post:
“The New York Times reported India’s colossal drop in COVID cases was unexplainable, while the BBC declared that Kerala’s rise was also a mystery. While new cases of COVID in Uttar Pradesh are rare as million-dollar lottery tickets, in Kerala, a tiny state located in southern India, new daily cases are the same as the United States, nearly one case per thousand.”
India Today reported on July 28th:
“The latest national sero-survey found that after Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Bihar, Gujarat reported the highest seropositivity at 75.3 per cent, followed by Chhattisgarh with 74.6 per cent, Uttarakhand with 73.1 per cent, Uttar Pradesh with 71 per cent and Andhra Pradesh with 70.2 per cent.
“Kerala reported the lowest seropositivity at 44.4 per cent. Other states where seroprevalence was low include Assam (50.3 per cent), Maharashtra (58 per cent) and Haryana (60.1 per cent).”
“Seropositivity signifies the presence of antibodies in the blood serum.”
Covid is now working its way through Kerala. Most of the rest of India got natural immunity or vaccination immunity.
Doesn’t sound like vaccines have much to do with India’s success.
COVID-19 vaccination: At current rate, India will take 10.8 years to vaccinate 70% population
India administered 1,87,55,540 first doses of the vaccine in the first 17 days of March. At this rate, it will take 2.36 years for India to vaccinate 70 per cent of its population with the initial dose of the two-dose regime vaccination programme.
India, the second most populous country in the world, has administered the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine to 3.06 crore people till March 18, 2021. However, this figure represents only 2.3 per cent of India’s 135.5 crore population. Full vaccination (both doses) has been given to only 0.5 per cent of the total population. At this rate, India will take 10.8 years to administer both doses to 70 per cent of its population to attain herd immunity.
As per the vaccination data of Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW), India administered 1,87,55,540 first doses of the vaccine in the first 17 days of March (from 7am on March 1 to 7am on March 18). This translates to an average of 11,03,267.1 first doses per day. At this rate, it will take 2.36 years for India to vaccinate 70 per cent of its population and 3.4 years to vaccinate the entire population with the initial dose of the two-dose regime vaccination programme.
However, the vaccination time period is even higher if data for administering second dose is considered. A total of 40,86,218 second doses were administered in the first 17 days of the month, an average of 2,40,365.8 doses per day. At this rate, it will take 10.8 years to vaccinate 70 per cent of India’s population and 15.4 years to cover the entire population.