Posted on 08/29/2022 5:42:30 AM PDT by Blueflag
A week or so ago a FReeper fired up a post predicting a Labor Day weekend potent hurricane for the GOM (Gulf of Mexico). Well lo and behold there's a system out east that the NHC is forecasting/hyping to be near the US just in time. There's also a 'disturbance' about the depart the west coast of Africa on the tails of the first one.
Just in time for September, eh?
Before every hurricane season, the NHC and others put out their hurricane forecast. As long as I can remember, every year is “above average” due to the ravages of climate change. The only way they even get close to their number is to name a storm that goes ashore the next day as some black clouds and a gust of wind. As an aside, what do we pay the morons at the NHC to do for most of the year?
Our summer (north GA) has been weird in some ways.
1. We were comfy til late June, so late heat.
2. We only received 1/4” of rain for all of June, which is REALLY rare.
3. First two weeks of July it rained every day and that was about 6” of rain. Then no rain til second week of August.
4. August temps have been normal.
5. Most everyone’s gardens had produced poorly for tomatoes, peas and cucumbers, but great for cherry/grape tomatoes and beans.
I thought you Okies got some rain last week. Depending on where you were, we got some in Texas.
I hope it’s much ado over nothing. I want to enjoy my trip to the Panhandle this year. Last year was a complete bust.
I’ve been viewing the models. Lately, the forecast consistently puts this major hurricane on a course to hit on or near the Texas/Mexico border, with the latest one I saw yesterday seeming to have it hit Brownsville, just like Allen in 1980.
The latest GFS (06Z 08/29) has the Gulf event sort of pizzling out in northern Mexico, rather than hitting the Gulf Coast there as a hurricane.
It has been deceptively paltry. Either TSTM or tenths or less. We had a shower two days ago but it hardly settled the dust.
40-60% probability. Yeah, September is approaching. Time to be afraid pussies.
Hurricanes feed on warm water and if there have been none for a while, there is a great source of it.
OpWhen a hurricane passes, it stirs up the water and sucks up some energy and so cools the water behind it some. That results in somewhat weaker hurricanes that follow.
So, yeah, if it’s been a quiet season, it is wise to be prepared because when one does hit, it’s more likely to be a big one.
Food aside, the fuel issues this year warrant being ready that way, too.
Honestly, even though we are not in the path of any natural disasters to speak of, except an occasional nor’easter, we always keep tabs on our gas and diesel supply and never let it get low. We just don’t have any normalacy bias.
But didn’t the prophecies of St. Algore promise us more hurricanes and tornadoes if we failed to repent from our carbon sins? I always joke that our local TV weather people will soon be adding the plagues of Egypt as part of their weather forecast ….tomorrow’s high will be 85 with 20% chance of flaming hail and locust swarms. The Mississippi River might turn to blood by as early as next week
We have been dry here in NH and summer did start early for us, too.
Last date of frost was before Mother’s Day and according to Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell, we should be in for a mild fall through October.
We have a pond that is way down in water level. We could use a little more rain.
I thought it was eternally moist and crisp up there. Gotta have some compensation for the winters?
We started hot and dry. We usually have a charmed season until the Fouth then cook but no such thing this year. The heat hit right after Memorial Day and stayed.
The Lord will bring the rain in His time. The longer I live, the more I realize that droughts serve a better purpose than times of plenty. They do away with the weak and the proud. It is just sad to see all of the grand old oaks dying but they had their day in the sun.
I’m really concerned that there haven’t been any major storms this year. This is obviously a harbinger of climate change catastrophe.
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Africa’s “Dust Cloud Machine” running at 100% efficiency has been a major contributor to any would-be storms eating dry dust and disappearing or not appearing. There was a break in the dust train that allowed what few storms we see now.
https://www.myfoxhurricane.com/saharan_dust_car.html
thx
But, is it Trump’s fault, or another Biden success?
Well, it is of course Trump’s fault.
Watch the vaunted NHC get surprised by the ‘unexpected’ tropical storm that forms off the coast of SC in the next 48 hours ... (check the RADAR)
Need to post the Oh-Noes gif but don’t know how.
Seeing the Oaks go is just one of the painful consequences. We lost Oaks that were huge back in the 50s when I was a kid. Lost none in ‘80 and I thought that was really a bad summer. Lost trees in ‘11 and ‘12 then again in ‘18 up on the hill when we had so much rain and wind, they blew over. Small tornado got some others. Some of those trees had stood probably since before 1900. There has been one of those outstanding climbing trees on the hill at the home place. Almost like a Live Oak but I call it a Water Oak with tiny leaves. Great spreading branches that will hold a porch swing 25 or more feet from the trunk without sagging. It was a great place to hang out, high up in the branches, when I was a troubled and restless teen.
I often wonder what this country was like when people settled and cleared it. How did they get rid of so many stumps let alone cutting and disposing of all the trees? There were no dozers of course. All hand work and teams of mules and horses. I just filled a big hole down front and I have no idea where it came from. Like a sinkhole but we just don’t have that. I wonder if it was a big tree stump hole or hog wallow. 30’ in diameter and about 6’ deep.
There are hillocks out in pastures all over this country. Some said they were mounds from Indian camps. They are just places where brush was pushed up, burned and rotted.
I see in the history column of the paper where the first bales of cotton were brought in this time 100 years ago.
“The first load of cotton from this season’s crop, marketed in the county was brought in Tuesday afternoon by Charlie Knight of Redland, and sold to McDonald and Matthews of this city for eight cents [a pound] in the seed.
The load weighed 1,500 pounds and with an added premium of “$66.75 donated to the grower by the businessmen of the city, brought Knight the sum of $181.75.
J.D. (Daddy) Grimes, of Sadie also in the river bottom, has been one of the first to market for many years but was two days late since his pickers quit him, just before he had completed picking the load oon account of the hot weather.”
Big doings for 1922. Stories just like this from all across the nation in our local histories. That was “only” 100 years ago, 70% of my lifetime, hard to believe. 30 years seems hardly worth the mention now.
I don’t know of any cotton grown anywhere in the county now. Out here where I live there were once two gins in the little town that isn’t either anymore.
So much for my musings, it got too hot outside for me to stack concrete blocks for the Fall raised bed garden. More when the sun arcs a little more to the west.
I just finished watching vidos of Pakistan’s horrible monsoon floods and destruction - reminded me of Japans Tsunami years ago. Apparently this tops all their other monsoon seasons.... Raging rivers of flood waters taking out everything. Lots of drownings and people stranded in the midst with others trying to reach them. Almost impossible odds. They’re actually asking for International help. It is realy bad over there.
That is happening now?
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