COVID vaccination and age-stratified all-cause mortality risk: Columbia University “Vaccine” Study Shows That VAERS Deaths are Underreported by a Factor of 20

Accurate estimates of COVID vaccine-induced severe adverse event and death rates are critical for risk-benefit ratio analyses of vaccination and boosters against SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in different age groups. However, existing surveillance studies are not designed to reliably estimate life-threatening event or vaccine-induced fatality rates (VFR).

Here, regional variation in vaccination rates was used to predict all-cause mortality and non-COVID deaths in subsequent time periods using two independent, publicly available datasets from the US and Europe (month-and week-level resolutions, respectively).

Vaccination correlated negatively with mortality 6-20 weeks post-injection, while vaccination predicted all-cause mortality 0-5 weeks post-injection in almost all age groups and with an age-related temporal pattern consistent with the US vaccine rollout.

Results from fitted regression slopes (p<0.05 FDR corrected) suggest a US national average VFR of 0.04% and higher VFR with age (VFR=0.004% in ages 0-17 increasing to 0.06% in ages >75 years), and 146K to 187K vaccine-associated US deaths between February and August, 2021.

Notably, adult vaccination increased ulterior mortality of unvaccinated young (<18, US; <15, Europe). Comparing our estimate with the CDC-reported VFR (0.002%) suggests VAERS deaths are underreported by a factor of 20 , consistent with known VAERS under-ascertainment bias.

Comparing our age-stratified VFRs with published age-stratified coronavirus infection fatality rates (IFR) suggests the risks of COVID vaccines and boosters outweigh the benefits in children, young adults and older adults with low occupational risk or previous coronavirus exposure.

We discuss implications for public health policies related to boosters, school and workplace mandates, and the urgent need to identify, develop and disseminate diagnostics and treatments for life-altering vaccine injuries.

Graphical representation of Table 1 European data results. Adverse effects in yellow, above horizontal line, protective effects in blue, below horizontal line. Results of correlation analyses for all age classes and all combinations of weeks, with mortality occurring the same week or after the injection week are plotted. In a) the percent positive correlations between vaccination rates and mortality is plotted against time since 1st injection for 6 age groups (A - 0-14 years, B 15-14 years, C 45-64 years, D 65-74 years, E 75-84 years, and F 85+ years). Percentages >50% are shaded yellow, <50% shaded blue. Asterisk indicates p<0.05 corrected for the sign test (see methods). Pearson correlation coefficients r from these analyses are in Supplementary Table 3. In b) % positive correlations (left column) and numbers of negative and positive r with p<0.05 uncorrected (middle and right columns).

Example correlation plot from the European dataset. Z-score of weekly mortality for ages 15-44 in 23 countries on week 14 of 2021 as a function of increase in percent vaccinated in these countries, during week 11 of 2021. For this analysis, the time lag in weeks between injection and mortality is 14-11=3 weeks. The association indicates adverse injection effects during the first weeks after injection.

Thank you for the ping.

Attorney Renz says he's obtained proof there were 50K unreported post-vaccine deaths in the Medicare system (CMS database).

Also, Steve Kirsch invites any and all to debate him and his team regarding the 150,000 deaths post vax they beleive they can prove.

Sadly, these numbers are low compared with Market Ticker - Karl Denninger. He's tracking 1 or 2 million (I forget) people mysteriously missing from the demographs.

I don't know what combination of elements will fit together to render the accurate picture - I only know that it will be far more than they have admitted have died.

1200 people died during the Pfizer trial and we're just now hearing about it. Prayers up - may this nightmare be exposed completely.

— “The problem for these guys is VAERS deaths don’t represent deaths caused by the vaccine.”

VAERS is the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System.

Vaccine Adverse Event. Not just any old death, but a report into the VACCINE reporting system. So deaths reported to the VACCINE reporting system must not be about vaccines?

So of course, your assertion is an assertion.

So deaths reported to the VACCINE reporting system must not be about vaccines?

They must be following a vaccination but not necessarily related to that vaccination. Haven't you done a minute's research on this?

Healthcare providers are required to report any adverse event (AE) that occurs following a vaccination. Even if they know it isn't related to the vaccine

"The reporting requirements for COVID-19 vaccines are the same for those authorized under emergency use or fully approved. Healthcare providers who administer COVID-19 vaccines are required by law to report to VAERS the following after vaccination:
Serious AEs regardless of causality. Serious AEs per FDA are defined as:
Death
A life-threatening AE
Inpatient hospitalization or prolongation of existing hospitalization
A persistent or significant incapacity or substantial disruption of the ability to conduct normal life functions
A congenital anomaly/birth defect
An important medical event that based on appropriate medical judgement may jeopardize the individual and may require medical or surgical intervention to prevent one of the outcomes listed above"

When the CDC explains VAERS they say:

"If a health problem is reported to VAERS, that doesn’t mean that the vaccine caused the problem. It warns vaccine safety experts of potential problems that they may need to assess, and it alerts them to take further action, as needed."

As I mentioned above, healthcare workers are required to report any event, regardless of cause. In addition individuals can report any event they experience, again regardless of cause.

"VAERS collects reports of possible adverse events that happen after vaccination. Anyone can submit a report to VAERS, including patients, parents or caregivers, healthcare providers, and vaccine manufacturers.
Under Emergency Use Authorization, FDA requires healthcare professionals to report to VAERS certain adverse eventsexternal icon that occur after COVID-19 vaccination. CDC also encourages reporting of any medically important adverse event even if it isn’t clear if the vaccine caused the health problem. This helps public health officials monitor and follow-up on possible safety problems. Learn more about selected adverse events reported to VAERS."

It doesn't stop there. When serious AEs, including death, are reported it prompts a follow-up analysis by the CDC. So far they've identified exactly six deaths that can blamed on the vaccine - all due to J&J.

"Reports of death after COVID-19 vaccination are rare. More than 459 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through November 29, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 10,128 reports of death (0.0022%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine. FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS, even if it’s unclear whether the vaccine was the cause. Reports of adverse events to VAERS following vaccination, including deaths, do not necessarily mean that a vaccine caused a health problem. CDC clinicians review reports of death to VAERS including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records. A review of reports indicates a causal relationship between the J&J/Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine and TTS, a rare and serious adverse event—that causes blood clots with low platelets—which has caused or directly contributed to six confirmed deaths"

So of course, your assertion is an assertion.

You can call that my assertion or you can look at the definitive CDC (who created and administers VAERS) information I posted.

Again, you can say the CDC is incompetent, evil, lying, whatever. Even so I can't see how you can deny what the VAERS database is.

To place your avid trust in the CDC...

Trust is relative.

I trust that the CDC is operating in good faith here because the alternative means there's a gigantic conspiracy of CDC and healthcare workers.

On the other hand I don't trust people who in bad faith misrepresent VAERS data for clicks.

So given those two choices I trust the CDC more.

Do you accept that the last presidential election’s vote tallies were trustworthy?

Nice try.

Now a question for you that's actually on topic. Do you accept that VAERS includes deaths not caused by the vaccines?

— Do you accept that the last presidential election's vote tallies were trustworthy? Nice try.

One notes that you cleverly did not answer my question. I'll repeat: Do you accept that the last presidential election's vote tallies were trustworthy?

Since trust is the topic, I hope to gauge your trust in government. So far you hope to steer clear of that gauging.

— “Now a question for you that's actually on topic. Do you accept that VAERS includes deaths not caused by the vaccines?”

Yes. One reads: “The reports may contain information that is incomplete, inaccurate, coincidental or unverifiable.” The system contains errors. Your assertion found recently that “six” are verified is still an assertion, because your “trust” — a relative thing you say — is placed in the CDC. What it says seems to go for you. But then, given the CDC’s statement that information might be “incomplete., inaccurate, coincidental or unverifiable: suggests the CDC’s operation of the VAERS system itself should be questioned.

Nonetheless, in a work in progress which is what the collection of data is, and with testimony made in a variety of other sources as to deaths following mRNA inoculations, the VAERS system, itself operated by the CDC, is not a fool-proof system.

Will you then please answer the "framing" question about your relative trust in government? It would serve to measure how relative your turts in government is.

Do you accept that the last presidential election's vote tallies were trustworthy?

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ABSTRACT ANDFIGURES

Latest VAERS estimate: 388,000 Americans killed by the COVID vaccines

An independent derivation of the VAERS URF using the CMS death data leads to a URF of 44.64 which then leads to a 388K excess death estimate.