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A Sensible and Compassionate Anti-COVID Strategy
Mirage News ^ | November 4, 2020 5:24 pm AEDT | Jay Bhattacharya

Posted on 11/08/2020 8:12:06 AM PST by Robert DeLong

The COVID-19 Fatality Rate

In discussing the deadliness of COVID, we need to distinguish COVID cases from COVID infections. A lot of fear and confusion has resulted from failing to understand the difference.

We have heard much this year about the “case fatality rate” of COVID. In early March, the case fatality rate in the U.S. was roughly three percent—nearly three out of every hundred people who were identified as “cases” of COVID in early March died from it. Compare that to today, when the fatality rate of COVID is known to be less than one half of one percent.

In other words, when the World Health Organization said back in early March that three percent of people who get COVID die from it, they were wrong by at least one order of magnitude. The COVID fatality rate is much closer to 0.2 or 0.3 percent. The reason for the highly inaccurate early estimates is simple: in early March, we were not identifying most of the people who had been infected by COVID.

“Case fatality rate” is computed by dividing the number of deaths by the total number of confirmed cases. But to obtain an accurate COVID fatality rate, the number in the denominator should be the number of people who have been infected—the number of people who have actually had the disease—rather than the number of confirmed cases.

(Excerpt) Read more at miragenews.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: covid19; virus; wuhan
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To: Right Brother

Please stop with the personal insults.

Everything I’ve posted is 100% true. Including knowing a 17 year old athlete and a mid 30s nurse with no “co-morbidities” currently in the hospital. And a guy in my sub that’s had issues “recovering” since he had it in March. And one my very best friends and his whole family now having it. All that is fact.

I know many of you continuing to insist on denying how serious of an issue this is, so instead of accepting that, you continue to attack every single report of how serious it indeed is.

And, BTW, have you noticed it hasn’t “gone away” after the election as so many of you insisted it would? Hmmmm.

Assuming Biden does “win” (which he never will, but let’s go with that) after all the litigation is done, the only silver lining is that we’ll finally by all accounts have someone who wants to treat this damned thing seriously. (Yeah, I know you guys don’t believe that either. On that, we’ll agree to disagree so please don’t bother..).


21 posted on 11/08/2020 9:57:33 AM PST by jstolzen
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To: jstolzen
apparently perfectly healthy

Apparently is the keyword in your statement. Lots of people feel fine but have vulnerabilities that may be hidden to them, and even doctors, because they are not looking for them.

I felt fine too, until I started coughing and noticed I was spitting up blood to. I didn't think much of it, because I inhaled some smoke while I was burning trash along with limbs etc., until it continued bleeding for several hours. Then I finally told my wife and called an ambulance to take me to the hospital. Turned out I had lung cancer. I was fortunate that it was only in the top lobe of my right lung, and was removed. I am cancer free to this day. That was 3 years ago.

22 posted on 11/08/2020 9:58:02 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong

I believe roughly over 40% of the US population over age 40 has at least one “co-morbidity”.

That said, there have been endless reports of people doing quite badly (or dying outright) that do NOT HAVE a co-morbidity.

I know you guys want to continue to believe what you believe to “downplay” this, but it doesn’t change the facts.


23 posted on 11/08/2020 9:59:29 AM PST by jstolzen
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To: kaktuskid

Did I ever say it wasn’t? The answer is no, I think it was a bio-weapon, and they probably had the blessing from Democrats to unleash it upon the world.


24 posted on 11/08/2020 10:08:57 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: jstolzen
I believe those who know what they are talking about, like this author who is himself someone in the field, but I do not believe Fauci for sure. The guy is a fake who has changed his position on the virus constantly.

I wear a mask when I go out in public, mainly because I don't want to get into it with a Karen or a Keith who are operating only on fear. I refuse to wear it when in my car or at home.

My wife works at our local Walmart, so that puts both of us in the front line so to speak. To our knowledge neither of us has caught the Wuhan virus, or if we have it presented no problems to us.

As for your friends, I am sorry to hear that they are having issues, we are all different and react differently to things that can kill some while hardly affecting others, and still others have no issues with it. Another thing is how quickly they sought out help. But the overwhelming reality is that children seem less susceptible than other age groups. Whereas, children are far more susceptible to the flu and even takes the lives of many children. But we don't require masks, nor even social distancing

But the world, including WHO the FDA and even NIH, has treated hydroxychloroquine as a dangerous drug to treat the Wuhan virus, even though it is prescribed to millions of people worldwide, including pregnant women, but banned it from being used for the Wuhan virus. WHO even lists the drug as an essential drug.

Imagine how many lives might have been saved if they had not reacted purely based upon political reasons because they wanted it to kill as many as possible to make President Trump look bad, and instead acted upon medial reasons. I got so mad that Fauci kept calling it an anecdotal drug, while ignoring the successes that had been reported on curing lots of people. But it is most effective if treatment starts at an early stage of the virus's invasion of the body.

As for Taiwan, who knows, maybe they are treating people with hydroxtcloroquine, zinc, and anti-inflammatory medicine, and that is why they have had so few deaths. Then again maybe their diet plays a role.

But I still stand by my statement that it has been extremely overblown, and the reason is primarily due to political considerations, period.

I refuse to live in fear of it, but if you want to fear it, that is your choice, but don't go spouting off as if you are some sort of expert just because you know of people that currently have it, had it etc.

25 posted on 11/08/2020 10:45:55 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: jstolzen

Only in your mind are you interpreting us as downplaying it. What we are saying is that it can be fatal, but not for the majority, and it should be treated like the flu which is also deadly, to some.


26 posted on 11/08/2020 10:48:31 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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