hen and where could it develop? T​he National Hurricane Center says development, if it occurs, won't happen until sometime by this weekend, generally in the shaded area on the map below. M​ost computer models suggest that development could occur by Friday or this weekend.

(Excerpt) Read more at weather.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Local News; Outdoors; Weather
KEYWORDS: bahamas; florida; hurricane; tropicalstrom
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To: Rockingham

Family used to know the legendary forecaster from the Miami NHC— who moved up to near Canaveral and built a truly hurricane proof home- prestressed concrete anti-wind design, the works. Can’t recall his name. He was always on national, think it was ABC— and always accurate. Will have to rack memory from the days before the internet.


41 posted on 07/31/2024 11:51:22 AM PDT by John S Mosby (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: John S Mosby

I no doubt saw your friend on TV talking hurricanes. There are broadly speaking two approaches to weather forecasting. The modern approach relies on masses of data and sophisticated computer models. Until recently, the traditional approach, which uses maps, history, and weather cycles, often did better.


42 posted on 07/31/2024 12:09:54 PM PDT by Rockingham
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To: Mogger

On our way to NY we travel through VT and the area that got flooded out a couple years ago, Okemo.

It was pretty impressive what damage water can do.

And it wasn’t water damage as much as washed out roads and boulders moved and stuff. Water is far more powerful than most people realize.


43 posted on 07/31/2024 12:51:26 PM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: Rockingham

IMO, the warnings can be helpful but anyone who lives in FL and is not prepped well before hurricane season is foolish.

Waiting until the last minute to decide to prep is doubly so.


44 posted on 07/31/2024 12:53:25 PM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Where are we in the alphabet now? Have they gotten to Tropical Possibility Yolanda yet?


45 posted on 07/31/2024 1:04:28 PM PDT by PLMerite ("They say that we were Cold Warriors. Yes, and a bloody good show, too." - Robert Conquest )
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To: metmom

Fortunately, Florida as a whole is now better prepared than ever before. Utility lines are hardened and repair crews ready for action as a matter of routine. Many grocery stores and select gas stations also have backup power generators.


46 posted on 07/31/2024 1:14:53 PM PDT by Rockingham
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To: Rockingham

Good.


47 posted on 07/31/2024 1:19:21 PM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I just looked at the 7 day Atlantic storm forecast. It appears a “disturbance” could hit anywhere from Tierra del Fuego to Nova Scotia. /s

They might as well have shaded the entire globe orange.


48 posted on 07/31/2024 1:41:51 PM PDT by chickenlips (Neuter your politicians)
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To: Sacajaweau

Just like Democrats


49 posted on 07/31/2024 1:51:07 PM PDT by Fledermaus (We Are Now In A Civil War!)
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To: chickenlips
Image
50 posted on 08/03/2024 2:34:44 PM PDT by CFW
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To: CFW

Thanks. I’ve been following it closely.

There’s a lot of agreement in the spaghetti models until it gets to GA. I’m happy to have it travel to the west of where I am in SW FL, but my heart goes out to the folks further north that may get a hurricane and flooding. They got hit last year by Hurricane Idalia.


51 posted on 08/03/2024 3:06:05 PM PDT by chickenlips (Neuter your politicians)
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To: chickenlips; NautiNurse

NN usually starts our Hurricane threads but I haven’t seen one from her yet.

I’m pinging her here to inquire. NN, can we expect your usual thread and expertise on Hurricane Debby?


52 posted on 08/03/2024 5:02:31 PM PDT by CFW
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To: CFW
TS Debby
53 posted on 08/03/2024 6:54:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse (With a cough and a sputter, the original lying dog-faced pony soldier is led out to pasture. )
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping!

I searched “Hurricane” and received no results for this thread so was a bit worried about you. Contrary to what some may insist, “search” does not always work.


54 posted on 08/03/2024 7:06:03 PM PDT by CFW
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To: CFW

“I searched “Hurricane” and received no results for this thread so was a bit worried about you. Contrary to what some may insist, “search” does not always work.”


I meant to say “received no results EXCEPT for this thread”. Sheesh, maybe it’s time for my late evening nap.


55 posted on 08/03/2024 7:08:45 PM PDT by CFW
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