Posted on 09/16/2021 6:32:43 AM PDT by zek157
India's Ivermectin Blackout - Part III: The Lesson of Kerala
The New York Times reported India’s colossal drop in COVID cases was unexplainable, while the BBC declared that Kerala’s rise was also a mystery. While new cases of COVID in Uttar Pradesh are rare as million-dollar lottery tickets, in Kerala, a tiny state located in southern India, new daily cases are the same as the United States, nearly one case per thousand. Yet, as we have seen in this series, there has been a curious media blackout on India’s overall success against COVID.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-58054124
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/30/briefing/coronavirus-delta-mysteries.html
"Kerala has been reporting over 22,000 new COVID infections in the last three days. No other state in India is even close to the 10,000 mark. The COVID conundrum in the southern state has led to several questions, with no certain answers."
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/this-may-explain-why-covid-cases-are-still-soaring-in-kerala/articleshow/84862049.cms
The Times of India published this statement on July 29. Kerala has continued to have the majority of new daily cases and almost 25% of India's daily deaths despite a population of 34 million, less than 3% of India's total population.
On August 15, Kerala accounted for 18,582 of India's 32,937 new cases and 102 of India's 417 new deaths. By contrast, the Ivermectin-using state of Delhi, with nearly the same population size, recorded only 53 new cases and ZERO deaths. In comparison, Uttar Pradesh, with almost eight times as many inhabitants, had only 30 new cases and ONE death.
Kerala had 619 times as many new cases as Uttar Pradesh and over 100 times as many deaths.
So what could Kerala be doing wrong?
Hint: Over-reliance on vaccines and under-reliance on Ivermectin.
Uttar Pradesh led India in its use and has done even better than Delhi because they use Ivermectin early and preventatively.
"Uttar Pradesh was the first state in the country to introduce large-scale prophylactic and therapeutic use of Ivermectin. In May-June 2020, a team at Agra led by Dr. Anshul Pareek, administered Ivermectin to all RRT team members in the district on an experimental basis. It was observed that NONE OF THEM developed COVID-19 despite being in daily contact with patients who had tested positive for the virus," Uttar Pradesh State Surveillance Officer Vikssendu Agrawal said.
https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/uttar-pradesh-government-says-ivermectin-helped-to-keep-deaths-low-7311786/
Uttar Pradesh has a policy of treating ALL the contacts of an infected patient prophylactically with Ivermectin. In other words, in Uttar Pradesh, everyone in the house gets Ivermectin treatment even if only one is infected. Ivermectin is known to reduce mortality in infected and dramatically lowers the viral load, thereby helping reduce the spread of the virus to others.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.31.21258081v1.full
Dr. Tess Lawrie discussed the Ivermectin-related reduction in viral load and reduced transmissibility.
https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/36858/pdf/
https://journals.lww.com/americantherapeutics/fulltext/2021/08000/ivermectin_for_prevention_and_treatment_of.7.aspx
Tamil Nadu rejected India's Ivermectin protocol on May 14 in favor of Remdesivir and mirrored our U.S. FDA policy. The U.S. also reflected Tamil Nadu’s dismal results.
https://www.thedesertreview.com/opinion/letters_to_editor/tamil-nadu-leads-india-in-new-infections-denies-citizens-ivermectin/article_32634012-ba66-11eb-9211-ab378d521f9a.html
To be clear, on April 22, the All India Institute of Medical Science (AIIMS) and the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) added Ivermectin to the protocol as an option for the early treatment – even in mild cases – of COVID-19.
https://www.indiatoday.in/coronavirus-outbreak/story/aiims-new-treatment-guidelines-for-covid19-1794038-2021-04-22
https://www.amazon.com/Ivermectin-World-Justus-R-Hope/dp/1737415909
This guideline was updated May 17, 2021, and continues to incorporate Ivermectin, although some states like Tamil Nadu and Kerala have chosen NOT to adopt this Ivermectin protocol – much to their detriment.
https://covid.aiims.edu/clinical-guidance-for-management-of-adult-covid-19-patients/
Despite a widespread attempt by the media and WHO to convince the world that India has dropped Ivermectin by citing the DGHS, the ICMR and AIIMS have not changed their position, and Ivermectin remains in the India National Protocol.
https://m.economictimes.com/industry/healthcare/biotech/pharmaceuticals/hcq-out-of-dghs-covid-care-list-but-still-present-in-icmr-protocol/articleshow/83321687.cms
While Kerala included Ivermectin in their state’s guideline in April, they restricted it’s use to only in Class B - severe cases or those with associated disease, making its use much less than if mild cases were allowed. This meant it was reserved as a late treatment if used at all.
https://health.kerala.gov.in/pdf/treatment_guidelines_apr_2021.pdf
Finally, Kerala abandoned Ivermectin use altogether on August 5, 2021.
https://health.kerala.gov.in/pdf/Kerala_state_Covid_19_Treatment_guidelines_V4_August_5.pdf
Juan Chamie, the Cambridge-based data analyst who has provided graphical insight and published on COVID, provided his answer to why Kerala's COVID cases have spun out of control.
"My main current explanation is the lack of early treatment. Kerala’s COVID protocol from April 2021 included Ivermectin, but not as an early treatment. As a result, only a small group qualified, those in Category B patients having high-risk factors. The new protocol from August 5 is even worse. They removed Ivermectin (completely)."
Another factor, according to Juan, was poor contact tracing. In addition, according to an Indian Governmental Audit, FAMILY TRANSMISSION was a significant problem.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/central-team-pinpoints-flaws-in-states-covid-protocol/article35860715.ece
The Hindu reported on August 11, 2021, stated, "In districts such as Malappuram and Kozhikode, where the family size is huge and joint families are the norm, the transmission was spreading within families leading to a high test positivity rate."
Juan Chamie added this about the test positivity rate, “If you look at the test positivity rate of Kerala, it declined from over 25% to 10% and remained stable around it. Since the last protocol change that removed Ivermectin, the positivity rate is increasing. In less than two weeks, the positivity rate jumped and right now is above 15%, the highest in the last two months.”
However, the most problematic feature is Kerala's high vaccination rate compared to the other Indian States. While vaccination should be a good thing, it can have severe negative consequences when it leads to rampant viral transmission.
Uttar Pradesh beats all other states (except Bihar) with the lowest COVID deaths and infections because of early and preventative Ivermectin use IN ALL FAMILY CONTACTS. This is despite Uttar Pradesh having only a 4.9% vaccination rate, one of the five lowest of all states in India. On the other hand, Kerala ranks in the top five most vaccinated states. Kerala has vaccinated 70% citizens 45 years and older, and almost 56% of its population has had at least one shot.
The problem with that is that vaccination may give a state a false sense of security.
For example, in an article published on August 13, the details of the Kerala lockdown were discussed. Those with a PCR negative test, those with prior resolved COVID infection, and those WITH AT LEAST ONE VACCINATION were exempted.
https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/kerala-covid-19-lockdown-rules-guidelines-explained-7439694/
As of August 13, 56 percent of Kerala adults over age 18 who had received at least one shot were allowed to mingle and transmit the virus freely. While Ivermectin lowers the viral load and inhibits transmission, the same cannot be said for vaccination.
Viral loads of the vaccinated are just as high as those of the unvaccinated as the CDC has admitted. This means that a vaccinated infected person can spread the virus just as quickly as an unvaccinated. Moreover, the viral load of the Delta infection is often on the order of 1,000 times greater than in the original strain. Finally, a vaccinated person may have milder or no symptoms leading them to take fewer precautions.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/07/30/1022867219/cdc-study-provincetown-delta-vaccinated-breakthrough-mask-guidance
Many people believe that breakthrough infections in the vaccinated are a rare occurrence. However, the truth of the matter is the opposite. Breakthrough infections can occur with even GREATER FREQUENCY in the vaccinated. For example, in the recent Massachusetts outbreak, the CDC reported that out of 469 cases, fully 74% occurred in the vaccinated.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7031e2.htm
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/cdc-study-shows-74percent-of-people-infected-in-massachusetts-covid-outbreak-were-fully-vaccinated.html
Finally, the top five states surging in the United States with record COVID infections currently contain two states in the most vaccinated third: Oregon and Hawaii.
The situation in Oregon is severe enough to call the National Guard, while Hawaii's health director is using terms like disaster and crisis.
"When we see this exponential growth in the amount of people that are getting infected with COVID-19 every day - 2,000 people in the last three days – that’s a crisis. And at the point at which we overwhelm our resources, that's a disaster."
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/16/we-are-on-fire-five-us-states-set-new-records-for-covid-cases-as-hospitalizations-rise-.html
As of August 16, 2021, Hawaii ranked number 17 in percent fully vaccinated at 54.29%. Oregon ranked number 12 with 56.79%.
https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/states-ranked-by-percentage-of-population-vaccinated-march-15.html
And the Indian state of Kerala ranks in the top five most vaccinated of India's 29 states. However, if a vaccinated person spreads the virus while someone on Ivermectin does not, that would explain Kerala's epic failure.
The lesson?
Ivermectin can make up for the low use of vaccination. However, vaccination cannot make up for the low use of Ivermectin
https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lucknow-news/33-districts-in-uttar-pradesh-are-now-covid-free-state-govt-101631267966925.html
There are no active cases of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) in 33 districts of Uttar Pradesh, the state government informed on Friday. About 67 districts have not reported a single new case of the viral infection in the last 24 hours, the government said, noting the steady improvement of the Covid-19 situation in the state.
The 33 Covid free districts include Aligarh, Amroha, Ayodhya, Baghpat, Ballia, Balrampur, Banda, Basti, Bahraich, Bijnor, Bhadohi, Chitrakoot, Chandauli, Etah, Deoria, Fatehpur, Ghazipur, Gonda, Hamirpur, Hapur, Hardoi, Hathras, Kasganj, Lalitpur and Mahoba. The list also includes Moradabad, Muzaffarnagar, Pilibhit, Rampur, Saharanpur, Shamli, Siddharth Nagar, and Sonbhadra, according to the state government data. Overall, the state has a total of 199 active cases, while the positivity rate came down to less than 0.01 per cent. The recovery rate, meanwhile, has improved to 98.7 per cent. As per the state's health bulletin, Uttar Pradesh reported only 11 new Covid-19 cases and zero deaths in the last 24 hours. The fresh cases came out of 2.26 lakh samples that were tested in the last 24 hours. As of Friday, the state government has conducted 7.42 crore tests, according to the data published by Uttar Pradesh's health department.
After using Ivermectin for months and the drop in Covid infections is unexplainable. How stupid are health officials?
Last night, I accidentally left the television going into the first part of the Samantha Bee Show. She literally said “horse paste” which is a sure sign of mental illness. Anyone who says “horse paste” or “horse de-wormer” without irony, reveals himself to be a complete idiot and/or shill.
Ivermectin might be a really good treatment or preventative; it is not “horse paste.” I have a not-very-nice suggestion for people pushing that line as to what they can do to themselves. Starts with a “K”. CNN, please K__.
THIS!!!
This is why I do not share your opinion of gas_dr.
I do not believe you will find in his posting history, or in response to the facts of this article, any support at all for Ivermectin, even though it has been proven to be a SAFE, totally effective Phropylactic solution to COVID-19.
As such, he can be as smooth and as “nice” in his conversations with you and others, but so can people who are pushing something they know is wrong.
gas_dr is one such example of that type of person.
Beware the person whose speech is as smooth as silk, but the poison they spread causes death.
The other set of facts that gas_dr purposefully ignores are the extremely high # of deaths and injuries that these so-called vaccines cause.
At this point it’s not about being stupid.
This is evil. Approving vaccination of +12 yo children is evil, when their CFR is .003 is absolute evil. Working to gain approval for vaccinating +6 month old infants is evil. Forcing nurses, military, university students is evil.
Ivermectin is too cheap to be effective. /s
Stupid?
How EVIL are health officials?
Ping
Later.
Why would someone mock a drug saving lives? There needs to to be an army of lawyers suing these people for malicious death propagated by wrongful information.
Yep, this is a problem.
The left-wing loons are trying to eliminate people on a world-wide scale.
I think there is a word for this bad act...
When people say,”Horse paste,” Ireply, “Really? Do you eat carrots?” And watch them sputter.
post:
“The New York Times reported India’s colossal drop in COVID cases was unexplainable, while the BBC declared that Kerala’s rise was also a mystery. While new cases of COVID in Uttar Pradesh are rare as million-dollar lottery tickets, in Kerala, a tiny state located in southern India, new daily cases are the same as the United States, nearly one case per thousand.”
India Today reported on July 28th:
“The latest national sero-survey found that after Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Bihar, Gujarat reported the highest seropositivity at 75.3 per cent, followed by Chhattisgarh with 74.6 per cent, Uttarakhand with 73.1 per cent, Uttar Pradesh with 71 per cent and Andhra Pradesh with 70.2 per cent.
“Kerala reported the lowest seropositivity at 44.4 per cent. Other states where seroprevalence was low include Assam (50.3 per cent), Maharashtra (58 per cent) and Haryana (60.1 per cent).”
“Seropositivity signifies the presence of antibodies in the blood serum.”
Covid is now working its way through Kerala. Most of the rest of India got natural immunity or vaccination immunity.
Hospitals have PREP Act immunity when they use the standard Remdesivir Dexamethasone, oxygen and ventilator treatment. Effectiveness is irrelevant as “ lability protections are in effect only for Covered Countermeasures”. Ivermectin is not an approved countermeasure, no no your loved one will not receive it.
Read it for yourself and ponder why? This started under Trump too.
https://www.phe.gov/Preparedness/legal/prepact/Pages/4-PREP-Act.aspx
Section VII. Limitations on Distribution
The Secretary may specify that liability protections are in effect only for Covered Countermeasures obtained through a particular means of distribution. The Declaration previously stated that liability immunity is afforded to Covered Persons only for Recommended Activities related to (a) present or future federal contracts, cooperative agreements, grants, other transactions, interagency agreements, or memoranda of understanding or other federal agreements; or (b) activities authorized in accordance with the public health and medical response of the Authority Having Jurisdiction to prescribe, administer, deliver, distribute, or dispense the Covered Countermeasures following a declaration of an emergency.
COVID-19 is an unprecedented global challenge that requires a whole-of-nation response that utilizes federal-, state-, and local- distribution channels as well as private-distribution channels. Given the broad scale of this pandemic, the Secretary amends the Declaration to extend PREP Act coverage to additional private-distribution channels, as set forth below.
The amended Section VII adds that PREP Act liability protections also extend to Covered Persons for Recommended Activities that are related to any Covered Countermeasure that is:
licensed, approved, cleared, or authorized by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) (or that is permitted to be used under an Investigational New Drug Application or an Investigational Device Exemption) under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic (FD&C) Act or Public Health Service (PHS) Act to treat, diagnose, cure, prevent, mitigate or limit the harm from COVID–19, or the transmission of SARS–CoV–2 or a virus mutating therefrom; or
a respiratory protective device approved by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) under 42 CFR part 84, or any successor regulations, that the Secretary determines to be a priority for use during a public health emergency declared under section 319 of the PHS Act to prevent, mitigate, or limit the harm from, COVID–19, or the transmission of SARS–CoV–2 or a virus mutating therefrom.
The vaccine deaths are reported through a system that point blank says you cannot use the data set to draw conclusions as the reports are invalidated.
Prophylaxis has not been proven by a mile. If it were I assure you all of us physicians would be on it. You cherry pick data and are like the liberals who say science is settled to quell debate
I have said ivermectin is weakly useful if at all. This is what the data show.
You simply choose to ignore that which you disagree
“Working to gain approval for vaccinating +6 month old infants is evil.”
These infants quite probably lack coronavirus exposure and immunity that older children typically have.
Parents of children born after 2018 should strongly consider getting vaccinated against Covid if not already vaccinated against it.
“Approving vaccination of +12 yo children is evil, when their CFR is .003 is absolute evil.”
Parents of these children should have a choice.
I would prefer the vaccines be exported to more needy groups but the Pfizer vaccine has such tough storage requirements that its use in US teenagers is not likely to deprive elderly Third World populations of Covid protection.
You misspelled evil.
“Earlier reports suggested that it had antiviral activity in both RNA and DNA viruses. This was followed by another study examining its pharmacokinetics, which concluded that even at tenfold the approved human dosage, the compound could not inhibit SARS-CoV-2 in [calf] lung tissue.”
“Pharmacokinetic considerations on the repurposing of ivermectin for treatment of COVID‐19”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7404744/
“Potential avenues for further investigation into repurposing ivermectin for SARS‐CoV‐2 may be to...develop an inhaled formulation to efficiently deliver a high local concentration in the lung, whilst minimizing systemic exposure.”
Seek professional care if sick.
Get vaccinated against Covid if possible.
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