Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

COVID-19 crisis: Have we overestimated the threat?
nationalheraldindia.com ^ | 17 Apr 2020, 9:00 AM | Bharat Dogra

Posted on 04/23/2021 9:09:35 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The virus is a dreadful enemy and by all accounts most countries were unprepared to deal with it.

But as we...learn to deal with the virus, curiously several scientists have begun pointing out that estimates of COVID-19 deaths in countries such as the USA and Italy are possible ‘overestimates’.

Nina Schwalbe, Principal Visiting Fellow at the United Nations University’s International Institute for Global Health... argued that while calculating fatality percentage or rate, the denominator in the form of number of infections is underestimated, hence the fatality rate appears to be much higher than what it actually is.

What is more, Schwalbe writes, even when we are testing, depending on the type of test used, we may only be counting people who are actively infected, not those who had it earlier and are currently immune.

“By not counting the people who don’t need hospital care, we are massively over projecting the per cent of infected people who die of COVID-19. It is a dangerous message that is causing fear—all driven by a false denominator.”

Another reason why the fatality rate is getting exaggerated is that the number of deaths related to COVID-19 are being overestimated. While the denominator is underestimated, the numerator is overestimated in several official estimates.

Dr. Jason Oke of Oxford University... and Dr. Carl Heneghan say, “Dying with the disease ( association) is not the same as dying from the disease ( causation).” (CEBM Research Evidence Service).

Failure to make this distinction may be responsible for a lot of confusion and overestimates, as is also evident from the writings and video recordings of scientists like Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi (Head of the Institute for Medical Microbiology and Hygiene) and Dr. John Loannidis (Professor of Medicine and Professor of Epidemiology and Population Health at Stanford University School for Medicine).

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalheraldindia.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: chinavirus; covid; covid19; scamdemic; shamdemic
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-30 next last

1 posted on 04/23/2021 9:09:35 AM PDT by BenLurkin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Does the pope wear a funny hat?


2 posted on 04/23/2021 9:13:44 AM PDT by cuban leaf (We killed our economy and damaged our culture. In 2021 we will pine for the salad days of 2020.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahaha*gasp*hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha...


3 posted on 04/23/2021 9:16:19 AM PDT by Little Ray (Corporations don't pay taxes. They collect them.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Don’t know about that, but we underestimated the promise of the DS to not let any crisis go to waste....


4 posted on 04/23/2021 9:17:48 AM PDT by matthew fuller (Reserved)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin
2021-04-23-7-18-53

Spot the odd man out.

5 posted on 04/23/2021 9:19:37 AM PDT by PGR88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PGR88

“One of these things is not like the others...one of these things just doesn’t belong....”


6 posted on 04/23/2021 9:20:16 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

The threat from the virus, or the threat from the government’s management of the virus?


7 posted on 04/23/2021 9:20:31 AM PDT by gundog (It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PGR88

Is that real?


8 posted on 04/23/2021 9:21:28 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Let’s see what the Indian triple mutant virus does.


9 posted on 04/23/2021 9:21:54 AM PDT by setter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1385572138485231617/photo/1


10 posted on 04/23/2021 9:26:12 AM PDT by PGR88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Uhm... yep. I think so.

I’ve been sitting here the last few weeks wondering how, after 14+ months with this “highly contagious” China virus running “rampant,” only 7.5% of my state’s population have been afflicted. Granted, the actual case number is likely higher — which makes it even far less lethal if true — but I’m using the state’s tracking numbers.


11 posted on 04/23/2021 9:29:05 AM PDT by AnglePark
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Well.Yeah.Duhh.


12 posted on 04/23/2021 9:43:40 AM PDT by Kevmo (The tree of liberty is thirsty.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Duh.


13 posted on 04/23/2021 9:45:32 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Lift the rim. You’re not that good a shot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AnglePark
I’ve been sitting here the last few weeks wondering how, after 14+ months with this “highly contagious” China virus running “rampant,” only 7.5% of my state’s population have been afflicted.

Did your state mandate masks and social distancing? Were certain venues, such as restaurants, shut down or restricted as to numbers of occupants?

Those measures to inhibit spread of virus actually work. They are why, even though it is very contagious, the number of affected people has been kept down.

14 posted on 04/23/2021 9:57:14 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: exDemMom

If so, why do states that didn’t lock down or locked down very little have lower infection rates than some that did?


15 posted on 04/23/2021 9:59:53 AM PDT by Persevero (I am afraid propriety has been set at naught. - Jane Austen )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

never trust a government that opens its border and distributes thousands of disease carrying invaders across its country during a so called global pandemic...


16 posted on 04/23/2021 10:06:17 AM PDT by heavy metal (smiling improves your face value as well as making people wonder what the hell you're up to... 😁)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: exDemMom

Explain Florida and Texas.


17 posted on 04/23/2021 10:08:51 AM PDT by TarasBulbous
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin
Even the inventors of the covid said that the pandemic would be a coronavirus like a bad flu.

Check out "Event 201" where they did a run-thru exercise 5 months before the "outbreak." They expected the media to ramp it up into something akin to ebola, which of course the media happily complied.

It is a dang cold virus, that is what a coronavirus is.

We have been given over a year of FEAR PORN, and many people are addicted.

18 posted on 04/23/2021 10:27:22 AM PDT by Slyfox
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Three letters..C..B..R ! Chemical, biological radialogical (sp)warfare. Deliberate.


19 posted on 04/23/2021 10:28:07 AM PDT by Don Corleone (leave the gun, take the canolis)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gundog

I’m presuming that is a rhetorical question.


20 posted on 04/23/2021 10:29:39 AM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-30 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson