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It's a dirty job, but someone has to do it.:)

The attached article is two men's opinion. They do a pretty good job of discussing the apparent frontrunners. There are many other current articles on the same subject, but I liked this one because Feinberg and Rooney note in passing how the SAG, Critics Choice, Spirit Award, BAFTA, etc. honors were distributed. The Oscars don't have a monopoly on the discussion; they're just the last big awards hoedown, with the biggest legacy name. But each group that goes through this annual ritual reflects a different voting constituency and different preoccupations. I'm currently partial to the SAG Awards because that's of, by and for the actors. SAG doesn't vote for best picture, best direction or any of the craft awards; it's all about the acting, period, and fellow actors are the voters. To win a SAG award, you have to impress your peers. But this is Oscar night. So for discussion:

In accordance with my new personal discipline, I am going to refrain from trashing movies or performances that I've not seen. I prefer to look for the good stuff.

Of the films/performances up for the major (non-craft) awards, I've seen The Banshees of Inisherin; Living; Causeway; Everything Everywhere All at Once; Tar; To Leslie; Top Gun: Maverick; and All Quiet on the Western Front.

If I were picking the winners?

Best Picture: I'd be happy with Banshees, Top Gun: Maverick (which would be an even bigger surprise than CODA winning last year), and All Quiet on the Western Front (which won't win Best Picture but which is a good bet for Best International Feature Film; it's also the only one of the furrin' flicks that very many people have seen).

Best Actor in a Leading Role: Colin Farrell/Banshees or Bill Nighy/Living. Pick 'em. Mind you, that's just my 2 cents worth; this category is wide open.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role: I liked Brendan Gleeson/Banshees and Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once, who is probably the closest to a lock in this year's competition.

Actress in a Leading Role: This category is also wide open. Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once and Cate Blanchett/Tar are probably the favorites, and either would be a worthy pick.

Actress in a Supporting Role: Kerry Condon/Banshees, Jamie Lee Curtis/EEAAO, and Stephanie Hsu/EEAAO are all excellent. I haven't seen the other two. If I had to pick one, I'll say Kerry Condon, but that's really coin flipping.

In the other categories, EEAO is going to win for Best Directing; I will eat my own pixels if it doesn't. EEAO has been cleaning up across the board through awards season. It won't sweep the Oscars, but if it gets knocked off its pedestal, it will be because the Oscar voters decided to demonstrate their independence and throw some consolation prizes to some pretty good movies that have been playing second fiddle so far in the awards derby.

I'll leave any discussion of the merits of the films for later, but I will say that if you haven't seen EEAO, don't embarrass yourself commenting on it. It is wildly creative and unlike anything you have ever seen. It careens all over the place at a breakneck pace and slides into some off color stuff that I would have left out -- generally in an overreach for even more comedy in a film that is pretty funny even without it. It also reaches for themes that are poignant and beautiful. Even if it's not your cup of tea, don't dismiss it too casually. The other movies are much more straightforward.

Go at it. And of course, if you haven't seen any of this year's nominees but know that all of them are terrible because Hollywood hasn't made a good movie since The Godfather ... well, you are welcome to your opinion.:)

1 posted on 03/12/2023 4:00:11 PM PDT by sphinx
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To: sphinx; al_c; AFreeBird; Albion Wilde; aMorePerfectUnion; A Navy Vet; AnotherUnixGeek; Antoninus; ..

Pinging the usual suspects.


2 posted on 03/12/2023 4:00:40 PM PDT by sphinx
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To: sphinx

Let me know what happens after the show- i won’t give a sh!t then either


3 posted on 03/12/2023 4:02:02 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: sphinx

I’m still sore that Battle: Los Angeles wasn’t voted Best Picture.


4 posted on 03/12/2023 4:06:32 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: sphinx

Completely detached from it this year.

All they had to say was “Jimmy Kimmel” and I had better things to do with my evening...


5 posted on 03/12/2023 4:09:16 PM PDT by Magnatron
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To: sphinx

Carla is front runner for best dressed

https://people.com/thmb/_cZ4gqKuSZk3RirVE685Nsy76_w=/1500x0/filters:no_upscale():max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():focal(599x0:601x2):format(webp)/cara-d-oscars-031223-df2649f2cd1f4520b35878e576bd16f1.jpg


6 posted on 03/12/2023 4:13:09 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: sphinx

Thanks. I’m still working my way through Oscar Winners from 1920, forward. ;)

I can’t waste precious time on this current batch-0-cr@p.

Oscar Winners through the ages:

https://www.imdb.com/list/ls028898450/

I will say this: The remake of ‘West Side Story’ is absolutely STUNNING. I’ve watched it twice and want to watch it again! The dancing and musical score, cinematography, the flat out HATRED various socio/economic groups had for one another is palpable. This movie is NOT ‘PC’ and NOT dumbed down. It was absolutely a joy to watch. Gritty, yet uplifting.

And Steven Spielberg directed! Who woulda thunk it? Really, TREAT your fine selves. :)


7 posted on 03/12/2023 4:13:38 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
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To: sphinx

In Brudges Part II: Irish Begrudgery


8 posted on 03/12/2023 4:14:08 PM PDT by rollo tomasi
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To: sphinx

I must say I could care less.


9 posted on 03/12/2023 4:14:22 PM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: sphinx
Hollyweird perverts award shows?


10 posted on 03/12/2023 4:17:03 PM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: sphinx

Couldn’t care less about the Oscars.


11 posted on 03/12/2023 4:19:35 PM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: sphinx

“Who Will Win, Who Should Win”

Who cares?


16 posted on 03/12/2023 4:24:25 PM PDT by aquila48 (Do not let them make you "care" ! Guilting you is how thery control you. )
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To: sphinx

Who will win, Who should win, who should care?


20 posted on 03/12/2023 4:32:04 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s ( If you can remember the 60s.....you weren't really there..)
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To: sphinx

“Oscars 2023: Who Will Win, Who Should Win”

more importantly, who gives a shite?


21 posted on 03/12/2023 4:33:29 PM PDT by catnipman (In a post-covid world, ALL "science" is now political science: stolen elections have consequences)
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To: sphinx

On The Count Of Three, 1-2-3, WHO GIVES A SH!T!


22 posted on 03/12/2023 4:33:58 PM PDT by ohiobushman (TRUMP 2024 OR BEFORE!!👌)
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To: sphinx

The most important Oscars question is:

Who cares?


23 posted on 03/12/2023 4:34:07 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: sphinx

Who will win.
Who should win.
Who effin cares?


27 posted on 03/12/2023 4:40:03 PM PDT by CTyank
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To: sphinx

The only one I will watch when gets to streaming for ‘free’ is “All Quiet on the Western Front”. Nothing else looks good to me.


28 posted on 03/12/2023 4:40:26 PM PDT by dynachrome (“We cannot save Ukraine by dooming the US economy.” Rand Paul)
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To: sphinx

Zzzzz


31 posted on 03/12/2023 4:42:01 PM PDT by cowboyusa (There is no co- existence with Pinks and Reds)
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To: sphinx

Who cares?


33 posted on 03/12/2023 4:42:10 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: sphinx

I used to be such a movie fanatic, but I’ve completely slacked off. Interested in getting back to the theater. I have not seen any of the movies up for an Oscar. I so want to see Banshee’s. I will say that Cate Blanchett just leaves me cold. I think the Asian woman will win, just based on what I’ve read.


37 posted on 03/12/2023 4:47:08 PM PDT by leaning conservative (snow coming, school cancelled, yayyyyyyyyy!!!!!!)
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