Posted on 04/10/2020 10:52:27 AM PDT by LilFarmer
Previous thread here: http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3833419/posts
NJ Updates:
Kurt Siegelin
@kurtsiegelin
Governor’s update on Saturday’s numbers:
3,599 new cases, 58,151 overall
251 new deaths, 2,183 overall
1,650 patients are on ventilators
WOO HOO We’re Number One!
Go big, or go home!
But seriously, to compare our numbers without taking into account our population is ridiculous, and the fact that a high percentage is concentrated in the one area of the country with the highest population density.
VT
Total Cases 711
Currently Hospitalized 32
Hospitalized Under Investigation 45
Deaths 25
Total Tests 9,258
People Being Monitored 40
People Completed Monitoring 785
Cases by age:
10-19 - 14
20-29 - 87
30-39 - 103
40-49 - 97
50-59 - 135
60-69- 111
70+ - 154
https://www.healthvermont.gov/response/coronavirus-covid-19/current-activity-vermont
MS
2,642 cases
93 deaths
Cases by race
Black 54%
White 36%
Other 10%
Deaths by race
Blacks 67%
Whites 33%
Continued next post...
https://msdh.ms.gov/msdhsite/_static/14,0,420.html#caseTable
You are probably right. I have not spent a lot of time in New England.
FL
18,494 Positive
Residents 17,961
Hospitalizations 2,528
Deaths 438
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429
S.D.
Today, 01:50 PM
Number of Cases 626
Ever Hospitalized* 33
Deaths** 6
Recovered 189
Age/Cases/Deaths
0 to 19 years 21 0
20 to 29 years 121 0
30 to 39 years 155 0
40 to 49 years 107 0
50 to 59 years 126 2
60 to 69 years 73 1
70 to 79 years 14 1
80+ years 9 2
https://doh.sd.gov/news/Coronavirus.aspx
LA
20,014 Cases Reported*
806 Deaths Reported
Reported COVID-19 Patients in Hospitals 2,067
470 of those on ventilators
Tests Completed 5,326 by State Lab
Commercial Tests Completed 91,589 and Reported to State**
64 of 64 Parishes with Reported Cases
http://ldh.la.gov/Coronavirus/
Continued...
“‘Veterans help veterans’ in Lebanon with turkey dinners”
- see https://www.koin.com/news/health/coronavirus/veterans-help-veterans-in-lebanon-with-turkey-dinners/
Somewhere there is a mid-level official, maybe 2 or 3, who should be strung up until they are, in the words of Star Trek’s “Q”, “dead, dead, dead.”* Because SOMEBODY knew the cupboard was bare, so to speak, and even the slightest hints of trouble from China, early on, should have been enough to kickstart precautions that are supposed to be in place even if there’s no hint of trouble...
*Mr. Morden’s head on a pike, with Vir waving “bye-bye” at him, (Babylon 5), suits me too.
Sorry to be so graphic, if the above offends anyone, but this just PO’s me to no end. There is no excuse for it, and God knows how many lives it has already cost.
Three new COVID-19 cases in Woodbury County; brings total to 18 (Iowa, 4/11/20)
Northwest Arkansas groups step up for mask making (4/11/20)
Covid-19 pushes Northwest Arkansas Easter services online (4/11/20)
Walmart opens third testing site (4/11/20)
Fauci praises state's virus strategy (Arkansas, 4/11/20)
MidAmerican Energy Co. donates $500,000 to local COVID-19 relief efforts (Iowa, 4/10/20)
Cedar County has first case of COVID-19 (Nebraska, 4/10/20)
First COVID-19 death reported at Concordia facility in Butler (Pennsylvania, 4/10/20)
Recovered coronavirus patients test positive again in blow to immunity hopes (4/10/20)
FDA warns Alex Jones to stop pitching bogus virus remedies (4/10/20)
In COVID-19 era, Nebraska readers still enjoy books from South Sioux City library (4/10/20)
Liberals Trying to Censor Coronavirus Data Flow Do So at Their Own Risk (4/10/20)
Coronavirus-Related Medicare Scam Alert (4/10/20)
Scammers Use Pandemic to Prey on Vulnerable Seniors (4/9/20)
Speaker Pelosi’s Damaged Rudder (4/7/20)
PING!
“I am concerned that some are underestimating this virus”
Many are. In fact, the FluBros are underestimating it so much they need to have safe space threads and spam the forum with denial and conspiracy posts.
I am worried for some in my church. The Pastor is running herself ragged - no spring chicken, she - and a few others are not taking precautions. Most are staying home and doing church online, but a few are doing dumb stuff.
Anyway, back to business. I noticed a glitch at the git-go of the most recent DFR (daily fatality ratio) projection I made and posted, so I found and fixed that. I then decided to project out for another 20 days into May, convinced, like Italy, Korea, and Spain, we will hit a barrier at some point where the virus is almost impossible to totally eradicate without a cure or vaccine. I continued past 30 April, 20 days, with a constant DFR of 3 (i.e., "the barrier").
What I saw in the graph was kind of shocking. Once a barrier is hit, the numbers appear to start going back up, and so does the curve. That might explain why Korea's numbers are going back up. Whoa..., I just hope it's another error on my part, but I don't currently believe that to be the case - your thoughts and comments much appreciated.
Just had to share this with y'all, as you never know what tomorrow may bring. Sorry for the less than happy update. Later...
DFR Graph with correction and additional 20 days projected:
JHU is incorrect. China had more deaths - and so did Iran - but they are not admitting it. I would be surprised if there were not half a dozen countries that have, or will have, more deaths than the US. And we are the third most populous country on Earth.
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