Allan Lichtman forecasts Harris win in November.

X ^ | 7/29/2024 | Colin Rugg

[right way right]

She is the bright shiny new thing for the dems.
Wait until more people get to know her.
She is a nothing…just another puppet.
What will the convention be like…just hating Trump and us is my guess.
Saving their democracy which no so many really wants once they know what it is.

We need to concentrate on not letting them steal it.

[Aria]

I totally agree with you - Trump should be emphasizing policies and not insults which just make her seem sympathetic.

At this point JD seems to be a big mistake.

[MeneMeneTekelUpharsin]

Only if they cheat.

Lichtman has an inside source telling him this. That is why he picked her.

[SkyDancer]

And the death of America.

[hal ogen]

Why would “black women” vote for her. She isn’t “black”.

[spacejunkie2001]

this guy is TOTALLY FOS as Trump WON in 2020 but his ilk stole it. Pathetic losers, all.

[wildcard_redneck]

Thanks for the advice straight from the Bush Crime Family. Now tell us what great Reagan conservative you are like all of the Bush liars.

[newfreep]

Communists always cheat to "win"...and then use force to impose their utopia on the citizens.

[crosdaddy]

Because she is not Caucasian either.

[kenmcg]

He’s a RAT operative, but he has been wrong before

[MplsSteve]

“Never underestimate the stupidity of the American public.”

Completely true!

[cgbg]

See post 71.

Can you answer it (without cheating)?

[cpdiii]

Prior to the attempt on Trump’s life the media would castigate Kamala and accurately so. When Biden said he would not run the DNC sent out the talking points to the Media. Now they describe Kamala as a combination of Winston Churchill, Jesus and the cover of Vogue.

[Dawgreg]

This guy’s a clown......full of himself

[The Fop]

Thanks for being honest as well.

I apologize for saying that your dream ticket is Jeb Bush/Nikki Haley.

Your dream ticket is actually a repeat of Romney/Ryan! I’m sure they’d get all that stuff done in a jiffy.

[frogjerk]

From your link:

Key 3: Incumbent seeking re-election
Lichtman says an incumbent president seeking re-election has several advantages, such as the ability to set the national agenda, and often attracts far more media attention than a non-incumbent. The president can also benefit from the rally 'round the flag effect in times of crisis.

Lichtman also says that presidents running for re-election rarely face the strongest candidates from the challenging party, who typically refrain from running unless the president is seen as very vulnerable.

This is certainly not the case this year so I am puzzled why he is going against his own guidance and observation.

[butterdezillion]

This guy predicted a Biden win though. Even though by this measure, Biden held NO KEYS at the time.

Maybe there’s one more key that this guy knows about, and it trumps all the others put together: election fraud.

[PUGACHEV]

I cannot listen to anything someone says while they are wearing such a ridiculous hairpiece.

[Wallace T.]

Trump could offer subsidized box wine and discounted cat food to these “suburban women”. Seriously, however, I think there is a serious divide between Christian, faithfully married women and the divorced, single, and pagan women who have bought into the leftist ideology of third wave feminism. The former will flock to conservative candidates; the latter are brainwashed sheeple.

[FlipWilson]

First of all, this guy was saying two weeks ago that the best chance the Dems had to win was if Biden stayed at the head of the ticket.

Secondly, I read this yesterday and the guy said that much was still fluid and he wasn’t ready to say for certain.