Posted on 02/17/2022 6:17:46 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
Places with highest daily reported cases per capita
Seven-day average of daily new reported cases per 100,000 residents
Another good day in Colorado, hospitalizations are down 63% from the peak about 4 weeks ago.
Deaths never changed during the big wave of cases. They are right where they were before it hit, and during the peak.
Great news on the positivity rate which is down from about 27.5% to 5.06%.
That is the compelling truth.
You can find similar numbers from health ministries all over the world.
If you’re 5-17 years old and you get infected, your odds of death are X. A small number. That number is multiplied by 8700 if you’re 85+.
Every significant health ministry in the world will concur with this.
This is the same crap every single day. A couple thousand deaths with a few thousand new cases. Every day it’s like two random numbers. Nothing is interesting or unusual about it and it isn’t fun to talk about.
It’s not compelling at all. The death rate now is much lower than it was earlier. Those stats stretch across the entire time frame of the pandemic. They aren’t an accurate depiction of the current death rate.
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“Nothing is interesting or unusual about it and it isn’t fun to talk about.”
I would stay where the fun is if I were you. Why torture yourself?
If you’re 5-17 years old and you get infected, your odds of death are X. A small number. That number is multiplied by 8700 if you’re 85+.
________________________
Hahahahahaha
Oh no! 85 year olds can die? Who knew?
This is a TRAGEDY!
Their life cut short in the prime of their lives...
Hahahahahahahaha!
I just checked the chart as it currently exists on the CDC page.
The numbers were updated Jan 22, 2022. They show substantially lower numbers than the chart above. For example, the 85+ number is now 340X. Not 7800X.
But.
The Reference Group changed. No longer 5-17. It’s the next age cohort upwards. 18-29. So death odds for an 85+ infected person are 340X higher than 18-29. Huge change, and no idea why it was made.
The 18-29 cohort showed 10X in the chart above. So now it’s the reference group. If it were a pure 7800X / 10 it would be 780, not 340.
But.
Another tweak. The 5-17 cohort were too young for vax. 18-29 are often vaxed. That adjusts the reference group.
Odds are 85+ folks are still facing 7800X odds vs 5-17, updated to Jan, 2022.
Nationally, New Cases are down 7/8ths from the peak in mid-January, and new hospitalizations are down over half.
We are getting to what I consider an interesting point in the downward trend in new cases. Will it taper out into a longer tail (perhaps a bit deeper penetration into the population by BA.2), or will it continue downward, almost flickering out?
I am hoping to see it drop another tenfold from here, over the next month or two.
How long you gonna be suckers? It's getting pathetic.
85+ year-olds can die anything at any moment.
Using 5 year-olds to rate death risk for 85 yr olds is garbage.
8700 X 0 = 0
Oh they likely have enough samples. I’m sure there have been 18-29 yr olds who somehow inhaled a HUGE virus dose and didn’t have much of a chance.
But it’s rare. And the 85+ death is not rare. The ratio is the X number.
Every significant health ministry in the world will concur with this.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
“Significant”? You mean complicit in the crimes against humanity. Nuremberg 2.0 and you’re rooting for the evil ones.
“Will it taper out into a longer tail (perhaps a bit deeper penetration into the population by BA.2), or will it continue downward, almost flickering out?”
Every other wave in Colorado has tailed out like a bell curve as it ended. That’s what this one is doing. This wave was so steep coming down that cases would have hit zero about 10 days ago if the curve hadn’t started tailing out.
It’s completely unpredictable to me, the timing of variant appearance is unknown, and whether we will continue to catch this thing over and over is murky.
I studied statistics. The death rate of young children is too low to use extrapolate out to those older age groups It’s not enough of a sample.
It’s improper work, and if it’s accurate it’s by chance only.
That might very well be a factor in why they increased the Reference Group cohort to 18-29. Small sample sizes challenge all the Anova programs, of course.
18-29 is legitimately meaningful, if they have samples. But some will be vaxed.
Actually I meant significant, as opposed to insignificant.
Yes, their crimes against Humanity, and the following cover up, really make those organizations ‘significant’!
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