Posted on 06/11/2022 9:55:09 AM PDT by DoodleBob
The Naval Postgraduate School‘s Center for Homeland Defense and Security (CHDS), in conjunction with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), maintains a K-12 school shooting database project as part of their Advanced Thinking in Homeland Security program. They found the need for accurate, detailed information on this subject was paramount to campus safety.
The database documents every instance a gun is brandished, fired, or a bullet hits school property for any reason, regardless of the number of victims, time, day of the week, or reason. You can find the entire database here but we will highlight some of the important findings below.
As we continue through the pandemic and most schools have returned to in-person learning, it is important to note that experts have voiced significant concerns over the number of incidents of gun-related violence so far in 2022. Mental health concerns among young people have skyrocketed and many weapons have been confiscated from schools.
The school shooting data below includes stats from 1970 to 2021. Partial 2022 data can be found on the CHDS website.
The CHDS has compiled all of their K-12 school shooting statistics in graphs, tables and charts.
Here are some statistics specific to the shooters:
To gather detailed and accurate data, the CHDS had to come up with a definition of a school shooting to decide which incidents made it into the database. Their definition is any time “a gun is brandished, is fired, or a bullet hits school property for any reason, regardless of the number of victims (including zero), time, day of the week, or reason.”
Some criteria questions to consider when determining if an incident is actually a school shooting are:
The CHDS says choosing to include or exclude factors like these can directly affect the statistical narrative on school shootings. Through exclusion, fewer incidents will be reported. Partial or incomplete inclusion will increase the number of reported incidents.
After defining what a school shooting was, the CHDS followed a four-step process to populate the school shooting database.
An open-source analysis was conducted to determine all of the available data on school shootings. After reviewing the existing data, the information from each of the different databases was compiled into a single spreadsheet.
Newspaper archives were frequently used to find accurate information on school shootings, although some would only give the school name, shooter’s name, or victim’s name. Cross-referencing the information from multiple newspaper articles provided the most open-source information and best corroboration reasonably available.
To assist in identifying data and sorting information, a set of categories were established to provide context for the cause of the shooting. The top categories can be found in the chart below. The full interactive chart can be found here.
(Graphic Credit: CHDS)
The information in the database is open-source from online and print news. The validity of the information about each incident was quantified with a reliability score of one to five (five being the most reliable).
The goal is to have every incident in the database have a reliability score of five. Each of the school shootings in the database includes a date, school name, city, and state.
Beginning the process of addressing the potential threat of a shooter at your school can be overwhelming. Here are some resources to help.
Florida teachers are trained and have permits. Signs on school doors attest to that, at least in Bay County.
This comes down to risk-minimization vs elimination. In investing, you lower your risk of loss or volatility by spreading your eggs across several baskets. However, one risk you cannot diversity away is the "systematic risk" or the risk inherent in the system...call it market risk or whatever, the basic reality is some baseline level of risk will ALWAYS exist, and you can't avoid it.
The same applies to America, her freedoms, and insane acts of violence.
Laws that support, life, liberty, and property are right and proper. Many laws act as a deterrent and will stop people on the margin from doing bad things...this is akin to diversifying away the non-systematic risk. Thus laws criminizing murder, are right and proper.
However, gun control, specifically in this Thread with regard to school shootings, is targeted at the systematic risk. And what did we say about that risk, kids? Riiiiight....It is unavoidable..
In a nation like America where freedom reigns and the individual trumps the collective, dopey ideas like assault weapon bans, magazine capacity limits, monthly caps on gun purchases do not help. That's because the risk of a maniac going on a killing spree - especially in a school - is non-diversifiable. It is idiosyncratic.
The adults in the room understand on some baseline level, in a relatively free society of 330MM people, you'll always have a few pathological maniacs who will kill. Thus, random acts of violence like Uvalde,, are the systematic risk of a free society.
Sure, maybe some laws can help, like liberal application of the 2nd Amendment and concealed carry. The only way to eliminate the risk of 637 deaths over 50 years (using, as marktwain notes, an extremely broad definition) is to shred civil liberties, e.g., weld a GoPro to the heads of 330MM people with central monitoring in DC. AND EVEN THEN that wouldn't be perfect...after all people in jail still get drugs and weapons.
Psychos gonna psycho. THAT is the ugly truth that statists sidestep in these debates. Indeed, the BIG problem arises when pathological politicians propose legislation like gun control - aimed at the systematic risk, which by definition you can't evade/will always be there - that simply erodes the freedoms of law-abiding citizens.
Highest years of school shootings? After guns banned from/near schools...betcha.
Chicago.
And 62 million babies never got to be school students because they were aborted starting in 1973.
And 3,000 more every day.
Thus, random acts of violence like Uvalde,, are the systematic risk of a free society.
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Bull cheese. What do any of us know about a free society except perhaps we used to live in one. Many decades ago.
It is far more accurate to say that these random acts of violence, which are not so random, are the systematic risks of a sick and immoral society.
“...detailed information on this subject was paramount to campus safety.” Remember, this is brandon’s military, therefore his study and the conclusions his and his alone. Don’t expect anything that makes sense or that provides actual campus safety.
“515 victims were females and 1,729 were males.”
Isn’t this conclusion somewhat transphobic?
Okay, great. How many from the 73 other genders, or is the school suggesting something that most rational humans already know?
Assault handguns, dammit!
Another Reason to Homeschool
I want to see a graph showing the slide when virtue was the chief goal of education, to where it is now.
Then show the different layers of drug abuse, violent crime, divorce and welfare.
What if you had an 18 year old kid with mental health issues who said he wanted to kill you or wanted to kill his teacher?
IMHO, if you live in your parent's house (or basement), then your parents should get a vote.
So on average, 12 children died in school shootings each year.
For comparison, in the USA, 150-200 people die from peanut allergies. I don’t know the exact numbers of kids who die from this, but since peanut allergies are *primarily* a childhood affliction, probably the majority of those each year are kids. If we say half of the lower end of the range, that’s 75 kids a year.
So peanuts are 6x as dangerous to kids as school shooters are?
how many occurred in a school with armed teachers or staff...
i will wait.
FACT: 98% of mass-shootings occur in gun-free zones
SOURCE: https://www.dailywire.com/news/what-percentage-mass-shootings-happen-gun-free-amanda-prestigiacomo
Which cities? Analysis of shooters? Description of shooters?
In statistics, the expected value of anything is the product of the probability of that anything occurring and the value/gain/loss in the event of anything occurring. Take a coin toss game, with a gain of $10 if it comes up heads, $0 tails. The expected value of that game is 0.5*$10 or $5.
If we consider the expected societal reaction to X, we need the probability and...well...some quantification of reaction.
The expected societal reaction to youth anaphylactic fatalities arising from peanut exposure would 75 kids/total number of kids times that societal reaction. I'd think that the societal reaction from a child dying from exposure to peanuts is a big local news story and some follow up movement to elimainte peanuts from schools.
The expected societal reaction to a school shooting is 12 kids/total number of kids times 21 weeks of media saturation of children funerals, anti gun stories, amped up scapegoating of gun owners, and Dems and weak Republicans screaming for new useless laws.
37.1% = ‘Teens’ keepin it real
And Like I’ve said for over a decade, if “they” suddenly want everyone out of private car use, all they have to do is breathlessly report the traffic deaths of the day every day, with some sob stories from survivors, to really ramp up the emotional factor.
And that IS what they do with school shootings. And yes, they are bad, but they are not about guns. They are about people treating other people badly.
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