Posted on 07/01/2020 10:16:29 AM PDT by Red Badger
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is either slightly ahead or way ahead of Republican Donald Trump with just 13 days until Election Day, according to new polls released Wednesday.
An AP-GFK poll shows Clinton leading by an astonishing 14 points, 51 percent to Trump’s 37 percent, in a four-way race. In a two-way heat, Clinton’s lead narrows to 13 points.
A new Fox News poll finds Clinton ahead by a much smaller margin ― just 3 points ahead in a four-way race, 44 percent to 41 percent. She also leads by 3 points head to head with Trump.
Other recent polls show Clinton with a lead ranging from 2 points to 12 points.
It’s best not to freak out just yet over which of Wednesday’s polls are right. Instead, consider the aggregate of recent polls for a more sober look at the race.
According to the HuffPost Pollster aggregate, Clinton is leading by about 7 points in the four-way race, 46.6 percent to 39 percent.
In the head-to-head race with Trump, Clinton leads by 6 points, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Both new polls are consistent with that aggregated result when you consider their margin of error. The Fox News poll has a 2.5-point margin of error. When applied to each candidate’s share of the vote, that means there could be as much as a 5-point fluctuation in the Fox poll margin. The AP-GFK poll has a slightly higher margin of error, also placing its results within the range of what the aggregate shows.
Another reason for variation in the new polls could be the dates the surveys were administered. The AP-GFK poll was conducted Oct 20 to Oct. 24, just after the Oct 19 presidential debate, where Clinton was praised for a strong performance.
The Fox News poll was conducted a few days later, from Oct 22 to Oct. 25. Perceptions of the debate may have been more muted in people’s minds by then.
In addition, the AP-GFK poll was conducted online. Fox used live phone interviews. Each of the pollsters uses different techniques to screen for likely voters.
Regardless, the aggregate of polls confirms that Clinton is winning. Clinton leads in a two-way race in all 36 polls conducted in October. In the four-way race, she’s ahead in 48 of 52 October polls.
The HuffPost Pollster presidential election forecast gives Clinton a 97.5 chance of winning..............
Well get ready for President Biden then some Mitt Romney type taking over the Republican Party
I’m surprised!
Usually it takes five authors to lie this much!
If they weren’t so nasty and evil, I wouldn’t enjoy those clips so much, but I really enjoy them.
One week later...
Democrat pollsters, their slugs and their apologists in the press - - are ALL liars... or fools... or corrupt... or a combination... And they're lying and covering for Biden NOW:
https://imgur.com/dQNDzTY
This year EVERY poll is double digits or high single Digits. Biden is up 10pts in the polling average whereas Trump was down about 5 points in the the AVERAGE This time in 2016.
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Yes, you can believe the polls. They’re extremely accurate reflections of reality allowing for direct comparison between the polls of different years. They’ve been shown to be 99.87% accurate over time, according to my own poll.
When did Comey ever come out with a book in October 2016? He was FBI Director then no?
You making stuff up again?
Today I see a NYT headline that is like “Meet the Trump Supporters of 2016 that he has lost”
Naturally I’m thinking I bet these guys didn’t support him in 2016. Just another fairy tale to suppress our enthusiasm.
Thank you for the correction.
I should have said, that’s when Comey came out with his theories involving Hilary.
Fake 2016 poll bump
Thanks! I needed that!
Best post of the day!
No. You are misleading.
I know people like to point to 2016 for comfort but Trump is down way more to Biden than he was to Clinton in the average of polls.
Um, no.
On June 26 2016, Trump was down 12% to Hilary Clinton on the average.
On the same date (June 26 2020), Trump was down 9.5% to Biden on the RCP average. Trump is actually doing better this year than he was in 2016, by 2.5%. Even if we accept the fake polls, which I don't accept for one minute.
What say you troll?
There are polls then and now showing Trump with less than 40%. He got 46% of well distributed support. Thats simply not right. There are polls now showing Trump ahead in critical states and only down 4% national i a registered voters polls. The idea that they were giving a fair state of the race at any given moment a a bold faced lie. If you were paying attention 4 years ago you would have had the impression that Trump had no chance to win and no viable path to 270. Yours is a revisionist version of reality. The polls, at the very least the perception given by the media is that Trump has no chance this year again.
The difference is 10s of millions of votes “switching” in a month. It was fake news the whole time.
Right before Rush (actually, Mark Steyn today) they played THE most dishonest anti-Trump ad I’ve ever heard. It’s supposedly two older people, supposedly once Trump supporters - disgusted with him because all he does is “tweet” — “sometimes 200 times a day!” cries the woman. Then they say “that averages one a minute!” (maybe someone needs to do some basic math on how many minutes are in a day). THEN they say that Trump ignored Fauci and Birx and called COVID a “hoax” (long since proven false) and has done NOTHING to stop the virus. Seriously - these scumbags must be TERRIFIED of losing another election, because this was a new low even for them. It wasn’t Biden - it was something generic name that no one would ever associate with anything. Absolutely deplorable.
It won’t be a Romney type. I think it’ll be someone like Ron DeSantis or Josh Hawley.
2016? Oh, so she hasn’t announced yet?.
There’s still time. Biden could pick her for VP...................
Bet money on it.
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