Yeah, I hate it when faults are z-shaped and weird. Thanks rdl6989.
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Posted on 07/20/2020 10:25:23 AM PDT by BenLurkin
The San Andreas Fault is part of a giant "Z" of faults; the top of the "Z" consists of the Ridgecrest Fault, the middle is the Garlock Fault and the bottom is the southern part of the famous San Andreas. If the "top-of-the-Z" Ridgecrest Fault were to have a really big earthquake (at least a magnitude 7.5), that could trigger an earthquake on the "middle-of-the-Z" Garlock Fault, which, in turn, could cause a massive earthquake along the "bottom-of-the-Z" San Andreas, a new study finds.
These successive earthquakes wouldn't necessarily happen all at once, but over a period of time (perhaps even decades) as stress builds up and gets transferred from one fault to the next, said study co-author Ross Stein, a geophysicist and the founder and CEO of Temblor, Inc., a company that models and assesses earthquake risks.
The new analysis of this possible "earthquake chain reaction" suggests that another large San Andreas rumbler near Los Angeles is now 3.5 to 5 times more likely than scientists previously thought, thanks to the Ridgecrest quakes.
The Garlock Fault is relatively quiet; it hasn't released a significant earthquake in about 500 years. But if the Garlock Fault ruptures within about 30 miles (45 km) of its junction with the San Andreas Fault, it could raise the likelihood of a San Andreas quake to the southeast — the so-called Mojave section — by a factor of about 150, Stein and study co-author Shinji Toda, a professor of natural disaster research who specializes in seismology at Tohoku University in Japan, wrote on the Temblor blog.
"We thus estimate the net chance of a large San Andreas earthquake in the next 12 months to be 1.15%, or 1 chance in 87," they wrote in the post.
(Excerpt) Read more at livescience.com ...
Dear Live Science,
Please change your site name to “Live Guesswork.”
Thank you.
It can wait for the virus to end. That and the Jellystone volcano.
You may be interested.
I just watched the 3D version of “San Andreas” the other night...it has Lefty Lunatics Dwayne Johnson and Alexandra Daddario, but...I purchased it a few years back before I knew.
Fun to watch in 3D...:)
Not so much in real life, though. Wouldn’t wish that on anyone. I used to be a “When will they slide off into the ocean” guy, but...that was all rhetoric, and I can’t even rhetoric it any more.
Soros is preparing the earthquake machine for deployment in October...
Eventually, the sun will stop shining. Someday my prediction will come true, there may not be anyone to witness it....
You might get a kick out of this:
“Everything Wrong with San Andreas”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXCCFh—NAE
Oh gosh. I know all those things.
I watch it 100% for visual entertainment.
Anyone who would watch it for educational value, or even scientific accuracy would need to have their head examined.
Unfortunately, I think there are a large number of people who fall into that category in a lot of different areas.
Double d’s in 3d is always good
Z shape could mean earthquake....
Or, the return of
ZORRO.
I was going to put in a comment there about watching her in 3D, but...I knew someone would point that out.
In the old days, in the 3D movies, they would have spears or arrows coming at you from the screen...
Now you have headlights! Big ones!
Yeah, I hate it when faults are z-shaped and weird. Thanks rdl6989.
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Need to put this on the worry list.
COVID19
Riots
Swine flu
Bubonic plague
Dengue fever
Lymes disease
Murder wasps
locust swarms
Flying ant swarms
My neighbors dog
earthquakes
The eminent scientists will write these papers so they can escape the universities and go off to an exotic locale with their peers. After presenting their paper, they go into party mode.
murder hornets
What If A Mega Earthquake Hit California
1,945,686 views
Aug 12, 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srDsF8h5JPE
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