Posted on 08/29/2023 3:55:44 PM PDT by Olog-hai
The latest wave of generative AI is more likely to augment jobs than destroy them, according to a new study by the International Labor Organization (ILO).
Most jobs will only be partially exposed to the automation generated by technologies such as ChatGPT, so it is more likely that they will be complemented by automation — rather than replaced entirely.
The impact of these technologies will be greater on the quality rather than on the quantity of jobs, according to the global study.
In addition, the effects will be uneven by gender, job category and country income-level. “Any form of technological transition would have a strongly gendered effect, with a badly managed process disproportionately harming women,” reads the report.
About four percent of global female employment is subject to potential automation through generative AI technologies, compared to only 1.4 percent of male employment. The trend is even more pronounced in high-income countries. This is because there are many more office jobs in these countries, which have become a source of employment for women as countries have experienced greater economic development.
The ILO estimates that it is clerical work that will be most exposed to technologies such as ChatGPT. About a quarter of clerical jobs will be highly exposed to this new wave of technology, while only a small percentage of managerial, professional and technical jobs will be highly exposed. As a result, many administrative jobs may never be created in these developing countries.
The ILO warns of the danger: “Concentrated job losses in female-dominated occupations could threaten advances made in the past decades in increasing women’s participation in the labor market.”
Moreover, for these low-income countries, the potential benefits of generative AI are limited by the lack of adequate structures to enable its use, with widespread internet access and reliable electricity still pending. As a result, only 0.4 percent of total employment in these low-income countries will be at risk of automation (equivalent to around one million jobs), compared with 5.5 percent in high-income countries (equivalent to around 30 million jobs).
Regardless of their varying degrees of impact, generative AI is neither good nor bad in and of itself, the ILO report says. Its impact will depend on how its expansion is managed. While it is true that the automation of certain tasks will free up a certain amount of time that can be used to do more work, as the ILO study points out, attention also needs to be paid to how it is used. Poor implementation can also reduce workers’ autonomy or increase their work intensity, for example when algorithmic management tools are used and there is no room for feedback or discussion with management.
So far, discussions on AI regulation have not addressed the impact of these technologies on working conditions. The EU’s own AI Act has focused on market rather than labour implications, and although it will not be introduced during this mandate, employment commissioner Nicholas Schmit has stressed that they are attaching “high importance” to the issue of AI in the world of work.
“Without proper policies in place, there is a risk that only some of the well-positioned countries and market participants will be able to harness the benefits of the transition, while the costs to affected workers could be brutal,” concludes the report.
I never believed the AI hype for a second
“The family was destroyed…. most of our societal ills are a result of this.”
Lot of truth in that, but why have kids these days? For one thing, daddy might disappear or is it daddy’s income that’s the concern. For another, kids are huge expenses with less return than in the old days when the kids stayed around and helped.
Don’t have a family? No income? Lotta debt? Disease? Disability? Don’t worry, the Federal government will help. Just sit back.
No need to rely on family or community anymore.
Regarding AI, that’s just machines and machines can do more and more. It started with the wheel.
They will certainly take their “OnlyFans” jobs:
https://culturacolectiva.com/en/technology/artificial-intelligence-models-onlyfans/
There remain many faux "management" jobs concerned with the juggling of lists and schedules and the optics of having a Person in Charge. Women are vastly overrepresented in these fake roles as a result of decades of pressure to meet diversity targets. AI could make many layers of bureaucracy go away - even the legendary "DMV Lady". It might undo decades of Leftist sabotage of our corporations and government offices - that's why they are worried.
we need to focus AI on eliminating HR jobs.
Corporate HR has destroyed society.
“the last 60 years shows how bad the Dems screwed up our society. “
No doubt. MASSIVELY sky-high taxes require two incomes and leave the kids to be raised by the state schools in many cases. Then the state owns the child.
Thanks to FDR and LBJ for their massive growth of the nanny state that destroyed the family and screwed up society. Then Clinton, Obama and the stinking Bastard Biden really put the pedal to the metal.
open borders and “free” trade have driven down wages and quality of life more than anything. Blame the left, yes, for sure, but don’t for get to blame the free traitors in the Republican party and the open border ‘muh labor shortage’ bought and paid for Republican traitors like G W MORON, Paul RYNO, Romney, etc.
“open borders and “free” trade have driven down wages and quality of life more than anything.”
No doubt they are major contributor, but I think the huge taxes required to create the Socialist Nanny State Cradle-to-Grave did a lot more damage. That damage pre-dated the offshoring of jobs by five or more decades.
But there is no doubt that BOTH are major contributors to our demise.
You can't stop an algorithm from hating.
I can't argue with that.
face, it, the new computer program is racist and sexist at the same time
who knew?
So will trannys if anyone cares anymore
Jane Fonda did a movie about ai and robots replacing women ... and men.... in the oldest profession.
Can you compete with that?
Between "Generative AI" models, and the multiple-orders-of-magnitude improvement Machine Learning (ML) chips are making every few years, the creative industries are going to take a hit.
Just off the top of my head:
I'm at a chip design conference (Hot Chips) this very second. The computational power of Machine Learning chips are increasing at a staggering rate.
The speedup of CPUs from generation to generation? Not much - 10-15%. The speedup of Machine Learning? 5-8X per generation.
I can’t imagine why that would be. After all, it is Artificial INTELLIGENCE, not Artificial Emotional Response.
(Ducks and runs)
Actually, scientists have said that AI has had trouble “thinking” like a women. There’s a mysterious kind of logic to the “feminine” that AI cannot replicate.
Seriesly.
Software engineers can make an algorithm produce any results they want. They just need to be smarter than the algorithm.
Looks like they are not up to the task.
Most AI programs using the "Large Language Model" go insane after lengthy operations, just as predicted by science fiction writers decades ago. See some stories by Larry Niven on this point.
Don't put them in control of machinery.
Right. But they still don’t need AI—just a computer but not so-called sentient artificial intelligence. THAT doesn’t exist. There’s nothing intelligent about these types of jobs...
Ain’t that right? Just ask DOCTOR Jill Biden, lol!
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