Posted on 09/10/2020 6:19:13 PM PDT by MrChips
All these Media polls out there suggesting a Biden win are discouraging. That is their purpose. Most, however, over sample Democrats by 8% or more. Ridiculous. The two parties achieved relative parity years ago.
But, the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group was the most accurate state pollster four years ago. In fact, they were the only pollster to predict candidate Trump’s 2016 wins in both Pennsylvania and Michigan. Think about that. Quite a feat!
So, Don’t let yourself get discouraged. Be of good cheer! A few of their most recent polls are below.
Missouri - Trump 51.9%, Biden 42.1%
Michigan - Trump 46.6%, Biden 45.2%
Arizona - Trump 46.2%; Biden 44.8%
Michigan Senate - Repub. James 48.1%, Dem Peters 46.6%
Wisconsin - Trump 46.2, Biden 45.4%
Louisiana - Trump 54.3%, Biden 37.9%
Minnesota - TIED
Mama likes it.
Those I believe
Any more states?
Oversampling of Dems is voter enthusiasm wishful thinking!!
Looking at pictures of turnout at Trump rally and compare to Biden makes me question these poll numbers. It doesn’t seem like it is anywhere close.
which is one of MANY reasons liberals pushed the lockdowns! they knew no candidate of theirs would be able to generate crowds like Trump and put the lie to their push polls.
If you cannot predict the turnout your polls are wrong.
Check their website.
We have to get out and vote!.....and drag a couple like minded folks along with you!....no matter how good the polls look for us, we have to get out the Trump vote like we’re 10 points behind! This has to be overwhelming....or else the Rats will chip away at the lead by fraud and deception....
There are straws in the wind, and it’s difficult to know how much emphasis to put ion them. Four years ago in this forum there were endless discussions about the size of Trump vs Clinton crowds in Florida, as well as the lawn sign disparity. There was significance then, and there’s significant now to the fact that Biden can’t turn out a crowd, even of a few hundred, to greet him at his venues
Trump had much bigger rallies, but Clinton got more votes. Rallies are not proof of results.
She got more votes in CA .
I love push polls. I always give them the “wrong” answer.
Rallies are evidence of intensity. Intense people are more likely to vote.
Did Trafalgar do any polls before the 2018 elections, where GOP lost the House? So many conservatives - me included - were expecting that the polls were wrong in showing the Dems winning. Unfortunately, they weren’t
Not in Florida did she get more votes. That’s where this phenomenon was being most discussed four years ago
I have a new dog on the way later this month.
You can bet I’m registering her.
She’s another borzoi so she is voting straight GOP due to her ancestors murdered by the Bolsheviks in Russia during that revolution as a symbol of the bourgeoisie.
She is not fixed yet, so maybe I breed her and register the pups to vote too.
Folks, go out and vote and bring Trump supporting friends with you.
JoMa
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