Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.comPosted on 08/20/2020 6:51:02 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
My only concern about Florida is the number of New Yorkers relocating to Florida due to COVID-19 pandemic.
She's a knee-jerk Fascist, Jim.
I live NW of Houston...in the upper suburbs. All the Latinos I know are conservative.
This year 4 of my black friends started to talk to me about politics.
2 men/ 2 women. All voted for Hillary. Now Trump.
Not all black women need baby daddies.
You’re channeling my exact thoughts
NH is too close to Boston. Colorado is a popular destination for Californians.
..love 270 to Win. I would not be surprised if Trump won 48 states...
If MN goes red, WI will too.
MI went red todsy. Wretched Gitmore killed Big 10 football.
New Hampshire is very independent thought. They can swing either way. My Republican Uncle and Cousin used to fight with my Democrat Aunt all the time.
Nice map. I think Trump wins New Mexico before he ever wins Colorado. I don’t see him winning a state filled with strung-out displaced Californicans.
Before the 2016 election, I had a black lady sitting next to me in dialysis. She and her husband who came in from time to time were always very nicely dressed. Certainly better than me in my jeans. They owned property in Vegas but were visiting Reno for an extended period. She told me that she was voting for Trump. I gathered that they may have been more conservative. I don’t know what ever happened to her. If she is still alive, I would bet that she would vote Trump again.
Tonight, Trump pretty much said that this will be the most corrupt election.
He didn't say, "could be". He said "will be".
This translates into 192 EV for President Trump, with a 12% chance of winning.
This is not my prediction. It's a reflection of the state of polling as of this afternoon. Where no polls were taken, 2016 results were used with a +/-5% margin of error.
-PJ
The pollsters missed out on the invisible Trump voters in the battleground states. I haven’t seen any evidence that they’ve learned their lesson. Nate Silver at least gives him 28% chance of winning with tipping states being Arizona, Florida and Minnesota.
I always had a hard time reconciling the black vote as a king maker or king breaker nationally...locally is a different story.
Pres. Trump Won Fl, Mi, Oh, Pa, Wi, Va and Nc without the black vote and it was not even close for him.
So where does he make up ground in 2020 ?
The majority of blacks already live in RAT blue states.
as of 2018: https://blackdemographics.com/population/black-state-population/
yet, based on the percentages in some of those states, their voting block should be huge. Check out GA, LA & MS yet all 3 went for Pres. Trump
I didn’t extrapolate black population to registered voters.
It is also estimated that approx. 30% of age-wise eligible black male voters are under the control of the judiciary and can’t vote.
I still haven’t figured it out why or why not about the black vote.
I have the same concerns about the jewish vote...there are only about 6 million jews in this country, yet some put stock, and you will see headlines about, winning the jewish vote.
and I always come back to the fact that the black vote made no difference for Pres. Obama. It was the white vote that put him over.
Other than that ? I agree that it seems like a blowout.
I'm currently aging polls after two months, since the rate of polling varies. Repolls by the same polling group replace their prior polls, but older polls will decrease in weight and eventually drop off.
Next month, I'll probably drop polls older than one month, if polling by the top firms becomes weekly.
-PJ
I think they may have mail in ballots in Pennsylvania this year though
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