[Political Junkie Too]

FWIW (which is zero right now), here is the probability map from my Presidential election model based on the aggregate polls as of today.

This translates into 192 EV for President Trump, with a 12% chance of winning.

This is not my prediction. It's a reflection of the state of polling as of this afternoon. Where no polls were taken, 2016 results were used with a +/-5% margin of error.

-PJ

[MinorityRepublican]

The pollsters missed out on the invisible Trump voters in the battleground states. I haven’t seen any evidence that they’ve learned their lesson. Nate Silver at least gives him 28% chance of winning with tipping states being Arizona, Florida and Minnesota.

[nwrep]

I agree with this map. If the election were held today, Trump will not clear 200 EVs.