Posted on 03/23/2020 3:55:11 PM PDT by dangus
Good news!
I take it upon myself to identify good news in crises, since the mainstream media almost always overlooks good news. Like when Ebola went away, they simply quit reporting. I haven't had much good news to report since South Korea largely conquered the Coronavirus, COVID-19.
Around a week ago, it looked like we were starting to see some flattening of the curve in the U.S., but then the number of positive tests exploded, probably simply because the number of tests exploded. We may be starting to see some real flattening, but a local explosion in the New York City metro area has be undecided how to avoid cherry-picking data.
The real explosive news comes out of Italy. Now, about 10 days ago, I reported the decline in Korea and a possible decline in Italy. The headline I used proved to be misleading; the two nations combined had a declining number of new cases, and in the immediately preceding two days both nations had a decline in the number of new cases. But the decline in Italy was a product of inconsistent reporting, a glitch in the data. And while the "infection curve" did continue to flatten, the happiness seems a little misplaced, given the truly astounding death rate among the modest number of Italians who did get sick. The glitch in the data fooled me because the curve really was flattening!!!
Perhaps that's why I've been shy to report the excellent news that's been coming out of Italy since. You see, the virus has continued to spread, but at a declining rate which reveals the claims of from idiots like Angela Merkl, and various left-wing American politicians that most of us will get sick are nothing but a lot of hysteria designed to destroy markets and sow political destruction.
The truth is There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week. This is not a data hiccup; there have been fewer new infections each day for four days now.
So for all the people who warn of the horrors to come, saying that what happens in Italy will soon happen here, I can only say, THANK GOD! because it looks like Italy is following the same type of curve that South Korea and, reportedly, China have followed, a curve that, for America, points to hundreds of thousands, but not hundreds of millions, of infections.
So we just need to adopt the same social distancing actions that Italy implemented?
Wouldn’t it be swell if things came to a screeching halt and we didn’t need a stimulus package at all?
It's NOT because the virus is dying. It's because Italy has been on lockdown for quite a while now.
Great!
Herd immunity, or community immunity in action?
Florida beaches in my town were crowded on weekend...mostly young people.
“So we just need to adopt the same social distancing actions that Italy implemented?”
In urban areas.
Social distancing and self isolation occurs naturally in rural and suburban areas.
I would love it if Trump told Pelosi to shove it, after she sabotaged negotiations in order to stuff the bill with yet more pork.
There is no such thing as herd immunity - only a lack of exposure.
The death rate seems to be dropping over the last few days, also.
“Herd immunity, or community immunity in action?”
No such thing with covid-19. It is more analogous to a cold in that regard. People can get it over and over. I heard that personally from a respected doctor I trust and it makes sense.
Unlike the cold which is regarded as just a nuisance you can bet they will hunker down and develop a vaccine for covid-19. They better because covid-19 is here to stay.
Run for your life!!!!
“There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week”
Where are you seeing this? Wordometers is showing fewer new infections since March 20, not a week. See daily cases chart below. March 20 and 21 are the only days with higher numbers than today. Hoping for a flattening of the curve, but it looks to me like we need to see several more daily reports to establish a trend.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/
That is great news, pray it holds..
So this looks like New York needs to social distance for 22 days. When did the first day start?
Can you share your data source? Thanks
Yup, that’s what I’m hoping for.
The obvious question: Where is your home town? Cape Canaveral, the Keys, Miami?
It would be...but the Pols are going to do it anyway...and give to their pets...
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