Posted on 05/27/2022 10:56:04 AM PDT by Yo-Yo
The 2022 midterm elections are now 165 days away, and Republicans have a six-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another seven percent (7%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Republicans have lost three points of their advantage since last week, when they led 48%-39%. The Generic Congressional Ballot is now the closest it’s been all year.
Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.
In May 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held a one-point advantage (43% to 42%) in the generic ballot question. As the November 2018 midterms neared, the margin was a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber.
The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on May 22-26, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
The Republican lead on the congressional ballot is due both to greater GOP partisan intensity and an 11-point advantage among independents. While 87% of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, only 81% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 42% would vote Republican and 31% would vote Democrat, while 12% would vote for some other candidate and 15% are undecided.
Fifty-four percent (54%) of whites, 22% of Black voters and 43% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Black voters, 37% of whites and 43% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (52%) now nine points more likely than women voters (43%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was seven points last week.
Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a margin of 53% to 37%, but 53% of voters ages 40-64 and 54% of those 65 and older would vote Republican if the election were held today.
Breaking down the electorate by income brackets, Republicans enjoy their largest advantage – 52% to 38% – among voters earning between $50,000 and $100,000 a year. Democrats lead among those with annual incomes over $100,000.
The Republican advantage is strongest among entrepreneurs and retirees, who favor the GOP by a 15-point margin.
Less than six months away from the congressional midterms, Republicans are more fired up than Democrats about voting this November.
Protecting the integrity of elections remains a high priority for American voters, most of whom still suspect there was cheating in the 2020 presidential election.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
But Potatus is gonna get 120,000,000 next time
In a fair election they would be toast.
They know how to steal them now, with the help of RInOs.
MAGA candidates will not be allowed to win. RINOs would rather see a Democrat win.
So with the PA governor's race, I fully expect there will be late mail-in votes and undated mail-in votes counted. The voting will simultaneously stop in the state at midnight, after which there will be late night ballot dumps in Pitts and Philly. And the RINO-legislature will allow it.
I will happily dance a jig if I am wrong.
Less than six months away from the congressional midterms, Republicans are more fired up than Democrats about voting this November.
Truth
Considering the GOP is usually behind in the generic, I’ll take six.
They are going to cheat anyway. Just wait, they will call the race neck in neck just a few weeks prior to make the cheat look valid. We always fall for it over and over.
meh
Plus, the good old GOP has mustered all of its circular firing squads to assist the communist bastards...
The only thing the people hate worse than Democrats is Republicans.
are people really thinking that we can "Vote" our way out of this?......we can't....the vote has been buried along with our national pride.
Assistant Democrats gonna Assist.
Don't know if you're following my 2020 state election spreadsheet posts - but the one I did for Michigan [haven't posted it yet] shows that the Pubbies Assisted in the Michigan 2020 Steal [and probably the Michigan 2018 Steal].
There are two Republican voting strongholds in Michigan [very unusual, as these things go], and there was an abnormally strong Biden "turnout" in both GOP strongholds.
Biden actually "won" the biggest GOP stronghold county - Kent.
It's impossible that the Kent County GOP leadership didn't know what was going on under their noses [Kent County spawned Justin Amash and Pete Meijer].
Good summary...
Have a 33-year-old grandson living in Coopersville...
The GOP is great at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
So once I break 6 figures, I’m more likely to vote communist? Not a chance.
Never believe polls.
Rasmussen has not been owned by Scott Rasmussen in years and has Joey Ice Cream’s approval number at 43!!!! A corrected for prober distribution by registration Civiqs poll has Joey at 30!
I know this gets the Surrender Monkey Caucus screeching and licking their lips but Rasmussen is now just another news outlet that has been perverted by the Democrat/communists.
THIS is pure bull shiite.
Even Reuters-Ipsos has Joey at 36%.
Someone might ask Rasmussen what was the movement in the generic poll. Was it the $5.00 gas, the 8% inflation or the open borders that made the electorate swoon and say “We want more of that?”
This is stupid - go away.
DEMOCRATS are LAWLESS because REPUBLICANS are BALLLESS!!!
you BETTER WAKE UP AND START BEING CONSERVATIVES AND DO NOT AGREE AND PLOT WITH DEMOCRATS!
REPUBLICANS MUST TALK ABOUT MENTAL HEALTH CARE!!!
what good has the GOP been? seriously.
When you can’t tell the difference between a Republican and a Democrat, there’s no reason to favor the Republican.
Stimulus.
Ukraine War/Sanctions. (mostly this)
Gun Control.
WTF did they expect? Are they stupid too?
Every person who votes Democrat in 2022 and 2024 is voting AGAINST America!
If you do not want an America ridden with chaos, crime, carage and corruption, you MUST VOTE REPUBLICAN!
Let me be even more direct: Democrats are EVIL!
A Democrat vote is a vote for Satan!
RINOs like being on the minority, the smaller their numbers the better. They get the trappings of office and the perks without doing anything.
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