Posted on 07/30/2024 6:56:58 AM PDT by Phoenix8
NEW: Forecaster who has predicted almost every election since 1984, says Kamala Harris will likely win the election in November.
Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 & Biden in 2020, says his forecasts point to a Harris win.
Lichtman uses '13 keys' to make his predictions:
The "keys" are: – party mandate – contest – incumbency – third party – short-term economy – long-term economy – policy change, – social unrest – scandal – foreign/military failure – foreign/military success – incumbent charisma – challenger charisma
As of now, Harris has 6 keys and Trump only has 3.
Lichtman still has four keys to hand out but Harris is already at 6 meaning, in his own words, "a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose."
Lichtman is waiting until the DNC to make his final prediction.
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
It’s a big country with a diverse voting base. Both statements are true.
“Why would “black women” vote for her. She isn’t “black”.”
Polls suggest Kamala is increasing her support amongst blacks, especially black women. Looking at her, what race do you think she is?
If I didn't know her, I'll think she's a light skinned Black woman. There are many people who looks like her. The average Black person is 73% Black, 24% White.
Sadly you are right. Trump has the best policy, but he is very bad in picking subordinates. JD Vance is good MAGA but he brings not a single additional vote over what Trump already brings. First priority is win in 2024, not worry about who will continue MAGA in 2028. Because if Trump loses in 2024, Kamala will succeed in destroying the country so bad, it will be near impossible job to recover.
There were several candidates available in 2024 for VP, who could bring additional block of voters. Hoping the debate next week will be helpful to Trump.
Is there a question? Of course democrats will cheat.
Trump/Haley wins in spite of cheating.
Biden did not win on his own. Voters voting against Trump gave him the win, with cheat thrown in for insurance.
Haley is a greasy disgusting Deep State slut. Puh..leaze, I just ate!
If Harris wins this country is over. Prepare for it.
81+ million voters picked the potato.
Here’s the million-dollar question that disproves the bogus theory of people “voting AGAINST Trump with great passion”....
Why didn’t Hillary get 82 million votes to prevent Trump from ever becoming president in the first place?
When did people have more motivation to vote against Trump?
In 2016, when everybody was screaming that he would start World War 3 and destroy the economy, while roving gangs of MAGA hat wearing racists beat up minorities on every street corner?
Or in 2020, after he presided over a great economy, was the first President in decades to not get us into any new wars, made us energy independent, and presided over peace initiatives between Israel and the Arabs?
One of the biggest reasons that people supposedly hated Trump, was because he was such a racist who hated immigrants. So why did he make his biggest gains in 2020 amongst Hispanics in places like South Texas, LA, and the Bronx?
Everybody fell for this line hook line and sinker. Yet nobody can explain why Hillary only got 65 million votes to prevent the crazy lunatic madman from ever getting anywhere near the oval office.
It’s mainstream media GARBAGE!
“One of the biggest reasons that people supposedly hated Trump, was because he was such a racist who hated immigrants.”
He hates immigrants so much that he married two of them.
He hates Jews, although his grandchildren are Jews. When he’s with them you can see that he’s repulsed by them. 🫤
He is a racist. So that guy hanging out with blacks, and even dating some, for decades must be his doppelganger.
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