(Actually serious on this... if it gets into the Gulf of Mexico's bath water, any coastal area there oughta pay attention. Check back around this weekend.)
Posted on 09/20/2022 6:45:04 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks
The NOAA GFS model is showing a hurricane moving north through the Gulf and making landfall on the western Florida panhandle on September 30. The 12Z 09/20 run had it approaching Apalachicola, while the 18Z run has it making landfall at or near Pensacola. I suspect future model updates will continue to have the hurricane tracking further and further west. JMO.
130 mph is respectable, but that was almost 70 years ago. Y’all have already forgotten about Ida, and that was just last year.
(Actually serious on this... if it gets into the Gulf of Mexico's bath water, any coastal area there oughta pay attention. Check back around this weekend.)
Does anything positive come out of Africa?
We deal with them pretty often. Unless it’s something like Michael that was a 5 and made landfall at Mexico Beach, we’ll be fine down here. A Cat 3 or 4 isn’t great, but not unusual. We know how to handle them.
Migrating birds hit hardest.
Windy.com currently has it coming up through Cuba, Key West and into Marco Island area and then up the east coast to Wilmington, NC
I use Weather Underground and they don’t even show a disturbance in the area.
I think they’re talking about the AVNO 21 track for Disturbance 1.
More here: https://spaghettimodels.com/
I predict yet another nothingburger. Anyone want to place any bets?
Seems to me like the 'weather experts' are simply dying to have something, anything to report, since we've had no storms of note to date, after all their usual prognostications of doom earlier this year.
PING!.....................
correct. all the wx freaks are in a tizzy.
Looks like virtually a 0% chance of hitting the panhandle.
The media doesn’t tell the good stories about DeSantis, of course. Living in Florida has been really good under DeSantis and I think he is doing a great job. Florida is probably more ready for any recovery needs after a hurricane than we have been before.
Yeah, I’m seein TPA or SWFL?
The 06Z 09/21 has it back to hitting Apalachicola on 09/30, and by then, it’s heading northeast, so my area (Pensacola) will not get the worst of it, and we’ll be on what is called the “good side” of the storm.
Really?
Got a link? I don’t see a 06Z on the https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ .
In my area, Mexico Beach got scrubbed off the map a few years ago and is still rebuilding. Apalachicola is even closer. ALWAYS take hurricane warnings seriously until a miss is generated.
Mexico Beach did take quite a hit. A neighbor of mine if from there & I helped him running clothes, food, etc to the area after the storm. He’s still helping friends in the area rebuild.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.