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The Polls — All Of Them — Show Hillary Clinton Leading - Which means Donald Trump is losing [2016 Blast from the Past!]
www.huffpost.com ^ | 10/26/2016 08:37 pm ET Updated Oct 27, 2016 | By Janie Velencia

Posted on 07/01/2020 10:16:29 AM PDT by Red Badger

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is either slightly ahead or way ahead of Republican Donald Trump with just 13 days until Election Day, according to new polls released Wednesday.

An AP-GFK poll shows Clinton leading by an astonishing 14 points, 51 percent to Trump’s 37 percent, in a four-way race. In a two-way heat, Clinton’s lead narrows to 13 points.

A new Fox News poll finds Clinton ahead by a much smaller margin ― just 3 points ahead in a four-way race, 44 percent to 41 percent. She also leads by 3 points head to head with Trump.

Other recent polls show Clinton with a lead ranging from 2 points to 12 points.

It’s best not to freak out just yet over which of Wednesday’s polls are right. Instead, consider the aggregate of recent polls for a more sober look at the race.

According to the HuffPost Pollster aggregate, Clinton is leading by about 7 points in the four-way race, 46.6 percent to 39 percent.

In the head-to-head race with Trump, Clinton leads by 6 points, 48 percent to 42 percent.

Both new polls are consistent with that aggregated result when you consider their margin of error. The Fox News poll has a 2.5-point margin of error. When applied to each candidate’s share of the vote, that means there could be as much as a 5-point fluctuation in the Fox poll margin. The AP-GFK poll has a slightly higher margin of error, also placing its results within the range of what the aggregate shows.

Another reason for variation in the new polls could be the dates the surveys were administered. The AP-GFK poll was conducted Oct 20 to Oct. 24, just after the Oct 19 presidential debate, where Clinton was praised for a strong performance.

The Fox News poll was conducted a few days later, from Oct 22 to Oct. 25. Perceptions of the debate may have been more muted in people’s minds by then.

In addition, the AP-GFK poll was conducted online. Fox used live phone interviews. Each of the pollsters uses different techniques to screen for likely voters.

Regardless, the aggregate of polls confirms that Clinton is winning. Clinton leads in a two-way race in all 36 polls conducted in October. In the four-way race, she’s ahead in 48 of 52 October polls.

The HuffPost Pollster presidential election forecast gives Clinton a 97.5 chance of winning..............


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; History; Music/Entertainment
KEYWORDS: 2016
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To: St. Louis Conservative

AUGUST 1-4, 2016 POLL CONDUCTED BY ABC NEWS


21 posted on 07/01/2020 10:35:43 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Well get ready for President Biden then some Mitt Romney type taking over the Republican Party


22 posted on 07/01/2020 10:36:27 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: Red Badger

I’m surprised!

Usually it takes five authors to lie this much!


23 posted on 07/01/2020 10:36:35 AM PDT by Lazamataz ("Black Lives Matter" becomes "Terse TV Blackmail"..... #AnagramsNeverLie)
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To: Red Badger

If they weren’t so nasty and evil, I wouldn’t enjoy those clips so much, but I really enjoy them.


24 posted on 07/01/2020 10:38:06 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: Red Badger
An AP-GFK poll shows Clinton leading by an astonishing 14 points, 51 percent to Trump’s 37 percent...

One week later...


25 posted on 07/01/2020 10:41:42 AM PDT by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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To: Red Badger
THANKS FOR POSTING...

Democrat pollsters, their slugs and their apologists in the press - - are ALL liars... or fools... or corrupt... or a combination... And they're lying and covering for Biden NOW:

https://imgur.com/dQNDzTY

26 posted on 07/01/2020 10:45:06 AM PDT by GOPJ (Democrat mayors get your stores looted, your cities burned, and your cops to stand down.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

This year EVERY poll is double digits or high single Digits. Biden is up 10pts in the polling average whereas Trump was down about 5 points in the the AVERAGE This time in 2016.

Yes, you can believe the polls. They’re extremely accurate reflections of reality allowing for direct comparison between the polls of different years. They’ve been shown to be 99.87% accurate over time, according to my own poll.


27 posted on 07/01/2020 10:46:50 AM PDT by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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To: lee martell
That was around the time Jim Comey came out with his first book, making Hilary look less than electable.

When did Comey ever come out with a book in October 2016? He was FBI Director then no?
You making stuff up again?

28 posted on 07/01/2020 10:52:49 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Red Badger

Today I see a NYT headline that is like “Meet the Trump Supporters of 2016 that he has lost”

Naturally I’m thinking I bet these guys didn’t support him in 2016. Just another fairy tale to suppress our enthusiasm.


29 posted on 07/01/2020 11:01:22 AM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: SmokingJoe

Thank you for the correction.
I should have said, that’s when Comey came out with his theories involving Hilary.


30 posted on 07/01/2020 11:04:19 AM PDT by lee martell
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To: Red Badger

Fake 2016 poll bump


31 posted on 07/01/2020 11:04:58 AM PDT by JerseyDvl ("If you're going through hell, keep going.")
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To: Red Badger

Thanks! I needed that!

Best post of the day!


32 posted on 07/01/2020 11:05:35 AM PDT by dan on the right
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To: St. Louis Conservative
This is misleading.

No. You are misleading.

I know people like to point to 2016 for comfort but Trump is down way more to Biden than he was to Clinton in the average of polls.

Um, no.
On June 26 2016, Trump was down 12% to Hilary Clinton on the average.
On the same date (June 26 2020), Trump was down 9.5% to Biden on the RCP average. Trump is actually doing better this year than he was in 2016, by 2.5%. Even if we accept the fake polls, which I don't accept for one minute.
What say you troll?

33 posted on 07/01/2020 11:05:44 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: St. Louis Conservative

There are polls then and now showing Trump with less than 40%. He got 46% of well distributed support. Thats simply not right. There are polls now showing Trump ahead in critical states and only down 4% national i a registered voters polls. The idea that they were giving a fair state of the race at any given moment a a bold faced lie. If you were paying attention 4 years ago you would have had the impression that Trump had no chance to win and no viable path to 270. Yours is a revisionist version of reality. The polls, at the very least the perception given by the media is that Trump has no chance this year again.


34 posted on 07/01/2020 11:17:57 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: SeekAndFind

The difference is 10s of millions of votes “switching” in a month. It was fake news the whole time.


35 posted on 07/01/2020 11:20:27 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: ChronicMA

Right before Rush (actually, Mark Steyn today) they played THE most dishonest anti-Trump ad I’ve ever heard. It’s supposedly two older people, supposedly once Trump supporters - disgusted with him because all he does is “tweet” — “sometimes 200 times a day!” cries the woman. Then they say “that averages one a minute!” (maybe someone needs to do some basic math on how many minutes are in a day). THEN they say that Trump ignored Fauci and Birx and called COVID a “hoax” (long since proven false) and has done NOTHING to stop the virus. Seriously - these scumbags must be TERRIFIED of losing another election, because this was a new low even for them. It wasn’t Biden - it was something generic name that no one would ever associate with anything. Absolutely deplorable.


36 posted on 07/01/2020 11:39:34 AM PDT by Pravious
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To: Lod881019

It won’t be a Romney type. I think it’ll be someone like Ron DeSantis or Josh Hawley.


37 posted on 07/01/2020 11:44:21 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: Red Badger

2016? Oh, so she hasn’t announced yet?.


38 posted on 07/01/2020 11:44:27 AM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it today.)
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To: Pajamajan

There’s still time. Biden could pick her for VP...................


39 posted on 07/01/2020 11:52:51 AM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'..........................)
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To: Red Badger
"Biden could pick her for VP...........

Bet money on it.

40 posted on 07/01/2020 12:14:32 PM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it today.)
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