Posted on 01/21/2023 7:07:50 PM PST by SeekAndFind
By 2050, 70 percent of the world’s population will live in cities, up from 54 percent in 2020, according to a new report by the Institute for Economics & Peace. This increase is being driven by both population growth and a continued shift towards urbanization, particularly to so called ‘megacities’ - metropolises that have a population of 10 million or more.
As Statista's Anna Fleck details below, urbanization takes place because of both push and pull factors. The IEA describes how in the Democratic Republic of Congo's capital of Kinshasa, factors pushing people away from rural areas include issues of violence and a general lack of security, the presence of criminal groups, lack of policing, ecological degradation, and the fact there are too many people for the available agricultural land. Meanwhile, a pull factor could be the attraction of an increase in the standard of living.
There are currently 33 megacities worldwide. Tokyo (37.3 million), Delhi (32.3 million), Shanghai (28.7 million), Dhaka (22.6 million), São Paulo (22.5 million) and Mexico City (22.1 million) take the lead as the most populous of these. By 2050, 14 more cities are set to join their ranks, with a total increased population of some 213 million people. The new order will then become Delhi (49.6 million), Dhaka (34.6 million), Tokyo (32.6 million), Cairo (32.6 million) and Mumbai (32.4 million).
You will find more infographics at Statista
In addition to a rise in the number of people living in these cities, the countries themselves will also likely see economic growth.
According to AXA, Manila in the Philippines and Bangalore in India are expected to see close to 150 percent GDP growth by the end of the decade.
Africa is the only world region expected to still see strong population growth by the end of the century, according to the Pew Research Center, while all other regions’ growth rates will start to tail off. This is reflected in our chart, as it’s notably the African megacities that will see the biggest population rate increases. Meanwhile, only three megacities will see decreases in their population size: the Russian capital of Moscow (-3 percent), and Japan’s Osaka (-12 percent) and Tokyo (-12 percent). Despite Tokyo's shrinkage, brought on by an aging population and declining birth rate, the capital will still rank as the world’s fourth most populated megacity in 2050.
The 33 cities that have already hit megacity status are the following: Delhi, Dhaka, Cairo, Tokyo, Mumbai, Shanghai, Kinshasa, Lagos, Karachi, Mexico City, São Paulo, Beijing, Kolkata, New York City, Manila, Lahore, Bangalore, Chongqing, Buenos Aires, Osaka, Hyderabad, Tianjin, Guangzhou, Los Angeles, Rio de Janeiro, Bangkok, Jakarta, Shenzhen, Lima, Paris and Moscow.
It’s important to note here that different sources cite different statistics, and that especially with forecasts, situations can change. For instance, where the United Nations initially predicted that India would overtake China as the biggest country in 2027, it is now expected to take place in April of this year. In terms of megacity status, according to UN data from 2018, several additional cities, including Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia and Wuhan in China, will make the roundup even by 2035. Read more on the nature of conflicting reports here.
RE: Tyler Durden is a nebulous man, if that is what he is. He’s been roaming around websites trying to find a home.
Any comments on the CONTENT of this particular post of his?
Chinese want to live there...
This whole thing is a load of massive e bullsh!t probably dreamed up by the same jackasses who are pushing travel restricting EVs as the solution to non-exist anthropomorphic global warming
That depends on how you look at it. Thomas Jefferson would be surprised and appalled at how urban the New York to Philadelphia corridor (stretching out beyond those cities in both directions) is. What the futurologists missed was that most of the cities growth would be outside of the three megalopolises, but it was a great surprise for anyone who'd grown up earlier in the last century to see the first pictures from space.
I meant to say, “most of the country’s growth.”
Know that, but he is still nebulous....
Lots of oil and gas here. Don’t need more la people
So people aren’t going to be flocking to the Masters of the Universe 15 Minute Cities?
They say this as if cities were good places to live.
They expect us to believe this?
Rural violence and lack of policing is pushing people into cities? Seriously?
I was addressing your ‘He’s been roaming around websites trying to find a home’ statement.
He’s/they’ve been at Zero Hedge since, what, day one?
The American Westering Interior (east of the Cascades/Sierra Nevada and west of the 99th Meridian) is 1/3 of the land area of the USA (almost the size of the EU) with less than 10% of the population (30 million).
That 30 million is roughly the size of the greater New York metro area (25M)!
Of that 30 million, one-third live in three cities: Phoenix, Las Vegas and Denver. If you take out the next five largest cities in this area (El Paso, Tucson, Boise, Salt Lake City and Albuquerque), the vast area is home to less than 15 million people.
It is peaceful and free here.
No thank you very much!
Cool Y’all have fun. I’m in Central America, living in a country that doesn’t even have ONE “megacity”.
I kinda like it that way.
I read some of William Gibson’s science fiction as a kid. His cyberpunk novels featured BAMA (Boston Atlanta Metropolitan Axis) aka the Sprawl, a mega city stretching from New England to Dixie. Pretty heady stuff forty years ago.
My response exactly! Who wants to move to a northern, flat land city on the edge of cold lake that with heavy winds and snow? It is an ugly city in an ugly part of the country full of ugly, corrupt liberals. I don’t even want to visit, no way you could pay me enough to live there.
No one is moving there. All the savages who already inhabit that cesspool are funded with tax dollars to overbreed.
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